FanPost

FEI Prediction and my thoughts on the game

FEI predicts a score of GA 25, AL 17, which seems like a reasonable prediction.  http://bcftoys.blogspot.com/

My thoughts: Alabama, though we've looked about as good through our first 4 games as possible, has not faced a team in the same league as Georgia.  Arkansas is just not a good football team, and neither is Clemson, despite their lofty pre-season ranking.  I don't hold the letdown against Tulane against the Tide, so I count 3 strong wins against 3 bad opponents as about all we know about Alabama right now.  Georgia is in a similar situation, as well, having not played a good team so far this season.  So what do we know?

We know we can stop the run.  We know Georgia can, too. http://cfbstats.com/2008/leader/national/team/defense/split01/category01/sort01.html

We've been a little bit better with scoring D than Georgia, as has our total D.

Our passing defense has just been ok, but Georgia's has been a little less impressive, too.

I think it's a safe statement that Alabama might be a little bit better on Defense than Georgia.

On offense, we've had a great rushing offense, but Georgia's passing offense has been a lot better than ours, which evens things out a little bit.

All in all, I am inclined to give Georgia a little edge in the offense department.

 

Overall, I can see this game going one of two ways:

Scenario 1: Alabama can run the ball effectively and goes up by more than 1 TD.  Georgia departs from the run and Bama tees off against their QB.  Our defense gives up a few big plays but also get a few turnovers.  Bama milks the clock at the end of the game to win by 4.

Scenario 2: Georgia strikes quickly on a few big plays in the first quarter, forcing Bama to throw more and run less.  This leads to a poor halftime score, with Bama going into the locker room down by about 17-6.  In the second half, Georgia runs a lot and doesn't score much, but Bama can't muster much offense and Georgia wins 23-16.

So, IMHO, it will all come down to 2 things: Can Alabama run the football, and can they keep Georgia off the scoreboard early.  If both answers are yes, it will be a good day.  If either are no, not so much.

Roll Tide!

FanPosts are just that; posts created by the fans. They are in no way indicative of the opinions of SBN and the authors of Roll Bama Roll.

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

Join Roll 'Bama Roll

You must be a member of Roll 'Bama Roll to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Roll 'Bama Roll. You should read them.

Join Roll 'Bama Roll

You must be a member of Roll 'Bama Roll to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Roll 'Bama Roll. You should read them.

Spinner

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9341_tracker