FanPost

FEI Prediction and my thoughts on the game

FEI predicts a score of GA 25, AL 17, which seems like a reasonable prediction.  http://bcftoys.blogspot.com/

My thoughts: Alabama, though we've looked about as good through our first 4 games as possible, has not faced a team in the same league as Georgia.  Arkansas is just not a good football team, and neither is Clemson, despite their lofty pre-season ranking.  I don't hold the letdown against Tulane against the Tide, so I count 3 strong wins against 3 bad opponents as about all we know about Alabama right now.  Georgia is in a similar situation, as well, having not played a good team so far this season.  So what do we know?

We know we can stop the run.  We know Georgia can, too. http://cfbstats.com/2008/leader/national/team/defense/split01/category01/sort01.html

We've been a little bit better with scoring D than Georgia, as has our total D.

Our passing defense has just been ok, but Georgia's has been a little less impressive, too.

I think it's a safe statement that Alabama might be a little bit better on Defense than Georgia.

On offense, we've had a great rushing offense, but Georgia's passing offense has been a lot better than ours, which evens things out a little bit.

All in all, I am inclined to give Georgia a little edge in the offense department.

 

Overall, I can see this game going one of two ways:

Scenario 1: Alabama can run the ball effectively and goes up by more than 1 TD.  Georgia departs from the run and Bama tees off against their QB.  Our defense gives up a few big plays but also get a few turnovers.  Bama milks the clock at the end of the game to win by 4.

Scenario 2: Georgia strikes quickly on a few big plays in the first quarter, forcing Bama to throw more and run less.  This leads to a poor halftime score, with Bama going into the locker room down by about 17-6.  In the second half, Georgia runs a lot and doesn't score much, but Bama can't muster much offense and Georgia wins 23-16.

So, IMHO, it will all come down to 2 things: Can Alabama run the football, and can they keep Georgia off the scoreboard early.  If both answers are yes, it will be a good day.  If either are no, not so much.

Roll Tide!

FanPosts are just that; posts created by the fans. They are in no way indicative of the opinions of SBN and the authors of Roll Bama Roll.

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