Running Back Success Rates vs Mississippi State

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...Mark Ingram with the sole rushing TD by a running back...

To refresh your memories (or if this is the first time you've seen this), each individual rush is considered on it's own, and measured by it's "success." A run is considered successful if it gets 40% of the yardage needed to move the chains on first down, 60% of the yardage needed on second down, and 100% of the yardage needed on third or fourth down. This is a much more accurate overall picture of how well a running back does in a game than just the total yardage or ypc averages because it ignores big run outliers that can skew those kinds of stats.  First up, Glen Coffee:


vs Mississippi St / 11.15.08 Rushing Receiving
Rush Yards Avg TD Rec Yards Avg TD
Glen Coffee 17 71 4.2 0 1 11 11.0 0

Glencoffeerbsuccessrateatmsu_medium
  As you can see, Coffee wasn't terribly spectacular in the game with only 71 yards rushing and a mediocre 4.2 ypc.  His success rate wasn't much better, finishing at 53% for the entire game (though he did do much better in the second half with 67%).  Next up, Mark Ingram:


vs Mississippi St / 11.15.08 Rushing Receiving
Rush Yards Avg TD Rec Yards Avg TD
Mark Ingram 13 78 6.0 1 1 5 5.0 0

Markingramrbsuccessrateatmsu_medium

Even though young Ingram didn't do much better than Coffee as far as yardage is concerned, he was the more consistently "successful" back (and finished with a better ypc average as well).  Both Jeramie Griffin and Demtrius Goode got some carries in junk time, and Griffin really stood out:


vs Mississippi St / 11.15.08 Rushing Receiving
Rush Yards Avg TD Rec Yards Avg TD
Jeramie Griffin 5 27 5.4 0 1 9 9.0 0

Jeramiegriffinrbsuccessratemsu_medium


vs Mississippi St / 11.15.08 Rushing Receiving
Rush Yards Avg TD Rec Yards Avg TD
Demetrius Goode 2 3 1.5 0 0 0 0 0

Demetriusgooderbsuccessratemsu_medium
If you recall from spring practice, Griffin was being used as a short yardage power back out of single back sets like LSU used Jacob Hester last year, and just looking at his numbers (while also keeping in mind it was junk time at the very end of the game), he looks like the kind of runner that Saban and the staff covet.  Keep an eye out for him in the future.

Finally, the carry percentages:

Rushingpercentagestomsu_medium

Now that Coffee has figured out how to keep the ball secure, it doesn't look like there's much danger of Ingram or anyone else taking over his spot as the featured back in the offense.  Also of note is a second straight week without a carry for Roy Upchurch, who has been sufferening from neck and back spasms since just before the LSU kickoff.  Here's hoping he'll be back and ready for the Iron Bowl.

 

 

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