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Kirby Smart, head coach in waiting?

From the outset, I will preface this by saying that this is pure speculation on my part, and that in no way am I claiming any actual knowledge to the current situation with Kirby Smart. As always, we here at RBR analyze and provide insight and commentary, not actual news reporting.

Now, with that disclaimer out of the way, what about the possibility of Kirby Smart as the head coach in waiting at Alabama? That thought came to me a couple of days back when I was reading some news regarding Georgia's latest run at Smart, and the more I pondered the possibility, the more it seemed like a legitimate possibility.

Consider a few things...

First and foremost, Smart is undeniably one of the hottest young coaching commodities in the country. Despite only having just turned 34 years old, Smart's resume nevertheless includes two national championship rings and a Broyles Award, the later given annually to the nation's top assistant coach. Also, as an added bonus, Smart is widely recognized as a fine recruiter in his own right. After getting overtures recently from both Texas Tech and Georgia, it's clear that it is only a matter of time before Smart is a head coach somewhere.

Furthermore, Nick Saban himself has publicly came out in the past as a supporter of succession plans in college football. Specifically, when he was asked at a press conference several months back for his opinion on the Bobby Bowden situation, Saban replied that he was in favor of succession plans, noting the benefits to be derived from continuity, and also citing the widespread usage of such plans in the business world. At the very least, it seems clear that Saban is a proponent of succession planning.

Also, one does have to wonder exactly how much longer Saban plans on coaching. Hopefully he'll do like Bryant and have success into his late 60's (and hopefully longer), but being objective about the matter he is currently 58 years old, and he could possibly be down to his last few years. If nothing else, even as of right now, Saban would retire with two national championships with two different schools (something no coach has ever done before), two SEC championships with two different schools (something only he and Bryant have done), and he would be universally regarded as one of the greatest college football coaches to ever live. At the very least, it would certainly be hard to blame the guy if, with that resume in hand, he decided to call it a career in three or four years.

Moreover, unless Saban just leaves unexpectedly -- and perhaps even if he goes out that way, too -- I think it is also relatively clear that he will have at least some say in who the next head coach will be. Given his success at Alabama, coupled with his cult status with the Alabama family, he will at least be approached by the UA administration and asked for his input. Now, perhaps he turns down the opportunity like Bryant did in late 1982, but at the very least he will almost certainly be given the opportunity to have his voice heard.

Lastly, assuming that we were going to do a succession plan at Alabama and that Saban would have a role in picking his successor -- two massive ifs, obviously -- who would Saban pick? Looking at the broad view of assistants in the Saban coaching tree, I think Smart is the obvious candidate. He is already in place at UA, he has spent years under Saban's tutelage, and he will be a head coach at some point regardless. It seems to me that if we were going down that route, Smart would be the choice.

Now, of course, Georgia is going very hard after him at the moment. They have made a formal offer, and given what Gentry Estes has reported, it seems that they are planning on doubling his current salary, and I'm also sure that they would give him full control over the defensive side of the ball (all the way from playcalling to schemes to recruiting). Clearly that must be a very enticing offer for Smart, a Georgia alum with two previous coaching stints in Athens (who is also married to another Georgia alum, a former women's basketball player).

Alabama, however, will not go quietly into that good night. According to a report by Mark Schlabach, Alabama officials have directly told Smart that they would "do everything necessary to keep him."

So, does "everything necessary to keep him" include the possibility of offering Smart a head coach in waiting position? Perhaps so, perhaps not. One way or the other, though, on the surface it does seem at least like a legitimate possibility, and for that reason alone we should keep our eyes on the developments with Smart in the next few days.

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I just

assumed that we would offer him more money than Georgia. To be honest I’m not too fond of the idea of a coach in waiting but I guess it could work. The way things unfolded at Florida State though makes me worry about that happening here. Then again Muschamp and Mack Brown haven’t had any problems yet so who knows.

This upcoming season I'm gonna refer to Julio Jones as "The Magic Man" and Trent Richardson as "El Diablo"

by AlabamaTitans2009 on Jan 10, 2010 10:39 PM CST reply actions  

Kirby

is a great coach who I would like us to keep because he is a great recruiter to go along with his coaching skills.

This upcoming season I'm gonna refer to Julio Jones as "The Magic Man" and Trent Richardson as "El Diablo"

by AlabamaTitans2009 on Jan 10, 2010 10:40 PM CST up reply actions  

The head coach in waiting...

The whole head coach in waiting thing is a bunch of hogwash. I hope that isn’t what happens. I hope Kirby Smart stays. I think he is good for the program and it seems Saban and he see eye to eye which is important. Looking at everything objectively I think going to Georgia as DC (a lateral move) would be a huge mistake right now. He would most likely be mentioned as a candidate for HC at Georgia when Richt is out and the ship has to be teetering over there after the 2008 season failure and this year.

by huntsvegas on Jan 10, 2010 10:41 PM CST reply actions  

lateral?

how can you consider over double the salary lateral? i don’t care either way what he does saban is the mastermind BUT.. you’re telling me if i work at such and such making 100k a year as an “Assistant yada yada” but get an offer to work for company b making 400k a year as still an “assistant yada yada” I shouldn’t do it because it’s lateral??? you are outside of your mind!!!! again not saying he should go just don’t understand why people are calling this “lateral”

by footballfanatic10 on Jan 11, 2010 1:27 AM CST up reply actions  

"everything necessary to keep him"

That translates to we will match your job offers. So considering he will have no title upgrade and can keep the same amount of money when UA pulls out the checkbook, I would consider it lateral as well.

"if you disagree... you are free to point your browser elsewhere."-Kleph

by The Voice of Reason on Jan 11, 2010 8:43 AM CST up reply actions  

Wow

I thought that the coverage here would drop off after the season for a couple of months like most of the sports blogs I read. Proved me wrong, this is a great great. Also made me think…why should I should pay for Tide Insider when I have this? True or not, it is an engaging read.

by BamaRama on Jan 10, 2010 10:48 PM CST reply actions  

Glad you enjoyed...

… but in all fairness I will take up for TI. I’m not personally a subscriber there, but if I were going to go down the pay site road, that would definitely be my choice.

"Underlying most arguments against the free market is a lack of belief in freedom itself." -- Milton Friedman

by outsidethesidelines on Jan 10, 2010 10:58 PM CST up reply actions  

Would you really want Smart as your next head coach were Saban to leave?

I’m not even all that psyched about him possibly becoming UGA’s DC. (Nothing personal against him, but he hasn’t really run a defense on his own yet so who knows how he would do on his own…)

by Texas_Dawg on Jan 10, 2010 10:56 PM CST reply actions  

Well, obviously

Well, obviously those are some issues that would go against such an arrangement. I do think he would need a few more years of seasoning, no doubt about that. I wouldn’t feel comfortable with him as head coach right now, but in three or four years that may be a different story.

Again, though, in any event the point was just to throw this out there as a legitimate possibility. Obviously there are issues that could against it, like the one you brought up, but I do think that things line up well enough to at least make it a legitimate possibility.

"Underlying most arguments against the free market is a lack of belief in freedom itself." -- Milton Friedman

by outsidethesidelines on Jan 10, 2010 11:00 PM CST up reply actions  

One correction:

Smart only has one national championship ring. He joined LSU in 2004, not 2003.

by Texas_Dawg on Jan 10, 2010 10:58 PM CST reply actions  

i don't know if i agree with this scenario

but i damn well believe the administration needs to start thinking about this now. over the last decade or so we learned the hard way about not having a plan for filling the head coach slot. i agree that the likelihood of saban leaving in the next several years is low given what he still has to accomplish at this level but pete carroll just demonstrated that “indefinitely” doesn’t necessarily mean “forever.”

and if you go back into the history you get other examples of how bad things can get if we haven’t figured out how to bring in the coach we want. we had to pass over coach bryant twice before the fiasco of ears whitworth got everyone off their ass and made it happen. we need to start figuring out who is that next coach and taking steps to lock him into the system.

Roll 'Bama Roll: The Champagne of 'Bama Blogs.

by kleph on Jan 11, 2010 7:44 AM CST reply actions  

I agree the administration needs tos start thinking about it...

but the last several hires at UA have not exactly been failures due to lack of planning. There was really no way there could have been a plan. We were in the same situation that Carroll is likely leaving USC in – no scholarships to give top recruits, probation, no bowl games for two years, etc., etc. Even if we’d had a plan, I’m not sure the administration could have done better than it did.

"Let's go be champions, boys!" - Greg McElroy

(Formerly SugarBowl93)

by RememberTheRoseBowl on Jan 11, 2010 11:05 AM CST up reply actions  

the statment isn't an indictment on the school in the past

but using that situation to underscore the need to avoid the situation in the future.

Roll 'Bama Roll: The Champagne of 'Bama Blogs.

by kleph on Jan 11, 2010 5:28 PM CST up reply actions  

I'm a bit nervous....

…about designating someone that. But because we’ve seen how disastrously bad a coaching hire can go, I can understand the desire to have it in place. To award it to someone so young with no head coaching experience at that level really gives me pause though.

by Nico2.0 on Jan 11, 2010 9:10 AM CST reply actions  

It gives me nausea...

…and I say it with great respect for Kirby Smart, but this league is just too tough for someone with zero head coaching experience to master the beast. I’m thankful that he will return for next season, since we’re losing so many quality defenders, but if he wants to be the top dog at Bama, he needs to run another program first.

"High standards come from passion within...." --Coach Nick Saban

by NiceLittleSaturday on Jan 11, 2010 3:47 PM CST up reply actions  

Not so fast my friend!

Many of these comments have been expressed above, but here’s my spin:

  • Smart only has one ring, and even if he was with Saban at LSU, he’s never proven himself apart from our Grand Master. If he’s got one thing going for him, it’s that he has been able to endure and learn from our Nicktator, anyone who can do that for an extended period is probably going to make a good HC – however, I think he needs some time away from the nest in order to develop his own style.
  • Don’t have the quote handy, but Saban didn’t say he was a proponent for “Coach in Waiting”, he simply said it can work if the people and personalities fit that situation best. I think that goes for just about anything you could think of – it works if the people involved want it to work.
  • Why would Smart be a coach in waiting for what – 5 years? If he deserves to be tabbed Coach in Waiting, he deserves to be a HC somewhere, now. How long do we expect Saban to continue at Alabama? At least 3 more years? Why wait? Smart could likely wait less time for Richt to get canned and take the Georgia job – which would probably fit him more than Alabama.

by rhinoskin on Jan 11, 2010 9:24 AM CST reply actions  

Answer to the last question

Smart would stay the head coach in waiting at Alabama, because there are not 10 better jobs in the country. It is a different question if the Georgia job comes open, but that is still a big if, and no certainity. The fact is that elite jobs, where you can compete for national champions are extraordinarily difficult to find. The best thing for Smart is that he is 33 years old, and if he continues on his path could be a head coach at a BCS team within the next 5 years.

by Kenny483 on Jan 11, 2010 9:48 AM CST up reply actions  

Would a ‘big time’ college job – like you mention – take:

Kirby Smart the proven DC but unproven HC under Saban’s shepherding.

OR

Kirby Smart the successful DC who has turned [mid-major school] around and has 3 years of HC experience.

I’m not sure who it was, but someone was mentioning during one of the BCS broadcasts the theory that some coaches are shooting starts destined for HC jobs, and that some are simply great Assistant Coaches and that’s all they’ll ever be. If Kirby smart takes too long to make the leap will the polish wear off? I’m not sure, but I am sure he’ll consider what else he has to gain from staying at an assistant position.

All of that said – I think he’s been great for us and I hope he sticks around until a great HC job opens up for him – just now with the auspices of Coach in Waiting.

by rhinoskin on Jan 11, 2010 10:02 AM CST up reply actions  

Please don't jump the gun on Richt's tenure

I understand that Richt has not had the best two years, but he has a strong following in Bulldog Nation. He has the best win percentage in Georgia history and is a heck of a guy. If Smart’s defenses produce results, Richt will win football games. If not, Smart will not be very likely to stay around once Richt spends his still-substantial political capital.

by stretchdavis on Jan 11, 2010 9:52 AM CST reply actions  

Agreed

I’ve seen a lot of the “Richt is out after next year” around here justification for why Smart shouldn’t jump over to Georgia. Sure, last year was disappointing and this year was as abject a failure since Richt has been head coach at Georgia.

In the end, he’s stil won 90 games over his 9 years, played for 3 SEC titles, won 2, and played in 3 BCS games. That’s damned impressive. Every coach is afforded one bad year and those that just assume that Georgia is just going to automatically start losing 5 games a year must not be paying attention to what Richt has been doing in Athens over the last decade.

I agree that playing in the Independence Bowl is not exactly the best way to improve your job security, but if I’m not mistaken I believe one Nick Saban was leading Alabama into the Indendence Bowl 3 years ago after losing to Louisiana-Monroe at home. That’s not a slight at Alabama or Saban. My point is that’s just how quickly things can turn around in a positive way for a program that recruits well and coaches well (Richt certainly does the former well and if he hires a good DC I believe the latter will take care of itself). If Richt brings in a defensive coach that can lower the defensive ppg down to around 20 ppg, I get the feeling that 10 win seasons will once again be the norm in Athens and this year will be the outlier on Coach Richt’s coaching bell curve.

http://hobnailboot.wordpress.com/

by AuditDawg on Jan 11, 2010 10:03 AM CST up reply actions  

Richt

I tend to agree that everyone who is writing Richt off is a little early, especially the ones who think Kiffin has passed UGA by in the East. I would mention that comparing Saban’s first team that went to the Independence Bowl, to Richt’s team in his ninth year is not even remotely comparable.

The reality of the situation in the SEC, not just UGA, is that any coach is probably no more than two very disappointing years from being fired. College football has changed dramatically in the last 10+ years, and that includes the expectations.

In many ways Richt’s hiring of a defensive coodinator, mirrors where Alabama was in 2006. Alabama had to get the next head coach right, and Richt has to get the hiring of a defensive coordinator correct. Richt fired his defensive staff this year, but will certainly not get the benefit of the doubt next time. It will certainly be Richt being fired.

by Kenny483 on Jan 11, 2010 12:43 PM CST up reply actions  

Head coach in waiting...

is a great idea. It doesn’t work when your program is going down the tubes and the HC has not clear time line for retirement (see FSU). But it does work, when the program is doing good and when the HC is willing to hang it up in the near future (see Penn St). The problem lies in the volatile nature of coaching. If the program is doing bad, usually someones getting fired. Why would you want to wait around hoping to not get fired until the HC quits.

by lbdasdog on Jan 11, 2010 10:30 AM CST reply actions  

I think a better idea

is to make an agreement with Saban (to the tune of several hundred thousand dollars) that he will notify the administration as early as possible about when he would like to retire. Then as a part of the contract, he agrees to stay for a potential two more years after the point that he notifies the administration (or the point of his proposed retirement, whichever comes first) – as long as necessary within that two year time frame to find a new coach. That way, if the school does not see any impressive HCs out there at the end of the season to pick from, they’ve got the next year, and perhaps the one after that to find someone without losing their winning head coach in the process (no pun intended). Saban would not announce his retirement until the administration had their guy in their sights, and then Saban would announce retirement out of the blue at the end of the season, and Bama could immediately hire the person they want. Smooth transition, great timing, and we beat other schools to the punch. Seems to win all the way around to me, and we’re not locked into hiring within the family, or a coach with no experience, or being rushed to hire because we weren’t ready for our current coach to retire.

"Let's go be champions, boys!" - Greg McElroy

(Formerly SugarBowl93)

by RememberTheRoseBowl on Jan 11, 2010 11:19 AM CST reply actions  

Smart going to Georgia would be a great pickup for Georia.

However if Georgia want’s to make headway they should try to get Scott Cochran our strength and conditioning coach. Georgia’s problem hasn’t necessary been bad coaching but rather injuries. No other team that I can think of has sustained the amount of injuries to key personnel. When you look at Georgia’s team – AJ Green for example – the phisical stature is nowhere near what the average Bama players is. Look at AJ’s arms and legs compared to Julio’s. If Georgia could keep their key players on the field then coaching wouldn’t be as big a problem. We all know coaching is important but it really is all about the quality of players.
JMO

Your temper brings dishonor to my happy mooshu palace.

by mulletover on Jan 11, 2010 12:26 PM CST reply actions  

I like Kirby Smart

but I don’t like the coach in waiting concept. Think about it! Would Bear Bryant ever have agreed to be a coach in waiting? How about Nick Saban? Can you see him agreeing to something like that?

The answer to the problem of what to do when Saban leaves is simple. You make a list of the best head coaches out there and go after #1.

If you think about it the only two times Bama has ever done that was when we hired Bryant and when we hired Saban. Other than those two hires, the rest of our hires, in a way, have been compromise candidates. Sometimes we hired candidates with no head coaching experience (What were we thinking!!)

ESPN etc. thought the Bama job was not attractive when we got Saban. But now we have a huge stadium and a great program. The truth is if Saban left today we would have a shot at whomever is the best head coach in land.

I hate the NCAA more than UT & AU combined. At least with UT & AU you got a fighting chance.

by 5026 on Jan 11, 2010 1:02 PM CST reply actions  

Bad Idea

If we hire a former Alabama assistant as head coach when Coach Saban leaves, I would rather it be one who has prior head coaching experience. This is no place for a coach to get his first head job

I'll put you through hell, but at the end of it all we'll be champions.

by REG233710 on Jan 11, 2010 1:13 PM CST reply actions  

I guess...

…I should have read the whole thread before posting my comment above…great minds….

"High standards come from passion within...." --Coach Nick Saban

by NiceLittleSaturday on Jan 11, 2010 3:50 PM CST up reply actions  

What I see

is that with a coach in waiting I think your overall recruiting is compromised. If i were a big time recruit I wouldn’t want to go where a coach is leaving in two-three years. But that is my opinion, we see how good of a class the Gators have in 2010 even though coaching is a question.

'Mark Ingram' is the Heisman Winner!

by rmathis on Jan 11, 2010 3:34 PM CST reply actions  

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