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The Alabama Crimson Tide November Report

With the Iron Bowl complete, Alabama's 2011 regular season has come to a close. The particular post-season destination has yet to be determined but, for now, lets take a look back at where this squad stands in comparison with the rest of college football after a dozen games. For comparison sake, here are the September and October versions of this rundown.

Here are all the categories from the NCAA's 2011 FBS Football Statistics page that Alabama appears in the top ten.

NCAA SEC Holder Category Statistic
1 1 team Rushing Defense (yd/gm) 74.92
1 1 team Passing Defense (yd/gm) 116.33
1 1 team Total Defense (yd/gm) 191.25
1 1 team Scoring Defense (pts/gm) 8.83
1 1 team Defensive Pass Efficiency
83.97
1 1 team First Down Defense (tot/gm) 10.5
1 1 team Defensive 3rd Down Efficiency (Atts/Conv) 0.25
1 1 team Defensive Red Zone Efficiency (Drive/Score) 0.59
1 (tie) 1 (tie) team Fumbles Lost 4
3 1 team Fewest Penalties (tot/gm) 4
3 (tie) 2 (tie) team Fewest Turnovers Lost 12
4 1 team Fewest Penalty Yards (tot/gm) 33.67
6 1 Trent Richardson Rushing (yd/gm) 131.92
6 1 Trent Richardson Scoring (pts/gm) 11.5
8 1 Trent Richardson All-Purpose Runner (yd/gm) 164.67
10 3 Marquis Maze Punt Returns (yd/ret) 12.39

As you probably have heard, the Alabama defense is pretty darned good this year. How good? How about 1992-level good. You have to go back to Gene Stallings National Championship squad to find an Alabama defense that performed better than the 2011 version - and even then it's only a difference of degree.

On the offensive side of the ball, the engine that makes it all go is Number 3. With the bowl game still ahead, Trent Richardson holds the school season rushing touchdown record and he's just 75 yards shy of breaking Mark Ingram's season rushing record. Without a doubt, this season he's has absolutely lived up to the considerable hype that has followed him his whole career at the Capstone.

And a testament to the focus of this squad are the extremely low penalty and turnover's lost numbers. Coach Saban preaches the elimination of mistakes and few teams he's led onto the field have done it better.

After the jump are the rest of the Alabama team and individual rankings.

Star-divide

Alabama's Regular Season Individual Stat Leaders
NCAA SEC Holder Category Statistic
71 3 AJ McCarron Total Offense (yd/gm) 197.25

9 Trent Richardson Total Offense (yd/gm) 131.92

24 Eddie Lacy Total Offense (yd/gm) 57.36
6 1 Trent Richardson Rushing (yd/gm) 131.92

11 Eddie Lacy Rushing (yd/gm) 57.36

23 Jalston Fowler Rushing (yd/gm) 32.08
22 3 AJ McCarron Pass Efficiency (rating) 149.8
63 (tie) 3 AJ McCarron Passing (cpl/gm) 16.33
61 3 AJ McCarron Passing (yards/gm) 200
84 (tie) 3 Marquis Maze Receptions (tot/gm) 4.67

25 (tie) Darius Hanks Receptions (tot/gm) 2.33

7 Marquis Maze Receiving (yds/gm) 52.25

22 Darius Hanks Receiving (yds/gm) 30
8 1 Trent Richardson All-Purpose Runner (yd/gm) 164.67
74 4 Marquis Maze All-Purpose Runner (yd/gm) 112.25

20 Eddie Lacy All-Purpose Runner (yd/gm) 69.27
6 1 Trent Richardson Scoring (pts/gm) 11.5
27 4 Jeremy Shelly Scoring (pts/gm) 8.33

22 (tie) Eddie Lacy Scoring (pts/gm) 3.82
80 (tie) 11 (tie) Dee Milliner Interceptions (int/gm) 0.25
41 (tie) 5 (tie) Dee Milliner Passes Defended (tot/gm) 1
41 (tie) 5 (tie) DeQuan Menzie Passes Defended (tot/gm) 1

14 (tie) Dont'a Hightower Tackles (tot/gm) 6.75
20 (tie) 2 Courtney Upshaw Tackles for Loss (tot/gm) 1.33

19 Dont'a Hightower Tackles for Loss (tot/gm) 0.79
39 (tie) 7 Courtney Upshaw Sacks (tot/gm) 0.62

17 Nick Gentry Sacks (tot/gm) 0.32

23 (tie) Dont'a Hightower Sacks (tot/gm) 0.25
25 (tie) 4 (tie) Jeremy Shelly Field Goals (tot/gm) 1.33

13 Cade Foster Field Goals (tot/gm) 0.17
10 3 Marquis Maze Punt Returns (yd/ret) 12.39

What this graph tells us is that April 26 is going to be bittersweet as hell. Between the guys we know who will be high draft picks and the seniors whose production earned them a place on this list, attrition next year will be brutal. But lets not get ahead of ourselves...

One thing that sticks out is how AJ McCarron has emerged as a very reliable passer. He may not be in Greg McElroy's league when it comes to passing efficiency but he's done quite well for his inaugural season in the fire against SEC defenses. Make no mistake, there's still a ton of work to be done but if he can finally develop that vertical passing threat we all dream about next season we'll be cooking with hot grease.

Alabama's Regular Season Offensive Statistics
NCAA SEC Category Statistic
15 1 Rushing Offense (Yds/Game) 219.83
74 4 Passing Offense (Yds/Game) 213.58
31 2 Total Offense (Yds/Game) 433.42
16 3 Scoring Offense (Points/Game) 36
29 (tie) 8 (tie) Fewest Interceptions Thrown 8
29 4 Passing Efficiency 144.35
1 (tie) 1 (tie) Fumbles Lost 4
3 (tie) 2 (tie) Turnovers Lost 12
40 (tie) 2 Tackles for Loss Allowed (Tot/Game) 5.25
26 2 Sacks Allowed (Tot/Game) 1.25
39 3 First Down Offense (Tot/Game) 21.58
11 1 3rd Down Efficiency (Atts/Conv) 49.02
18 (tie) 5 4th Down Efficiency (Att/Conv) 63.64
24 (tie) 2 (tie) Red Zone Efficiency (Drive/Score) 0.87
14 3 Time of Possession (Tot/Game) 32.35

The consensus about the Alabama offense this year is that the running game is world class and the passing game mediocre. There's nothing in these numbers to disabuse you of those notions. But the end result is an offense that's in the top third of college football in terms of yards and inside 16th in terms of points. That's not something to sniff at.

What matters more is that Alabama's 3rd down efficiency is just outside of the top ten nationally and leads the conference. In fact, this year's squad performs significantly better in this department than both 2010 (44.37) and 2009 (39.18). When the chains need to be moved, this unit finds ways to get it done. That's also reflected in the red zone numbers although not to the same degree due to the smaller sample size.

Alabama's Regular Season Defensive Statistics
NCAA SEC Category Statistic
1 1 Rushing Defense (Yds/Game) 74.92
1 1 Passing Defense (Yds/Game) 116.33
1 1 Total Defense (Yds/Game) 191.25
1 1 Scoring Defense (Points/Game) 8.83
42 (tie) 6 (tie) Passes Intercepted 12
1 1 Defensive Pass Efficiency
83.97
103 11 Fumble Recoveries 6
79 (tie) 8 (tie) Turnovers Gained 18
22 3 Tackles for Loss (Total/Game) 7
43 (tie) 3 Sacks (Total/Game) 2.08
1 1 First Down Defense (Tot/Game) 10.5
1 1 3rd Down Efficiency (Atts/Conv) 25
35 (tie) 4 4th Down Efficiency (Att/Conv) 44
1 1 Red Zone Efficiency (Drive/Score) 0.59

Well, pretty much the entirety of this section is already posted above its worth noting a few categories that aren't in the top tier nationally. One surprising ranking is passes intercepted where Alabama is tied for 42nd and slap dab in the middle of the SEC pack. Over the past two year's Alabama has been one of the country's leaders in this category but this year the numbers are about half those final marks. It's an interesting development for such a dominant defense, to be sure.

Even more perplexing is the woeful fumble recovery numbers. Now we've looked at the details of the turnover statistics in the past and noted this is an extremely random statistic but there are only eight teams in all of college football who have recovered fewer fumbles than Alabama this year. Yet the Crimson Tide's fumble recovery percentage is 40% and that's a lot closer to the mean - just as we expected in the wake of last year's bizarre numbers.

Once again, sacks and tackles for loss stats are less than one would expect but, by now, we've seen enough success out of the defensive front seven to trust Coach Saban's admonition that these two categories are ancillary to the performance of the unit.

Alabama's Special Teams, Turnover Margin and Penalty Statistics
NCAA SEC Category Statistic
63 9 Punting Average (Net Avg. Yards/Punt) 36.42
17 4 Punt Returns (Yards/Return) 12.22
23 4 Punt Return Defense (Yards/Return) 5
24 2 Kickoff Return (Yards/Return) 23.71
62 5 Kickoff Return Defense (Yds/Ret) 21.74
26 3 Turnover Margin 0.5
3 1 Fewest Penalties (Total/Game) 4
4 1 Fewest Penalty Yards (Total/Game) 33.67

Yes, punting and kickoff return defense are just about where you expect if you've been watching at all for the past few months. But, as you saw at the start of this post, Marquis Maze is in the top ten in the nation for punt returns, giving a boost to Alabama's KO return numbers and turbocharging the punt return totals.

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This year's D...

…I’m having a hard time not calling them the best I’ve ever seen. The main thing that separates them from the ‘92 D is the game against Georgia Southern. Ima go out on a limb and say that, if we’d played them with a healthy team, they would have had less than half their rushing yards and failed to score. Still, this is one scary D. I heart them.

Also, I think our special teams coverage has been pretty good. If they had kickers/punters who performed consistently at a high level, they may have looked like an elite unit. That said, I’ve been encouraged by the improvement of our kickers this season…sans that nauseating kick to the 17 against the boogs (I mean, comon Cade, seriously).

"High standards come from passion within...." --Coach Nick Saban

by NiceLittleSaturday on Dec 1, 2011 9:28 AM CST reply actions  

Purely eyeball, yes this is the best defense I've ever seen.

Inanity @gothlaw

"Imagination was given to man to compensate him for what he is not; a sense of humor to console him for what he is." -Sir Francis Bacon

by Stuck in the Plains on Dec 1, 2011 12:03 PM CST up reply actions  

You can say that again....

"High standards come from passion within...." --Coach Nick Saban

by NiceLittleSaturday on Dec 1, 2011 4:02 PM CST up reply actions  

Purely eyeball, yes this is the best defense I've ever seen.

Inanity @gothlaw

"Imagination was given to man to compensate him for what he is not; a sense of humor to console him for what he is." -Sir Francis Bacon

by Stuck in the Plains on Dec 1, 2011 12:03 PM CST up reply actions  

Twice we’ve given up KRTDs.

I think that is 6 in 4 years now. And we had a FG blocked.

"The same things win today that have always won, and they will win years from now. The only difference is the losers have a whole new bunch of excuses why they don’t win or can’t win."-Bear Bryant

Robot Chicken Star Wars should be canon.

by the thin red line on Dec 2, 2011 12:07 AM CST up reply actions  

That GSU game was poorly scheduled.

We were better against the run this year than 1992 prior to that game.

We’ve had some pretty good defenses since 1992, with 2009 being the best until now. Do we have to wait another 20 years before Coach Smart produces another one of similar quality?

"The same things win today that have always won, and they will win years from now. The only difference is the losers have a whole new bunch of excuses why they don’t win or can’t win."-Bear Bryant

Robot Chicken Star Wars should be canon.

by the thin red line on Dec 2, 2011 12:58 AM CST up reply actions  

NFL scouts must be drooling over Bama's players

Pretty soon, we’ll be pulling just a little bit for every team in the League.

"Football has never been just a game to me. Never."
Paul William Bryant

by mr.peabody on Dec 1, 2011 10:09 AM CST reply actions  

I’d have to give the edge to this D over 92’s (and possibly any in college football history), because today’s game asks more from each player than ever before. Not to take anything away from Copeland and Company, but they weren’t dealing with the high powered offenses of that we see today.

by BSherrod on Dec 1, 2011 10:39 AM CST via iPhone app reply actions  

Fun and Gun

wasn’t too shabby. Miami, either.

"Football has never been just a game to me. Never."
Paul William Bryant

by mr.peabody on Dec 1, 2011 10:54 AM CST up reply actions  

True...

…except on the days they played us.

/toofullofalabama

"High standards come from passion within...." --Coach Nick Saban

by NiceLittleSaturday on Dec 1, 2011 4:03 PM CST up reply actions  

2011 Alabama

Would beat 1992 by about 10 points. No way a Sophomore Barker or Lassic scores on us. Palmer probably would may have gotten a cheap return TD, but that’s about it.

Inanity @gothlaw

"Imagination was given to man to compensate him for what he is not; a sense of humor to console him for what he is." -Sir Francis Bacon

by Stuck in the Plains on Dec 1, 2011 12:02 PM CST reply actions  

But apparently . . .

. . . our 1977 and 1978 wishbone attack would have killed this defense.

by toofull on Dec 1, 2011 12:27 PM CST up reply actions  

It's interesting that several pundits claimed . . .

. . . that we spent almost no time preparing for Ga. Sou. I wonder how true that was. It certainly looked like it, key injuries notwithstanding.

by toofull on Dec 1, 2011 12:54 PM CST up reply actions  

It did

We didn’t figure out how to cover the pitch man til the 4th quarter.

by glen55 on Dec 1, 2011 1:06 PM CST up reply actions  

Well we had spent all week preparing for Williams to play the nose,

and then he got sick and couldn’t play. So not only were we missing 3 of our 4 usual nose tackles, but the one that did play wasn’t really prepared. So yeah.

God bless our Dark Lord.

by CarrotTop4 on Dec 1, 2011 3:17 PM CST up reply actions  

Awesome +1

Inanity @gothlaw

"Imagination was given to man to compensate him for what he is not; a sense of humor to console him for what he is." -Sir Francis Bacon

by Stuck in the Plains on Dec 1, 2011 2:19 PM CST up reply actions  

"scores on us"

We have met the enemy and he is us!

God bless our Dark Lord.

by CarrotTop4 on Dec 1, 2011 12:44 PM CST up reply actions  

A stat the NCAA doesn't keep

and should, because it is pretty revealing about running backs:

total yards rushing and receiving

I looked at the rushing and receiving stats, and I’m next thing to certain that Trent is 2nd in the nation with 1910 yards. David Wilson of VA Tech has 2056.

by glen55 on Dec 1, 2011 1:05 PM CST reply actions  

AJ McCarron

22nd in the nation in passing efficiency (by far the stat you use to evaluate QBs).

That’s a pretty good number for a guy who doesn’t have a feature receiver. I’m not sure we have a single (eligible) receiver on the squad who will ever be a first-day draft pick.

AJ deserves more credit than he gets. He has gotten better as the season went along. He was shaky against Florida and Mississippi St., but even his bad games weren’t as bad as McElroy’s mid-season stretch in 2009. I take issue with anyone who says he played poorly in regulation against LSU, and he “played poorly” in OT, but how many conclusions should you draw from a single series of downs?

by glen55 on Dec 1, 2011 1:10 PM CST reply actions  

Maze may go late 2nd/3rd

He’s a play maker. Tough. Good slot and receiving guy.

Inanity @gothlaw

"Imagination was given to man to compensate him for what he is not; a sense of humor to console him for what he is." -Sir Francis Bacon

by Stuck in the Plains on Dec 1, 2011 2:20 PM CST up reply actions  

ooops. Meant return.

Inanity @gothlaw

"Imagination was given to man to compensate him for what he is not; a sense of humor to console him for what he is." -Sir Francis Bacon

by Stuck in the Plains on Dec 1, 2011 2:20 PM CST up reply actions  

Agreed

I think McCarron has made good decisions for the most part and I don’t think he’s been rattled all year, even after mistakes. For all GMac’s poise, he did have some headgames in 2009.

by kipling iffer on Dec 1, 2011 2:12 PM CST reply actions  

I gotta say...

…I’m still not completely sure how I feel about A?J! in the long term, but he’s exceeded my expectations with his play this year. Given his lack of experience and playing the best defenses in America, I’d have to say he’s done an excellent job this year.

"High standards come from passion within...." --Coach Nick Saban

by NiceLittleSaturday on Dec 1, 2011 4:06 PM CST up reply actions  

McCarron v McElroy passing efficiency stats

McCarron’s passing efficiency is 149.8.

McElroy’s was 140.55 his first year as a starter, 2009. He improved it a good bit to 168.98 as a senior.

I’d say that having a 10-point better passing efficiency as a first-year starter is pretty good, especially when you take into account that McElroy was throwing to Julio Jones.

Passing efficiency is by far the best single stat for QBs, but one important element it doesn’t take into account is sacks. Rolltide.com doesn’t track stats by QB, but as a team we took 1.93 sacks/game over 2009/2010 and have taken 1.25 sacks/game this year. Of course, that difference could easily be accounted for by the new OL coach + turnover in personnel, but personally my eyeballs tell me that McCarron is noticably better at getting rid of it than McElroy was.

by glen55 on Dec 1, 2011 5:28 PM CST up reply actions  

I think Sims has been sacked im almost every game he’s played in.

At least at the beginning of the year.

"The same things win today that have always won, and they will win years from now. The only difference is the losers have a whole new bunch of excuses why they don’t win or can’t win."-Bear Bryant

Robot Chicken Star Wars should be canon.

by the thin red line on Dec 2, 2011 12:10 AM CST up reply actions  

So AJ

has fewer than the stated total.

"The same things win today that have always won, and they will win years from now. The only difference is the losers have a whole new bunch of excuses why they don’t win or can’t win."-Bear Bryant

Robot Chicken Star Wars should be canon.

by the thin red line on Dec 2, 2011 12:59 AM CST up reply actions  

I think you're right and Sims has several of the sacks we've allowed

I thought about saying that in my post, but I can’t quantify it so I left it out. But I do think McCarron is very good at acting quickly enough to avoid pressure, the best we’ve had at that in a while.

by glen55 on Dec 2, 2011 12:01 PM CST up reply actions  

Except for one play.

In the Iron Bowl.

"The same things win today that have always won, and they will win years from now. The only difference is the losers have a whole new bunch of excuses why they don’t win or can’t win."-Bear Bryant

Robot Chicken Star Wars should be canon.

by the thin red line on Dec 2, 2011 6:51 PM CST up reply actions  

Over at Football Study Hall and Football Outsider

There is good analysis. The former site is SBN d provides a link to the latter.

Alabama is #2 DFEI (Defensive Fremeau Efficiency Index). LSU is #1, while OSU is #3. While Alabama is #1 for Defensive Efficiency, First Downs, Available Yards, Explosive Drives, and Value Drives, and #3 for Methodical Drives, it is #2 overall thanks to being only #92 for Defensive Previous SOS.

OSU’s otherwise mediocre D is helped out by #20 Defensive Previous SOS and #6 Defensive Future SOS.

Defensively we’re #1 for Passing S&P+ and Passing Downs S&P+ and #2 for Rushing S&P+ and Standard S&P+, with an overall #2 S&P+ rating, behind LSU. OSU is only #19 overall.

Alabama’s overall Offensive FEI is #18, while LSU is #12 and OSU only #24. Overall Game Efficiency has LSU #2, Alabama #3, and OSU #7. FEI has LSU #1, OSU #2, and Alabama #3 thanks to Special Teams, Field Position, SOS.

For Overall S&P+, LSU is #1, while Alabama is #2, and OSU is #6. LSU has a score of 301.4, Alabama 301.2.

Combined FEI and S&P+, otherwise known as F/+, has LSU #1(#2 O, 2 D, #3 ST), Alabama #2 (#10 O, #1 D, #80 ST), and OSU only #4 (# 9 O, #6 D, #13 ST).

I doubt any in America is awake to read this, or even would stay awake reading this.

"The same things win today that have always won, and they will win years from now. The only difference is the losers have a whole new bunch of excuses why they don’t win or can’t win."-Bear Bryant

Robot Chicken Star Wars should be canon.

by the thin red line on Dec 2, 2011 2:06 AM CST reply actions  

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