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SEC Running Back Success Rates | Week Thirteen

Week One | Week Two | Week Three | Week Four | Week Five
Week Six | Week Seven | Week Eight | Week Nine | Week Ten | Week Eleven

*programming note: due to a lack of internet last week there was no Week Twelve update, which really wasn't a big deal since pretty much everyone was either playing an FCS team or, worse, Ole Miss. The numbers have been crunched and are included in the cumulative stats after the jump, but you'll just have to wait for the fancy end of season charts to see that week's numbers cause making these tables are a pain.

For those of you who are new to this, the Running Back Success Rate is a measure of how "successful" each of a running back's rushing attempts are. A "successful" run is one that :

Gains at least 40% of the yardage needed to move the chains on 1st down
Gains at least 60% of the yardage needed to move the chains on 2nd down
Gains at least 100% of the yardage needed to move the chains on 3rd and 4th down

On to the numbers...

WEEK THIRTEEN

Player Team Total ATT Successful ATT Success Rate Gained AVG
Trent Richardson Alabama  27 14 52% 203 7.5
Eddie Lacy Alabama 4 1 25% 6 1.5
Jalston Fowler Alabama 1 1 100% 15 15.0
Michael Dyer Auburn  13 7 54% 48 3.7
Onterio McCalebb Auburn 5 3 60% 6 1.2
Jeff Demps Florida  4 0 0% -8 -2.0
Chris Rainey Florida  15 6 40% 42 2.8
Spencer Ware LSU  8 4 50% 37 4.6
Michael Ford LSU  11 9 82% 96 8.7
Vick Ballard Mississippi State  23 11 48% 144 6.3
Tauren Poole Tennessee  19 11 58% 107 5.6

Obvious caveat first, yes Jalston Fowler has a 100% success rate but it was one run at the end of a blowout so we're gonna give the crown to Michael Ford, who's 82% success rate and 8.7 yards per carry are a pretty big reason LSU completely stomped Arkansas despite their early game momentum.

The most interesting numbers this week come from Auburn. No really. Stop laughing. Both Dyer and McCalebb had very respectable success rate percentages against our defense, but the ypc averages tell the story.  Between the two, only McCalebb had a 10 yard run, a sharp decline from the "big play" runs they've routinely managed over the course of the season.  I've sad over and over again that these guys are boom or bust backs, either gaining 20 yards or losing 2, but in this game they actually managed to do the whole traditional running back "grind out good yardage on the early downs" routine, but unfortunately for them that's just not what Gus Malzahn's offense is built around.  Just imagine if they had a quarterback....

Finally, Trent Richardson was his typical workhorse self.  His success rate was a little low for him, but considering we've struggled to run against Auburn the last two seasons I'll take it, especially coupled with 203 yards and a 7.5 yard average.  Even more impressive is that he had five 10+ yard runs, including two of 35 and 57 yards, respectively, so he was again his usual blend of explosive playmaker and workhorse grinder.

Star-divide

CUMULATIVE

Player Team Games Total ATT Successful ATT Success Rate Gained AVG
Trent Richardson Alabama 12 263 154 59% 1583 6.0
Eddie Lacy Alabama 11 84 45 54% 631 7.5
Jalston Fowler Alabama 9 56 30 54% 385 6.9
Blake Sims Alabama 4 22 10 45% 102 4.6
Ronnie Wingo, Jr. Arkansas 10 91 45 49% 424 4.7
Michael Dyer Auburn 12 242 121 50% 1242 5.1
Onterio McCalebb Auburn 12 102 44 43% 532 5.2
Michael Ford LSU 12 117 71 61% 721 6.2
Spencer Ware LSU 11 168 86 51% 687 4.1
Vick Ballard Miss. State 12 179 93 52% 1009 5.6
Jeff Demps Florida 11 91 39 43% 539 5.9
Chris Rainey Florida 11 155 76 49% 790 5.1
Isaiah Crowell Georgia 10 172 76 44% 832 4.8
Marcus Lattimore South Carolina 7 163 90 55% 818 5.0
Tauren Poole Tennessee 12 187 77 41% 693 3.7

Not a lot of interesting notes we can make out of the cumulative numbers this week beyond Michael Ford overtaking Trent Richardson as the most successful back.  Given Trent has well over double the carries, the fact he's leading in every other category really tells you something.  And just looking at the rest of the group, beyond the cupcake fueled success of Vick Ballard and Michael Dyer, there just isn't anyone else even close to LSU and Alabama's backfields.

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Fowler

"Those are just facts and facts are just opinions and opinions can be wrong"
-Veronica, Better Off Ted

by Zoltar on Nov 29, 2011 9:06 AM CST reply actions  

The 3 backs with the highest per carry averages are Alabama backs.

That’s as unfair as a rematch. lol

"All I wanna do is drive around in my truck and drink Jack Daniels... and they just don't understand."- Kenny Stabler

by UtahBammer on Nov 29, 2011 9:08 AM CST reply actions  

erp. need coffee. Trent at 6.0. Ford at 6.2. Still impressive.

"All I wanna do is drive around in my truck and drink Jack Daniels... and they just don't understand."- Kenny Stabler

by UtahBammer on Nov 29, 2011 9:10 AM CST up reply actions  

Ford really upped his numbers the past two weeks...

…against Ole Miss and Arkansas. I’m going to go back and factor out all the non-conference cupackes that have been played and only use the numbers vs BCS competition and see how well everyone does after the season.

Roll Bama Roll - The Champagne of Bama Blogs.

by Todd on Nov 29, 2011 9:24 AM CST up reply actions  

Well, IIRC

I read at SI that TR has gone up against 8 Top 50 defenses vs. 4 for Luck. As for Ford, I’m curious, since LSU has played a tougher schedule.

"The same things win today that have always won, and they will win years from now. The only difference is the losers have a whole new bunch of excuses why they don’t win or can’t win."-Bear Bryant
"Gentlemen, touchdowns follow blocking as sure as night follows day." - General Robert Neyland
General Robert Neyland's 7 Maxims of Football
1. The team that makes the fewest mistakes will win.
2. Play for and make the breaks and when one comes your way - SCORE.
3. If at first the game - or the breaks - go against you, don't let up... put on more steam.
4. Protect our kickers, our QB, our lead and our ball game.
5. Ball, oskie, cover, block, cut and slice, pursue and gang tackle... for this is the WINNING EDGE.
6. Press the kicking game. Here is where the breaks are made.
7. Carry the fight to our opponent and keep it there for 60 minutes.

Robot Chicken Star Wars should be canon.

by the thin red line on Nov 29, 2011 9:37 AM CST up reply actions  

Yeah,

I miss Glen myself. Couldn’t restrain, sorry.

by Brad Bowen on Nov 29, 2011 5:57 PM CST up reply actions  

I hit reply underneath the

need coffee comment. I wish I had a button to delete my own comments sometimes.

by Brad Bowen on Nov 29, 2011 6:01 PM CST up reply actions  

Great statistical analysis, as usual.

And our love our stable of thoroughbreds. And Trent truly is a combo of explosion and grind.

"The same things win today that have always won, and they will win years from now. The only difference is the losers have a whole new bunch of excuses why they don’t win or can’t win."-Bear Bryant
"Gentlemen, touchdowns follow blocking as sure as night follows day." - General Robert Neyland
General Robert Neyland's 7 Maxims of Football
1. The team that makes the fewest mistakes will win.
2. Play for and make the breaks and when one comes your way - SCORE.
3. If at first the game - or the breaks - go against you, don't let up... put on more steam.
4. Protect our kickers, our QB, our lead and our ball game.
5. Ball, oskie, cover, block, cut and slice, pursue and gang tackle... for this is the WINNING EDGE.
6. Press the kicking game. Here is where the breaks are made.
7. Carry the fight to our opponent and keep it there for 60 minutes.

Robot Chicken Star Wars should be canon.

by the thin red line on Nov 29, 2011 9:21 AM CST reply actions  

Horses, y'all.

He meant horses.

'There are two pains in life. There is the pain of discipline and the pain of disappointment. If you can handle the pain of discipline, then you'll never have to deal with the pain of disappointment,'- Nick Saban

by J Tadpole on Nov 29, 2011 9:30 AM CST up reply actions  

Is thoroughbred not PC back in the US?

I’ve been away 11 years, if you count Hawaii.

"The same things win today that have always won, and they will win years from now. The only difference is the losers have a whole new bunch of excuses why they don’t win or can’t win."-Bear Bryant
"Gentlemen, touchdowns follow blocking as sure as night follows day." - General Robert Neyland
General Robert Neyland's 7 Maxims of Football
1. The team that makes the fewest mistakes will win.
2. Play for and make the breaks and when one comes your way - SCORE.
3. If at first the game - or the breaks - go against you, don't let up... put on more steam.
4. Protect our kickers, our QB, our lead and our ball game.
5. Ball, oskie, cover, block, cut and slice, pursue and gang tackle... for this is the WINNING EDGE.
6. Press the kicking game. Here is where the breaks are made.
7. Carry the fight to our opponent and keep it there for 60 minutes.

Robot Chicken Star Wars should be canon.

by the thin red line on Nov 29, 2011 9:38 AM CST reply actions  

Oops !

I was jasand-free there for a while.

"The same things win today that have always won, and they will win years from now. The only difference is the losers have a whole new bunch of excuses why they don’t win or can’t win."-Bear Bryant
"Gentlemen, touchdowns follow blocking as sure as night follows day." - General Robert Neyland
General Robert Neyland's 7 Maxims of Football
1. The team that makes the fewest mistakes will win.
2. Play for and make the breaks and when one comes your way - SCORE.
3. If at first the game - or the breaks - go against you, don't let up... put on more steam.
4. Protect our kickers, our QB, our lead and our ball game.
5. Ball, oskie, cover, block, cut and slice, pursue and gang tackle... for this is the WINNING EDGE.
6. Press the kicking game. Here is where the breaks are made.
7. Carry the fight to our opponent and keep it there for 60 minutes.

Robot Chicken Star Wars should be canon.

by the thin red line on Nov 29, 2011 9:39 AM CST up reply actions  

Yep...

…get Neyland-free and you’ll be golden….

"High standards come from passion within...." --Coach Nick Saban

by NiceLittleSaturday on Nov 29, 2011 1:20 PM CST up reply actions  

Hawaii counts as abroad.

/weeps softly.

Inanity @gothlaw

"Imagination was given to man to compensate him for what he is not; a sense of humor to console him for what he is." -Sir Francis Bacon

by Stuck in the Plains on Nov 29, 2011 11:57 AM CST up reply actions  

They serve Spam sushi.

I don’t think Hawai’i counts as “abroad”. I think that counts as another planet. Also, while I was abroad the Internet, I saw a broad.

Dark Angel: a show that passed before its time, but went out in style.

I will put an asterisk next to an Alabama Crimson Tide "fake national title" the second one is given. That day has not and will never come. But to be fair, I'll give you 1941 if you give me 1945 and the Missing Ring of 1966.

by NewAnachronism on Nov 29, 2011 7:54 PM CST up reply actions  

Spam sux.

Spam musubi sux.

I lived in Honolulu when Bama played Hawaii. First time Fran did not have his players there. We won. Second time under Shula we lost.

"The same things win today that have always won, and they will win years from now. The only difference is the losers have a whole new bunch of excuses why they don’t win or can’t win."-Bear Bryant

Robot Chicken Star Wars should be canon.

by the thin red line on Nov 30, 2011 12:35 AM CST up reply actions  

Yeah, I was only there for the second one,

the one we lost. :(

But Hawaii was amazing. Still a great trip.

God bless our Dark Lord.

by CarrotTop4 on Nov 30, 2011 1:26 PM CST up reply actions  

Great place to visit, but wouldn’t want to live there.

Really beautiful. Beautiful girls like you ’ve never seen before. But socially, politically, economically third world.

Saw June Jones at the supermarket once. Really tall.

"The same things win today that have always won, and they will win years from now. The only difference is the losers have a whole new bunch of excuses why they don’t win or can’t win."-Bear Bryant

Robot Chicken Star Wars should be canon.

by the thin red line on Nov 30, 2011 8:16 PM CST up reply actions  

I feel the same way about Utah.

I will put an asterisk next to an Alabama Crimson Tide "fake national title" the second one is given. That day has not and will never come. But to be fair, I'll give you 1941 if you give me 1945 and the Missing Ring of 1966.

by NewAnachronism on Nov 30, 2011 8:37 PM CST up reply actions  

Fran did not have his players ready.

Probably near or at 500 posts on RBR, and 100 are self-correction replies.
-

"The same things win today that have always won, and they will win years from now. The only difference is the losers have a whole new bunch of excuses why they don’t win or can’t win."-Bear Bryant

Robot Chicken Star Wars should be canon.

by the thin red line on Nov 30, 2011 8:18 PM CST up reply actions  

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