Amateur Breakdown-First half of the Game of the Century
Right off the top, let me emphasize the "amateur" tag. I've never broken down any game film in my life, so be gentle in comments.
I have watched a helluva lot of football in my life, though, so I got that goin' for me...
Before I begin the breakdown, just a few observations on the relative similarities of the two teams' seasons. As has been noted, when comparing score differentials of common opponents, they are almost identical. I wanted to go a step further, though, and compare the win/loss records of the entire schedules of each team, excluding, of course, the GOTC, and the SEC championship game(with the assumption that Bama would have done just as well).
LSU's slate of opponents had a combined record of 73-59, with 4 teams with losing records, 2 with break-even records, and 5 teams with winning records.
Alabama's, OTOH, went 72-61, also with 4 losing records, 3 break-even, and 4 winning.
Now, with the breakdown. This is the first time I have watched the replay because it was too painful before knowing whether we would get another shot against them.
The first drive started well, TR left for 15, then a 25 yd completion on the left side. Then we lost 5 going left again, picked up 8 on a pass to the right side, 4th down. Watching LSU's defense, they kept 9 to 10 guys within 6 yards of the line of scrimmage, but didn't blitz, with the possible exception of a run blitz on the 5 yd loss running left. We also picked up our first illegal substitution penalty to help kill the drive.
Second possession started on our 5 yard line, but AJ made a good read and hit Maze across the middle for 20 on third down and we got a penalty for horsecollar tackle. Cool beans! We then picked up another first down on a pass to the right side, ran left a couple more times with medium success, then ran right for 20 yard gain. Looking good!
Then, it bogs down, up the middle for 1, left for negative 5, incomplete pass, another missed FG. LSU started blitzing more here, both run and pass, to shut us down.
The third possession really hurt me to watch again. Twenty yard gain on a pass to the left, beating the honey vager again. After an incompletion, TR goes up the middle for 10. Inside the 20! Then, we lose 6 yards on a botched reverse to Maze. I had to watch that play about 4-5 times to see what went wrong. Maze was lined up to the right, as was the TE and, most critically, Trent, lined up in the backfield to the right of AJ. LSU's defense was lined up heavily to the strong side, so a well executed reverse would likely have scored. But Maze accidentally trips over Trent's foot, and falls down for the loss.
Oh, the horror. Go watch it and grab a box of kleenex on the way.
AJ gets sacked, then we miss a FG. CRAP!
LSU is still mixing in some blitzes here, but not as much as we are.
Fourth possession again starts at our 5 yard line thanks to that little skipping girly boy from Australia.(Side note-How could that country produce both Wing AND Jesse?), but we run our way out going up the gut a few times, getting 9 on the right side(moving Barrett to that side) then AJ finds TR on a blown assignment by LSU up the left side for 60 yards. The next pass is to Williams on the right side for no gain. HV makes the stop, but if AJ gets that pass out quicker, Williams has another first down. LSU shows Heavy Run Blitz on 2nd down, so of course, AJ checks out of a run up the middle, right?
Uh, no. Up the middle, no gain. Crap. Third and 10.
And then comes the play that had Saban spitting nails. AJ drops back to pass, throwing the fade to a well covered Hanks on the right side, while Brandon Gibson had slipped out to the left flat and was all alone and likely would have scored.
But at least this time we make the FG. GREAT!
Then, the defense allows LSU their only real drive of the half and makes it's only noticeable mistake on the 37 yard pass inside our 10. We were fortunate to escape with only giving up the FG after Dre was called for defensive holding and LSU had it 1st and goal at the 2. But the Bama defense bowed up, and thankfully LSU had burned all but one of their timeouts.
End of half.
The biggest things that stood out to me were the poor decisions AJ made. He threw the ball well, but he didn't always throw it to the right receiver. He also must be able to check out of a bad play at the line of scrimmage when he spots a blitz coming. I realize he is a sophomore first-year starter at QB, but if we hope to win the rematch, he must make better decisions
We left at least 17 points on the field the first time. That can't happen again.
Sorry, I know this is a long-ass, tl;dr, kind of article and my arms are hurting, but I just had to share.
Feel free to point out my senility/stupidity in the comments below.
FanPosts are just that; posts created by the fans. They are in no way indicative of the opinions of SBN and the authors of Roll Bama Roll.
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Nice Job, Mr. P
Now you’ve got me wanting to go back and watch it again. I haven’t mustered up enough desire yet, either.
"My favorite play is the one where the player pitches the ball back to the official after scoring a touchdown." Paul "Bear" Bryant
I'm wishing I hadn't deleted my recording.
I watched the game at my father in law’s house and deleted my recording that very night as soon as I walked in the door. Now I’m wishing I hadn’t.
"Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize half of them are stupider than that." - George Carlin
Somebody posted the entire game on Youtube.
That’s where I watched it.
"Football has never been just a game to me. Never."
Paul William Bryant
Nice job,
Ok, now with the second half….
"There's a lot of blood, sweat, and guts between dreams and success." -Coach Bear Bryant
"I thInk everybody should take the attItude that we’re workIng to be a champIon, that we want to be a champIon In everythIng that we do. every choIce, every decIsIon, everythIng that we do every day, we want to be a champIon."
-- Nick SabaN
by Tokeisch on Dec 6, 2011 10:42 AM CST via mobile reply actions
Don't know if I can stomach the goal-line pick again...
"Football has never been just a game to me. Never."
Paul William Bryant
I've watched the replay of that (so-called) Pic...
several times and my impression was that the receiver (can’t even remember who it was) had the ball in possession when he hit the ground and then the LSU player wrestled it from his arms AFTER he was down. No use crying over spilled milk now but it just irks me that LSU always seems to benefit from bad calls like this. The luck of the Hat.
Let's not get them started on the Patrick Peterson non-INT last year, OK?
There have been some bad calls in their favor (the non-PI call in ‘04?), but the one this year was correct and as you say, there’s no use crying about it anyway.
God bless our Dark Lord.
Right, and Saban will use it as a further motivational and teaching moment:
“Come. Down. With. The. Ball. Leave no doubt! Finish!”
Or words to that effect.
(Side note-How could that country produce both Wing AND Jesse?)
Well for one thing, if I’m not mistaken, Jesse is native while Wing is pure white bread.
God bless our Dark Lord.
Thus descended from scoundrels.
"Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize half of them are stupider than that." - George Carlin
by Slice of Life on Dec 7, 2011 3:11 PM CST up reply actions
And a$$holes....
"High standards come from passion within...." --Coach Nick Saban
by NiceLittleSaturday on Dec 7, 2011 3:29 PM CST up reply actions
And bikini models.
Oh wait, that doesn’t fit with the theme, does it? My bad.
God bless our Dark Lord.
There was a theme?
My bad….
"High standards come from passion within...." --Coach Nick Saban
by NiceLittleSaturday on Dec 7, 2011 3:32 PM CST up reply actions
One thing I'll point out
I said this right after the game.
ALL THREE of our first three drives bogged down after a 5- or 6-yard loss on a running play on first or second down.
It happened again on our last full possession in the fourth quarter, when we punted it away with 6 minutes left after a six-yard loss on a first-down running play.
That’s 4 of the 8 times in the game we were stopped.
OTS or someone here did a great film breakdown last year.
For both SC and AR games. I expect we’ll see one on 11/5’s game in the eternity between now and 1/9/12.
Was it all great reads and execution on the D’s part, and/or AJ missing a checkdown…? Did they shift a lot just before the snap, like the ’10 game?
My recollection is that they showed pressure at the point of attack, but not full-on run blitz, and then attacked every gap in a mostly-successful effort to clog it all up and dominate 1st and 2nd downs. Then they would contain on 3rd down, sitting on the easy RB pass routes and whatever Maze might be running.
LSU and Chavis seem to feel they can play this as their base D, not risk too much, and pick their spots to really attack. Obviously it’s worked all season, as they don’t give up much. The long drives people make against them are really long, I saw elsewhere, because it’s a few-yards-at-a-time struggle all the way.
I expect we’re spending copious amounts of time on passing, slants and crossing routes, and timing these next few weeks.
Nice analysis for this game.....Matt Dover also has a data program for efficiency
and I’d love for him to stick it in his ’puter and see what it spits out.
The object of war is not to die for your country but to make the other bastard die for his. ~General George S. Patton~
You watch some weird porn.
'There are two pains in life. There is the pain of discipline and the pain of disappointment. If you can handle the pain of discipline, then you'll never have to deal with the pain of disappointment,'- Nick Saban
Juveniles......you both knew what I meant.....
The object of war is not to die for your country but to make the other bastard die for his. ~General George S. Patton~
What do you mean?
TWSS
"There's a lot of blood, sweat, and guts between dreams and success." -Coach Bear Bryant
"I thInk everybody should take the attItude that we’re workIng to be a champIon, that we want to be a champIon In everythIng that we do. every choIce, every decIsIon, everythIng that we do every day, we want to be a champIon."
-- Nick SabaN
by Tokeisch on Dec 6, 2011 3:55 PM CST via mobile up reply actions
Thanks for the positive feedback
figured I needed to earn my keep around here with something besides snark and smartass remarks…
I might still do the second half, but i think the game was lost in the first half. Chavis made half-time adjustments and as I drunkenly recall, we weren’t as effective.
"Football has never been just a game to me. Never."
Paul William Bryant
Fade pattern
First point – somebody please enlighten me about the fade. Til I got enlightened I have to dog Nick Saban and double-dog a legion of armchair analysts.
The fade – as I understand it, and I’m very open to having my lack of understanding illuminated – is meant to be a quick throw to a wideout who is covered 1-on-1. It’s not necessary that the guy be open, and in fact he usually is not, because it’s his job to run straight to a spot, not to juke around, etc.
The play makes no time to develop, and the quarterback needs to release the ball shortly after the snap in order to get the air under the ball that is necessary for the wide receiver to have a chance to go up and take the ball away from the DB. I think that’s supposed to be the point, that the wideout has superior physical skills and can get to the ball.
If all this is true, then it’s absurd to dog the QB for not seeing an open guy on the other side of the field. The QB has to accurately assess where his receiver is going, how fast, and where the DB on him is going, and then get rid of the ball about 1.5 seconds after the snap. I just don’t recall seeing any QBs scan the field on a fade route.
Am I missing something?
OK, second thing, and I don’t think I’m missing anything here. We have called the fade a pretty good number of times in the Saban/McElwain years. If somebody will do me the favor of gathering the statistics on how our fade calls have turned out, I would be only too happy to make the necessary expenditures to engrave those statistics on two bronze plaques and deliver the plaques to those gentlemen.
Fade pattern?

'There are two pains in life. There is the pain of discipline and the pain of disappointment. If you can handle the pain of discipline, then you'll never have to deal with the pain of disappointment,'- Nick Saban

"High standards come from passion within...." --Coach Nick Saban
by NiceLittleSaturday on Dec 7, 2011 3:30 PM CST up reply actions
I haven't watched the game in a while....
but I don’t think the fade was the play originally called. AJ made some kind of change at the line that play. Saban went ballistic probably because AJ threw a fade when a better play was originally called. I don’t like the fade on a 3rd down situation…..unless there is a definitive mismatch, and even then, I’m still not too thrilled with it
The object of war is not to die for your country but to make the other bastard die for his. ~General George S. Patton~
by Skarth on Dec 6, 2011 4:24 PM CST via iPhone app up reply actions
Nothing wrong with the fade, per se, but
it’s not thrown that far from the end zone, usually because the DB has more time to recover. And, as Skarth says, I think the pass must have been originally planned for the left flat, other wise Saban wouldn’t have blown a gasket. AJ thought he saw an opening and it didn’t work out.
But if he had only looked left…
Not really bashing AJ, because he has done a good job overall this year. He’s just a soph. first yr. starter.
BCSNCG? Not bad for the kid.
"Football has never been just a game to me. Never."
Paul William Bryant
If that's so
I could concede the point. But that’s the first time I’ve heard that (or at least the first time that I noticed/paid any attention to it.
I despise the fade in any situation, unless you’ve got a wideout who just won’t be denied, which is why I say maybe I just don’t understand it. If it’s as stupid as I think it is, I just don’t see why anybody would ever run it.
Spurrier surely thought he could get Kareem Jackson
Denied!
"Football has never been just a game to me. Never."
Paul William Bryant
Marquis Johnson.
'There are two pains in life. There is the pain of discipline and the pain of disappointment. If you can handle the pain of discipline, then you'll never have to deal with the pain of disappointment,'- Nick Saban
As I recall, the fade came to prominence in the '80s-'90s.
The way teams ran it was more of a quick throw to a corner of the end zone, say from inside the 20. What made it deadly was the timing: QB releases really quickly; WR knows where’s it’s headed; DB is caught with almost no reaction time and still has to find the ball coming down behind him, while the WR is (ideally) a step or 2 ahead and facing the ball. With good timing, it’s a TD; great play by DB, maybe you still get the interference call.
If the timing’s off, your WR should still try to win the jump ball, or at least prevent a pick. Spurrier’s FL WRs were well-coached at all this.
We didn’t succeed generally with it, even with Julio, if memory serves.
The WR has to win the one-on-one
and we don’t really have the personnel for that this year.
Rammer Jammer Yellow Hammer Give 'Em HELL Alabama!
by RoscoeOfAlabama on Dec 7, 2011 12:16 AM CST up reply actions
And what I meant by "I concede this point"
should be stated, since this was a reply fail.
The point I’m conceding is that if AJ audibled to a fade then hell yeah, excuse me, Saban, go ballistic one more time for me. I saved it on my DVR, so I’ll go back and check that out.
I agree with it being good enough
for a second half break down. I’ll be looking for it.
And as far as a fade pattern, to the best of my understanding, it’s a play called generally around the 10 yard line designed for a pass to be lofted to one of the back corners of the end zone. The ball is in the air before the receiver turns around to look for it. Ideally, the receiver has a step on the DB and is on time with the QB for when the receiver turns around, the ball is there. A well thrown fade is thrown to where only the receiver has a chance to catch it or it’s out of bounds. Yes, a physically gifted receiver with height and or leaping/catching ability is almost necessary to have it in your playbook. It seems like the only time I’ve seen us do it is in a spring game.
Yoda problem
My impression of the fade at Bama is that we need to listen to Yoda: “Do or do not. There is no try.”
That is, the fade is a lot like the option pitch. If you are going to do it at all, you have to dedicate some time to it. Otherwise, it is merely a wasted play. Now, maybe every play is like that, and the fade is nothing special. But at least with some plays, even failure affects the defense (e.g. long pass). I don’t see the fade putting any particular pressure on a defense that wouldn’t be there already.
by Steven Mitchell on Dec 7, 2011 1:44 PM CST up reply actions

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