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Around SBN: The Gift Of The 2003 Tigers

Things To Freak Out About for 2010: Coaching Attrition

Alabama DC Kirby Smart. Photo Alex Gilbert

Last December, as Alabama was preparing for its first National Championship game in a generation, the future of the team's Frank Broyles Award-winning Defensive Coordinator Kirby Smart was very much the center of debate. From the moment Georgia showed beleaguered DC  Willie Martinez the door last December, Smart was at the top of Dawg Nation's list of replacements. While the former Georgia player and coach was pursued heavily by his alma mater, Smart eventually declined the offer and Georgia chose another Saban protege, Todd Grantham, instead.

And he's not the only one on Saban's staff being eyed enviously by Athletic Directors of other schools (not to mention the fanbases). Crimson Tide offensive coordinator Jim McElwain has been wooed for head coach by the likes of San Jose State, Marshall, UNLV and Louisville and it's more likely than not that his name will continue to come up as HC vacancies emerge.

Alabama should prepare themselves for the parade of programs looking to lure it's coaches away and the wild-haired media speculation that traditionally accompanies it. And as the annual coaching bloodbath starts in mid-November or so, that's a good two months of distractions for a Crimson Tide team that needs to focus on key post-season games.

For his part, Smart downplayed the situation in January saying that his lifelong goal was to be a defensive coordinator: "If I ever got a chance at a head job, that’s great. But that’s not something I’m going to draw my career, and say, ‘You know what, I’m a failure (because) I didn’t get to be a head coach.'"

Which did wonders to quell the speculation and keep the issue from becoming too much of a distraction heading into the contest with the Texas Longhorns in Pasadena... but that sentiment is not likely to diffuse the almost certain repeat of the situation next season.

Star-divide

In light of the furor around Smart last year, Saban made an interesting comment about his coaches departing for other positions:

I'm not pleased when guys make lateral moves because it's a little bit human nature to think – like my dad used to say, the grass is always greener on top of the septic tank. You always think it's better someplace else.

Quite a few folks took the comment as a personal affront and missed his point entirely. One of the natural results from working in a successful program is to be courted by other programs who want to emulate that success. The success of Saban's assistants elsewhere is a testament to this. But it does nobody any good if a quality coach takes a job that is a bad fit professionally.

And Coach Saban obviously puts a lot of effort in in finding coaches for his staff that fit his system precisely. Saban brought Kirby Smart with him to Tuscaloosa in 2007 and named him the defensive coordinator shortly afterward. McElwain was the OC at Fresno State when Saban tapped him in 2008 to take over the position at Alabama in the wake of Major Applewhite's departure for Texas after one year in the position. With the pair at the helm, Alabama has seen an astonishing improvement in performance.

While the head coach is answerable for the win/loss record, the coordinators must account for the ability of the team to score and be scored upon. The overall production on the field is a component of this that bears examination as well. Looking at both the points per game and yards per play over the past six years, there's a marked improvement on both sides of the ball since McElwain and Smart took over their respective positions.

Productiongraf_medium

Since Smart has been coordinator, an already good defense has undergone substantial improvement. Opposing offenses now produce a yard less per play when running the ball and there has been a 25% reduction in pass efficiency against the Crimson Tide defense -- the latter of particular significance as the defensive secondary is also part of Smart's job description.

It's a mirror image on offense under McElwain. Alabama's running game has improved by a yard-and-a-half per carry since 2007 and the team's passing rating of 138.46 last year was almost 20% better than under Applewhite.

While there remain key elements of Alabama's game that need to show improvement, the overall trend for both the offense and the defense has been unmistakable. And that's only one part of the package Smart and McElwain have to offer. They've got an almost unparalleled familiarity with Saban's highly successful recruiting system - something other programs are eager to replicate.

The Two Macs

Greg McElroy and Jim McElwain. Photo Alex Gilbert

Working under Saban is, once again, a sterling credential in this department for up and coming coaches. While Coach Saban gets the credit for the program's three straight top-five recruiting classes, the fact is the real work is done by his coaching staff (particularly since new rules restricting head coach's access to players have been created).

McElwain and Smart each have key recruiting responsibilities for Alabama. This year McElwain has snagged the commitment of five-star safety Ha'Sean Clinton-Dix while Smart has convinced four-star defensive end La Michael Fanning to play for the Crimson Tide. So they both have a proven record for luring top flight talent to play for them.

While coaching attrition is a certainty for any successful program, Coach Saban has taken steps to limit it's effect to the on-field product. The most obvious step was in netting raises for the key personnel on his staff.

Smart saw his salary double in the wake of Georgia's overtures. His new contract, approved in February, is worth $750,000 per year. He made $360,000 in 2009 plus $72,000 in bonuses. This puts him in the top tier of defensive coordinators in terms of pay. McElwain received $360,000 for his work last season and stands to make $410,000 in 2010 after he was granted an increase earlier this year.

The pay raises don't ensure he coaches will stay at The Capstone indefinitely, but they do mean that programs wanting to woo key people away from Saban's staff will have to pay them on par in what they are worth. Instead of a revolving door of assistants, it creates a more manageable stability in terms of coaching turnover.

But turnover in the coaching staff is inevitable as losing key players to the NFL draft and it's a  situation Alabama is going to have to weather every season for as long as Coach Saban is running the show.

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and just for comparison's sake

i did a version of that points per game graf for the last ten years as well.

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by kleph on Jun 9, 2010 10:21 AM CDT reply actions  

Yay for the crashing gray line!

RollBamaRoll.com - Also check out my music blog: Hear the World, which is exploring the music of MALI in June 2010.

by Nico2.0 on Jun 9, 2010 10:53 AM CDT up reply actions  

the one weird thing about that graf...

is that on a points per game basis, shula’s defense in ‘05 was more successful than last year’s squad. OTS suggests that the reason for that may be the inferior level of opposition the crimson tide faced that season.

Roll 'Bama Roll: The Champagne of 'Bama Blogs.

by kleph on Jun 9, 2010 11:10 AM CDT up reply actions  

Our '05 Defense gave up the 2nd fewest PPG in the SEC since it went to 12 teams

Only the ‘92 D was better. Part of that I’m sure was the level of opposition, but I have a few other ideas as well:

1. No pressure on opposing offenses to score a lot – Notice the O that year scored the second fewest on the chart. In the 5 games with Prothro, we averaged 29.6 PPG. After his injury it was just 16.4, and only 13.3PPG if you factor out the 35 points against Utah St. The second most we scored over the final 7 games of the season was 18 at Auburn.
2. Ryans, Anderson, and Harper. Had Harper not gotten hurt, these three might have finished 1-2-3 in NFL defensive rookie of the year voting in ‘06.
3. Red Zone D. The ’05 D was crazy good in the red zone. In the 3rd game of the year, South Carolina scored a meaningless red zone TD in the fourth quarter against our backups. In the 4th quarter of the 10th game of the year, LSU scored on a 4th down dive from a yard or so away. In the 6 and 3/4 games between those scores, opponents had 18 red zone opportunities and came away with 6 FGs and 0 TDs. That’s 1 point per red zone opportunity. For comparison, last years D led the nation comfortably with 3.29 PPRZO. I’ve been searching for the season long red zone numbers for the ‘05 season and haven’t been able to find them. If anyone can, I’d love to see them. (I’d also like to see the ’92 D stats for this category).

by zeke2029 on Jun 9, 2010 12:02 PM CDT up reply actions  

here is the stats page for 2005 from rolltide.com: http://www.rolltide.com/sports/m-footbl/stats/2005-2006/teamstat.html

and here is the page with the info on that Alabama season over at cfbstats.com: http://www.cfbstats.com/2005/team/8/index.html

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by kleph on Jun 9, 2010 12:07 PM CDT up reply actions  

Is this just regular season,

or does it include post season as well, because if that is the case, then SOS and the fact that we played one additional opponent would make a difference.

by jsholt969 on Jun 9, 2010 12:48 PM CDT up reply actions  

it is all games played...

which is why i used season averages for comparison instead of cumulative totals.

Roll 'Bama Roll: The Champagne of 'Bama Blogs.

by kleph on Jun 9, 2010 1:26 PM CDT up reply actions  

Great write up.

Obviously we are going to eventually lose Smart and McElwain. More than likely to head coaching positions.

But for 2010 I think one of our strengths is that basically we have the same staff in position for the 3rd year in row.

I hate the NCAA more than UT & AU combined. At least with UT & AU you got a fighting chance.

by 5026 on Jun 9, 2010 10:37 AM CDT reply actions  

this one is a "freak out" entry by default

my specific concern for 2010 is that we’ll be dealing with this chatter as we enter the key final stretch of the season. but, in honesty, this problem is one that’s a bit further out in terms of things to be well and fully freaked out about.

that said, mcelwain didn’t even know alabama had an opening when saban called him to offer him the job. it’s clear that he had identified the fresno state OC as a quality assistant some time before and was waiting on the opportunity to bring him into the fold (one thing that the numbers reflect is that applewhite’s passing offense was one of the worst in tuscaloosa since the start of shula’s tenure. it’s pretty clear in retrospect that he was invited to leave and take the texas job).

i’m certain that saban has a short list in his desk of assistants to bring on board and it’s full of a lot of names you and i wouldn’t even suspect. and i’m just as certain he’s got very solid reasons to think each and every one of those guys will fill in admirably for mcelwain and smart.

Roll 'Bama Roll: The Champagne of 'Bama Blogs.

by kleph on Jun 9, 2010 10:50 AM CDT up reply actions  

After JM becomes a Sun Devil or Cougar
  1. on the wish list would be someone who is a Chris Ault or Belotti legacy…When they are humming, there is absolutely no prettier offense in college than the Duck’s spread option and the Wolf Pack’s pistol option.

"Hush now, let it go now. I know it's time to go. Time to let this fall from my hands" VNV Nation, "From My Hands"

by Stuck in the Plains on Jun 9, 2010 11:09 AM CDT up reply actions  

Here's the problem to those guys...

CNS is not a spread-option guy – at least not as the dominant form of offense. He’s a pro-style guy.

He’d have to get someone that is pro-style, but has the creativity to expand the options using spread principles/concepts. This is why I think McElwain is a perfect fit for us.

by CaliforniaTide on Jun 9, 2010 2:51 PM CDT up reply actions  

Oh, I know...

but it’s very fun to watch.

"Hush now, let it go now. I know it's time to go. Time to let this fall from my hands" VNV Nation, "From My Hands"

by Stuck in the Plains on Jun 9, 2010 5:13 PM CDT up reply actions  

Is Applewhite still on staff in Austin?

I don’t remember hearing much talk about him before the CG last January, but maybe I just missed it.

by CarrotTop4 on Jun 9, 2010 9:30 PM CDT up reply actions  

Yes...

…he coaches RBs and was on the sidelines in Pasadena.

"High standards come from passion within...." --Coach Nick Saban

by NiceLittleSaturday on Jun 9, 2010 10:48 PM CDT up reply actions  

Excellent...and yes, this is a great area of freak out

but I’ll be a lot more concerned in ’11, when (for instance) Arizona State has an opening, and Mac goes back West.

"Hush now, let it go now. I know it's time to go. Time to let this fall from my hands" VNV Nation, "From My Hands"

by Stuck in the Plains on Jun 9, 2010 11:04 AM CDT reply actions  

That will be bittersweet for me...

…hearing from my bro-in-law how ASU ‘poached’ our OC. I’ll just remind him unless they commit to excellence to their program he’ll use it as a primer to find another, better head coaching gig.

It's not what you've done but what you are doing that matters.

And the roses in this grand ol' stadium are once again Crimson. - Eli Gold, CTSN Broadcast of the BCS Championship Game at the Rose Bowl, 1-7-2010

by AlabamaJammer on Jun 9, 2010 2:37 PM CDT up reply actions  

man. i'd LOVE to see mcelwain in tempe...

he’d CRUSH those pansies in the Pac 10. ASU has a jaw dropping amount of resources at it’s disposal that just go wasted. imagining a saban disciple in charge and getting it up to its potential is kind of frightening, actually.

Roll 'Bama Roll: The Champagne of 'Bama Blogs.

by kleph on Jun 9, 2010 2:42 PM CDT up reply actions  

I can see that. Just going from the razz angle from in laws.

Otherwise it would be good to know I can party every Saturday with him watching an offense that could win championships. That would get the south end zone lively again.

It's not what you've done but what you are doing that matters.

And the roses in this grand ol' stadium are once again Crimson. - Eli Gold, CTSN Broadcast of the BCS Championship Game at the Rose Bowl, 1-7-2010

by AlabamaJammer on Jun 9, 2010 4:37 PM CDT up reply actions  

With Kiffin and Chip Kelly as his nemeses?

Yea, it would be very frightening for the rest of the crew.

"Hush now, let it go now. I know it's time to go. Time to let this fall from my hands" VNV Nation, "From My Hands"

by Stuck in the Plains on Jun 9, 2010 5:12 PM CDT up reply actions  

Jaw-dropping is right...

the women alone would sell most 18-19 y.o.s…that and flash a lil’ NC bling at them.

"Hush now, let it go now. I know it's time to go. Time to let this fall from my hands" VNV Nation, "From My Hands"

by Stuck in the Plains on Jun 9, 2010 5:13 PM CDT up reply actions  

…and if there was any question on why I have season tickets and parking passes for taligating…

It's not what you've done but what you are doing that matters.

And the roses in this grand ol' stadium are once again Crimson. - Eli Gold, CTSN Broadcast of the BCS Championship Game at the Rose Bowl, 1-7-2010

by AlabamaJammer on Jun 9, 2010 8:20 PM CDT up reply actions  

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