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Bubble Watch Rooting Guide (Championship Week)

(*Updated Saturday, March 12th, 11:30 AM*)

 

Well, we’ve made it this far.  Through all of the trials and tribulations of this crazy year, we’ve reached the final week of the season with a legitimate chance at making the NCAA tournament.  We have a little work left to do of our own, but from here on out, pretty much every game has bubble implications.  Whether it’s rooting against teams looking to steal bids or for upsets of bubble teams, every game counts.  The Bracket Project currently has us projected as the second team out with 34 ballots out of a possible 85

This is one of my favorite sports weeks of the year, second only behind the opening weekend of the NCAA Tournament.  The basketball world is about to go nuts for the next seven days.  There will be a dozen games each night and almost every single one will have both NCAA Tournament implications and bubble implications.  As such, I’m going to eschew the team-by-team format I used before and give you a breakdown of each conference tournament, letting you know whom to root for to win and whom to root for to lose.  Throughout the week I’ll update this post with winners and losers, new game information, and movement on the bubble.

Note:  Many of these games will be available on ESPN3, even if I have not noted them as such.  I’m working off of ESPN’s scores page, but it does not list some games that I know for certain will be on ESPN3.


Atlantic 10 

Locks:  Xavier Musketeers, Temple Owls

Bubble:  Richmond Spiders (23-7, 13-3, projected 11 seed)

(*Update 03/12*)  Richmond is close to a lock now, after making the A-10 semifinals.  With Xavier's loss, we really need Temple to win this tournament.

(*Update 03/09*)  No bubble teams played Tuesday night.  The A-10 tournament resumes Friday.  Richmond moved down to an 11 seed.

The Spiders are looking relatively safe after winning 11 of their final 13 games with losses only to tournament teams Xavier and Temple.  The only thing holding them back is a lack of quality wins outside their Thanksgiving-weekend upset of Purdue.

Rooting Interest:  Root for Xavier or Temple to win the entire tournament and against Richmond in their first game Friday night.  If Xavier or Temple get knocked out early, the Spiders would be preferable to anybody else winning, since they are very close to lock status anyway.

Semifinals:  St. Joseph's vs. Dayton (Sat 12:00, CBS CS), Richmond vs. Temple (Sat 2:30, CBS CS)

 

ACC

Locks: North Carolina, Duke

Bubble:  Florida State Seminoles (projected 9 seed), Virginia Tech Hokies (19-10, 9-7, projected 12 seed), Boston College Eagles (19-11, 9-7, projected 12 seed), Clemson Tigers (20-10, 9-7, projected 12 seed)

(*Update 03/12*)  Fucking Virginia Tech.  At least BC got bombed.

(*Update 03/11*)  BC and VT won as expected, which means we could really use a win by Florida State today.

It has been chaos in the ACC the last two weeks.  Florida State seemed like a lock until falling to Maryland and UNC in the past week.  Virginia Tech seemed like a lock after beating Duke, but losing to BC and Clemson in back-to-back games to close out the regular season has them riding the bubble’s edge again.  I thought BC was done after losing 7 out of 10 including a nine-point home loss to Miami, but they’ve feasted on weaklings and the Hokies to get back in the mix.  Clemson improved its standing in the last week by not getting destroyed by Duke and beating Virginia Tech.  The ACC’s bubble has been crazy and, frankly, all of these teams could use at least one more win, none more so than BC and VT, since they were unable to earn first-round byes.  The Eagles have a rematch with Wake, whom they just destroyed by 16 and the Hokies drew Georgia Tech.  The good news is that, even if BC and VT win, they’ll play Clemson and Florida State, respectively, in the quarterfinals, which could make for two de facto NCAA Tournament play-in games.

Rooting Interest – Root for UNC or Duke to win the whole tournament and for these four teams to fall out early.  It’s guaranteed that only two can make it to the tournament semifinals, but a run by any to the final would likely separate them from the rest of the bubble riff-raff. 

Semifinals:  Clemson vs. North Carolina (Sat 12:00, ESPN), Virginia Tech vs. Duke (Sat 2:00, ESPN)

Star-divide

 

Big XII

Locks:  Kansas, Texas, Texas A&M, Kansas State, Missouri

Bubble:  Colorado Buffaloes (19-12, 8-8, currently First Four Out)

(*Update 03/12*)  Colorado was finally knocked out, setting up a KU-UT final.

(*Update 03/11*)  Colorado beat Kansas State for the third time this year.  That doesn't make them a lock, but it does guarantee that Bama has to beat Georgia in order to make the NCAA tournament this year.  Colorado moved to First Four Out

(*Update 03/10*)  Colorado narrowly avoided losing to Iowa State while Nebraska and Baylor removed themselves from bubble consideration.

(*Update 03/08*) Colorado has moved up to a 12 seed.

Colorado did itself a real favor by beating Nebraska this weekend.  I’m not sure how that makes up for losing to Iowa State but, then again, I’m not an expert.  I think the Buffaloes have been helped most by the resurgence of Kansas State, whom they’ve beaten twice this year. 

Rooting Interest – Pull for any of the locks to win the tournament.  Colorado is staring down Kansas State in the second round while Baylor drew Texas: not unwinnable games.

Final:  Kansas vs. Texas (Sat 5:00, ESPN)


Big East

Locks:  UCONN, Georgetown, Notre Dame, Pittsburgh, West Virginia, Louisville, Cincinnati, Syracuse, St. John’s, Villanova

Bubble:  Marquette Golden Eagles (18-13, 9-9, currently seeded 10)

(*Update 03/11*)  Marquette finally lost, but it came a little too late.  The Big East is almost guaranteed to have 11 teams in the NCAA field.

(*Update 03/10*)  Marquette is probably a lock now after beating West Virginia last night.

(*Update 03/09*)  Villanova's first-round loss isn't enough to move them to the bubble yet.  Marquette won, unfortunately.

Marquette’s chances took a big hit when they lost by 13 to Seton Hall on Saturday.  The Eagles still need one more good win (West Virginia in the second round) to feel safe.

Rooting Interest – With 10 locks and four double-byes, it is very unlikely there will be a bid-stealer in the Big East.  An opening round loss by Marquette would be awesome, though.

Final:  UCONN vs. Louisville (Sat 8:00, ESPN)


Big Ten

Locks:  Ohio State, Wisconsin, Purdue, Illinois

Bubble:  Michigan State Spartans (17-13, 9-9, currently seeded 12), Michigan Wolverines (19-12, 9-9, currently seeded 12)

(*Update 03/12*)  Fucking Sparty.  Fucking Michigan.  Both are probably locks now and Penn State is back on the bubble even after that ugly-ass game against Wisconsin.

(*Update 03/11*)  Sparty narrowly avoided a killer loss to Iowa.  We could really use one of these teas losing.

(*Update 03/09*)  Michigan moved up to an 11 seed.

(*Update 03/08*)  Michigan State moved down to a 12 seed.

Wow.  I’ve never seen a tumble as big as Minnesota’s and, if they make the NCAA Tournament as the ninth-best Big Ten team over Alabama, I’m going to be pissed.  Michigan somehow turned a victory over the Spartans into an appearance in the bracket (even though our win over Georgia was not given the same respect).  My gut tells me both the Wolverines and the Spartans will go dancing, but we can at least hope for some losses before then.

Rooting Interest – As usual, root for the locks, all of whom have first-round byes.  Illinois draws Michigan in the second round, so that’s a huge game.  If the Illini win and we can beat Georgia, I like our chances against the Wolverines.

Semifinals:  Michigan vs. Ohio State (Sat 12:40, CBS), Michigan State vs. Penn State (Sat 3:05, CBS)


CAA

Locks:  George Mason, Old Dominion

Bubble:  VCU Rams (23-10, 12-6, currently First Four Out)

(*Update 03/08*)  Old Dominion pulled off the win Monday night, preserving an at-large bid for the bubble teams.  VCU could still get it, but it will be tough.  VCU has moved up to the First Four Out.

Champion:  Old Dominion Monarchs


Conference USA

Locks:  None

Bubble:  UAB Blazers (22-7, 12-4, currently seeded 11), Memphis Tigers (22-9, 10-6, currently seeded 12), UTEP (23-8, 11-5, currently Next Four Out)

(*Update 03/12*)  UTEP and Memphis will face off in the C-USA final.

(*Update 03/11*)  Devastating loss for the Tide, as UAB's defeat moves Memphis back into the bracket.  I'm not sure how long UAB will stay there with them, though.

Only Alabama lost more ground last week than Memphis, who got blown out at Rice, at UTEP, and lost at East Carolina.  They struggled with last-place Tulane this weekend, before coming back in the last five minutes and winning by five.  I hope that they’ve played themselves out of an at-large bid, but I’m not entirely sure.  Meanwhile, UTEP, by virtue of its recent losses to UCF and and ECU, and Southern Miss, after losing to UCF and Tulsa, have played their ways off of the bubble.

Rooting Interest – With UAB winning the regular season title and sitting in the best bubble position, they’re the team to root for.  Pull for Memphis to lose early.

Final:  UTEP vs. Memphis (Sat 11:00, CBS)


Horizon League

Bubble:  Butler Bulldogs (22-9, 13-5, currently seeded 11), Cleveland State Vikings (26-8, 13-5, currently Next Four Out)

(*Update 03/10*)  The losses by Nebraska and Butler moved Cleveland State up to the Next Four Out.

(*Update 03/09*)  Butler won the Horizon League automatic bid, rendering this a one-bid conference.

(*Update 03/08*)  Butler moved up to an 11 seed and Cleveland State moved Out.

Champion:  Butler Bulldogs


Missouri Valley

Bubble:  Missouri State Bears (25-8, 15-3, currently First Four Out)

(*Update 03/08*)  Missouri State moved down to First Four Out.

Champion:  Indiana State Sycamores


Mountain West

Locks:  BYU, San Diego State, UNLV

Bubble:  Colorado State Rams (19-11, 9-7, currently Out)

(*Update 03/12*)  Chalk again sets up an SDSU-BYU final.

(*Update 03/11*)  Chalk for the most part, though the Rams' loss should knock them out for good.

For the past two weeks the Rams have been desperately trying to notch one good win.  They’ve failed at each opportunity.  They’ll likely need to win the Mountain West tournament in order to make the field now.

Rooting Interest – Root against the Rams and hope that BYU, SDSU, or UNLV wins the tournament.

Final:  San Diego State vs. BYU (Sat 6:00)


Pac-10

Locks:  Arizona, Washington, UCLA

Bubble:  Washington State Cougars (19-11, 9-9, currently Out), USC Trojans (18-13, 10-8, Currently Next Four Out)

(*Update 03/12*)  USC lost, hopefully keeping them out of the tourney.

(*Update 03/11*)  USC advances, but Wazzou falls to Washington

The Cougars are a late addition to the bubble, having come on lately by beating USC and Washington.  Unfortunately, they couldn’t finish the season with a home win against UCLA, falling in overtime 58-54.  They’ll likely need two wins against tournament teams to put themselves into the picture.

Rooting Interest – Wazzou opens the Big Ten tournament with Washington, so let’s hope the Huskies can squash their hopes quickly.

Final:  Arizona vs. Washington (Sat 5:00, CBS)


SEC

Locks:  Florida, Vanderbilt, Kentucky, Tennessee

Bubble:  Alabama Crimson Tide (20-10, 12-4 currently First Four Out), Georgia Bulldogs (20-10, 9-7, currently seeded 10)

(*Update 03/12*)  Roll Tide!

(*Update 03/11*)  Chalk in the first round as the higher seeds all advance.

A lot of ink has been spilled and voices rendered hoarse over the current states of Georgia and Alabama after the Tide’s win on Saturday.  Digger Phelps emphatically argued on GameDay Sunday morning that Bama should be in regardless of our performance in the SEC Tournament.  Still, you have to figure we need at least one more win to feel comfortable.  Tennessee is probably safe if only for their ludicrously good wins and who knows where Georgia is.  Some people have them out but I’ve seen them seeded as high as ninth even after losing on Saturday.

Rooting Interest – Obviously, we root for Bama to win it all and end any doubt about our bubble status.  Barring that, root for Georgia to beat Auburn and, should the SEC tournament champion not be the Tide, one of the locks to win it.

Semifinals:  Alabama vs. Kentucky (Sat 12:00, ABC), Florida vs. Vanderbilt (Sat 2:30, ABC)


Summit League

(*Update 03/09*)  Oakland won the Summit League Tuesday night.

(*Update 03/08*)  Oakland won Monday night, setting up a Conference Final with Oral Roberts Tuesday.

Champion:  Oakland Grizzlies


West Coast

Bubble: Saint Mary’s Gaels (23-7, 11-3, currently seeded 12), Gonzaga Bulldogs (22-9, 11-3, currently seeded 10)

(*Update 03/09*)  Gonzaga moved up to a 10 seed, Saint Mary's fell to a 12 seed.

(*Update 03/08*)  Gonzaga earned the at-large bid Monday night, leaving Saint Mary's on the bubble.

Champion:  Gonzaga Bulldogs


WAC

Lock:  Utah State

(*Update 03/12*)  Utah State squeaked by in the semifinals.  We need them to finish this off.

(*Update 03/11*)  No real games of interest yesterday but we still need Utah State to win.

These are always the most dangerous conferences.  The WAC is a one-bid league with a tournament lock, so if Utah State loses, some bubble team will be left home.  The Aggies have been a dominating force this season, racking up a 15-1 conference record and a 28-3 overall mark,  earning a double-bye as the conference’s top seed, so they’ll only need to win two games to get the automatic bid.

Rooting Interest – Utah State all the way, no ifs, ands, or buts.

Final:  Utah State vs. Boise State (Sat 9:00, ESPN2)


One-Bid Leagues

The following conferences have no potential at-large selections and will send only one team to the NCAA tournament.


America East

Final:  Stony Brook vs. Boston U. (Sat 11:00, ESPN2)


Atlantic Sun

Champion:  Belmont Bruins


Big Sky

(*Update 03/10*)  Northern Colorado won the Big Sky's automatic bid Wednesday night.

(*Update 03/09*)  Montana and Northern Colorado won on Tuesday to advance to Wednesday's final.

Champion:  Northern Colorado Bears


Big South

Champion:  UNC-Asheville Bulldogs


Big West

(*Update 03/12*)  Long Beach State and Long Beach State won Friday to make the final.

finals:  UC-Santa Barbara vs. Long Beach State (Sat 7:00, ESPN2)


Ivy League

(*Update 03/09*)  Princeton defeated Penn Tuesday night to setup a one-game playoff with Harvard.

"Play-In": Princeton vs. Harvard (Sat 3:00, ESPN3)


MAAC

(*Update 03/08*)  St. Peter's earned the at-large bid over Iona.

Champion:  Saint Peter's Peacocks


MAC

(*Update 03/12*)  Akron and Kent State advanced to Saturday's final.

(*Update 03/09*)  Ohio, Akron, Bowling Green, and Buffalo all advanced to Thursday's quarterfinals.

Final:  Akron vs. Kent State (Sat 5:00, ESPN2)


MEAC

(*Update 03/12*)  Morgan State and Hampton advanced to Saturday's final.

(*Update 03/09*)  Maryland-East Shore and South Carolina State won Tuesday night.

Final:  Morgan State vs. Hampton (Sat 1:00, ESPN2)


Northeast

(*Update 03/10*)  Long Island won the Northeast's automatic bid in overtime Wednesday night.

Champion:  Long Island Blackbirds


Ohio Valley

Champion:  Morehead State Eagles


Patriot League

Champion:  Bucknell Bison


Southern

(*Update 03/08*)  Wofford won the at-large bid over College of Charleston.

Champion:  Wofford Terriers


Southland

(*Update 03/11*)  UT-San Antonio and McNeese State both won Thursday to advance to Saturday's final.

Final:  Texas-San Antonio vs. McNeese State (Sat 3:00, ESPN2)

 

SWAC

(*Update 03/12*)  Grambling State and Alabama State advanced to Saturday's final.

Final:  Grambling State vs. Alabama State (Sat 7:30, ESPNU)


Sun Belt

(*Update 03/09*)  Little Rock hit a buzzer beater to win the Sun Belt tournament.

(*Update 03/08*)  North Texas and Little Rock won Monday night to advance to the Sun Belt finals.

Champion:  Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans

FanPosts are just that; posts created by the fans. They are in no way indicative of the opinions of SBN and the authors of Roll Bama Roll.

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Here's how this will work:

Throughout the week, I’ll update this post as things develop. During the day, winners of games will be bolded. Each night (or morning) I’ll update the games in the schedule and post brief updates on how results may have affected the bubble standings. I’ll also try to post (in the comments) a list of games to watch each morning. With any luck we’ll able to use this thread to track the conference tournaments throughout the week until Selection Sunday.

by rugman11 on Mar 7, 2011 4:46 PM CST reply actions  

Games to Watch: Monday Night

Old Dominion OVER VCU (6:00 ESPN)
St. Peter’s OVER Iona (6:00 ESPN2)
Oakland OVER South Dakota State (6:00 ESPN3)
Saint Mary’s OVER Gonzaga (8:00 ESPN)

by rugman11 on Mar 7, 2011 4:48 PM CST reply actions  

Thanks! This is really what I wanted. :)

Good info above, but it’s too much for me to really absorb and remember as I’m looking through TV listings. This is just what I need instead!

How much longer till kickoff?

by CarrotTop4 on Mar 7, 2011 5:58 PM CST up reply actions  

Agreed.

This is great stuff. Between Matt’s articles and these bubble watches, RBR is knocking bball coverage out of the park.

by UAEE08 on Mar 7, 2011 9:20 PM CST via mobile up reply actions  

Kudos (and many thanks!) to you

For your wonderful bubble watch posts. Now hopefully as I keep one eye on basketball scores and one on an upcoming economics test, the numbers fall well for me/us…

I fell in love with Rolando McClain the first time I saw him. Unfortunately, he still doesn't know my name ;)

by SoGladILeftTheACC on Mar 7, 2011 6:11 PM CST reply actions  

ouch on that elbow

Didn’t know about the elbow rule they just listed. It makes sense that you can foul for excessive elbow movements for situations just like this, but I’m not sure why it should be intentional

Proud member of the Fax Girl fan club.

by billycthulhu on Mar 7, 2011 6:46 PM CST reply actions  

Also at the Half:

ODU UP 39-26
Oakland UP 59-43

by rugman11 on Mar 7, 2011 7:00 PM CST reply actions  

tonight's games looking good

especially ODU. That’s potentially for an extra at-large spot for someone, though some believe VCU still has a chance

by Matt Dover on Mar 7, 2011 7:08 PM CST reply actions  

The three ongoing games are looking great for Bama....

ODU 40 VCU 26
Oak 79 SDSU 60
SPC 35 Iona 29

It's not what you've done but what you are doing that matters.

And the roses in this grand ol' stadium are once again Crimson. - Eli Gold, CTSN Broadcast of the BCS Championship Game at the Rose Bowl, 1-7-2010

by AlabamaJammer on Mar 7, 2011 7:18 PM CST reply actions  

Man, ODU is good.

I would not want to face them early. They rebound, they hit three’s, they play good defense.

by rugman11 on Mar 7, 2011 7:21 PM CST reply actions  

yep

I could certainly see us losing very early in the tournament. We seem to give ourselves a chance to win against just about any team (except Florida I guess), but the same can be said for losing games as well.

Proud member of the Fax Girl fan club.

by billycthulhu on Mar 7, 2011 7:26 PM CST up reply actions  

Iona keeps trying to mount a comeback

And St. Peters keeps stopping them short. 42-33 StP

Proud member of the Fax Girl fan club.

by billycthulhu on Mar 7, 2011 7:32 PM CST reply actions  

Oakland closes their game out.

One down, two to go.

It's not what you've done but what you are doing that matters.

And the roses in this grand ol' stadium are once again Crimson. - Eli Gold, CTSN Broadcast of the BCS Championship Game at the Rose Bowl, 1-7-2010

by AlabamaJammer on Mar 7, 2011 7:45 PM CST reply actions  

Oakland, 110-90

St. Peter’s UP, 49-40
ODU UP, 51-44

by rugman11 on Mar 7, 2011 7:49 PM CST reply actions  

Scores

OD 52-44 VCU ?5:00 mins left
Oakland wins, over
St Pete 49 40 Iona 3:40 left

Looking good so far

by Bosola on Mar 7, 2011 7:50 PM CST reply actions  

StP can't be fouling like that, time stops

It's not what you've done but what you are doing that matters.

And the roses in this grand ol' stadium are once again Crimson. - Eli Gold, CTSN Broadcast of the BCS Championship Game at the Rose Bowl, 1-7-2010

by AlabamaJammer on Mar 7, 2011 8:03 PM CST reply actions  

big FT there.... one to go

It's not what you've done but what you are doing that matters.

And the roses in this grand ol' stadium are once again Crimson. - Eli Gold, CTSN Broadcast of the BCS Championship Game at the Rose Bowl, 1-7-2010

by AlabamaJammer on Mar 7, 2011 8:11 PM CST up reply actions  

two down, one to go

It's not what you've done but what you are doing that matters.

And the roses in this grand ol' stadium are once again Crimson. - Eli Gold, CTSN Broadcast of the BCS Championship Game at the Rose Bowl, 1-7-2010

by AlabamaJammer on Mar 7, 2011 8:12 PM CST up reply actions  

Good, so that loss was to a tourney team at least.

They might finish in the top 100 RPI.

How much longer till kickoff?

by CarrotTop4 on Mar 7, 2011 8:13 PM CST up reply actions  

OD up 7

50.8 to go. This one’s bigger than St. Pete’s

by rugman11 on Mar 7, 2011 8:12 PM CST reply actions  

DONT FOUL THE THREE POINT SHOOTER!

It's not what you've done but what you are doing that matters.

And the roses in this grand ol' stadium are once again Crimson. - Eli Gold, CTSN Broadcast of the BCS Championship Game at the Rose Bowl, 1-7-2010

by AlabamaJammer on Mar 7, 2011 8:17 PM CST reply actions  

dumb foul

Proud member of the Fax Girl fan club.

by billycthulhu on Mar 7, 2011 8:17 PM CST reply actions  

WOOT! 3 for 3....

…come on St. Marys

It's not what you've done but what you are doing that matters.

And the roses in this grand ol' stadium are once again Crimson. - Eli Gold, CTSN Broadcast of the BCS Championship Game at the Rose Bowl, 1-7-2010

by AlabamaJammer on Mar 7, 2011 8:20 PM CST reply actions  

I'm not real worried about Gonzaga.

They’re probably safe. Still, St. Mary’s is a lock, so the longer the Zags stay on the bubble, the better.

by rugman11 on Mar 7, 2011 8:23 PM CST up reply actions  

39-34 Gonzaga

Hit a runner with time expiring. Might be something to look at toward the end.

It's not what you've done but what you are doing that matters.

And the roses in this grand ol' stadium are once again Crimson. - Eli Gold, CTSN Broadcast of the BCS Championship Game at the Rose Bowl, 1-7-2010

by AlabamaJammer on Mar 7, 2011 9:04 PM CST reply actions  

Halftime, of course.

It's not what you've done but what you are doing that matters.

And the roses in this grand ol' stadium are once again Crimson. - Eli Gold, CTSN Broadcast of the BCS Championship Game at the Rose Bowl, 1-7-2010

by AlabamaJammer on Mar 7, 2011 9:06 PM CST up reply actions  

Gonzaga won, which is kind of bad,

but I expected both teams to make it anyway. Otherwise, everything this weekend went Bama’s way.

by rugman11 on Mar 7, 2011 10:36 PM CST reply actions  

Yeah as far as we are concerned

it all went good. I still can’t believe St. Peter is going to the NCAA. At least they ought to remove them from our bad loss list. They can replace them with LSU. Perhaps the worst collapse of a major program in a long while. Yeah…stick with that coach.

If Auburn was in New Mexico and we never played them I would still hate them and their dumb coach and their cheating players.

by 5026 on Mar 7, 2011 10:56 PM CST up reply actions  

my bad we didn't lose to lsu. what was i thinking

If Auburn was in New Mexico and we never played them I would still hate them and their dumb coach and their cheating players.

by 5026 on Mar 7, 2011 11:11 PM CST up reply actions  

On one of Matt's earlier posts

It looked like St. Peter’s RPI was actually better than Seton Hall’s and or Iowa’s… So that ended up not even being the worst loss from that trip.

Proud member of the Fax Girl fan club.

by billycthulhu on Mar 8, 2011 12:12 AM CST up reply actions  

"pull for memphis to lose early."

now what do you think todd might have to say about that?

by kleph on Mar 8, 2011 8:04 AM CST reply actions  

Uh...

Roll Tide?

It's not what you've done but what you are doing that matters.

And the roses in this grand ol' stadium are once again Crimson. - Eli Gold, CTSN Broadcast of the BCS Championship Game at the Rose Bowl, 1-7-2010

by AlabamaJammer on Mar 8, 2011 9:26 AM CST via mobile up reply actions  

Games to Watch: Tuesday

Butler OVER UW-Milwaukee (8:00 ESPN)
Oakland OVER Oral Roberts (8:00 ESPN2)
Providence OVER Marquette (8:00 ESPNU)

by rugman11 on Mar 8, 2011 9:54 AM CST reply actions   1 recs

So...

…is Butler really a lock for the tourney? ‘Cause I think they’re resume matches up well with ours….

"High standards come from passion within...." --Coach Nick Saban

by NiceLittleSaturday on Mar 8, 2011 1:22 PM CST up reply actions  

No, they're not a lock,

but they’re the reigning national runners-up, which gives them some cred. Plus, they’re a bubble team, and the fewer of those there are, the better off we are.

by rugman11 on Mar 8, 2011 1:53 PM CST up reply actions  

I just read...

…Matt’s latest post, so it’s somewhat clearer. It seems that their conference has no locks, but they’re the closest thing to it, so we’re rooting for them to win it all and make it a one-bid league, yes?

"High standards come from passion within...." --Coach Nick Saban

by NiceLittleSaturday on Mar 8, 2011 1:58 PM CST up reply actions  

Pretty much, yep.

Especially since UW-Milwaukee has no chance at an at-large bid.

by rugman11 on Mar 8, 2011 2:12 PM CST up reply actions  

Thank you, sir.

How much longer till kickoff?

by CarrotTop4 on Mar 8, 2011 4:23 PM CST up reply actions  

Princeton and Penn are tipping off right now on ESPN3

This functionally a play-in game for the Tigers, who need to win to force a one-game playoff with Harvard.

by rugman11 on Mar 8, 2011 6:06 PM CST reply actions  

I know it's just the Sun Belt,

but Arkansas-Little Rock just hit a dagger-three to beat UNT. Gotta love watching the celebration of a team that’s week away from being knocked out of the NCAA tournament.

by rugman11 on Mar 8, 2011 8:08 PM CST reply actions  

Good news, everybody

Butler and Oakland both lead by double-digits at the half.

by rugman11 on Mar 8, 2011 9:03 PM CST reply actions  

On the bad news front,

Providence is currently getting curb-stomped by Marquette.

by rugman11 on Mar 8, 2011 9:03 PM CST up reply actions  

Roll Tide...

…and congratulations to local boy Nored for the win….

"High standards come from passion within...." --Coach Nick Saban

by NiceLittleSaturday on Mar 8, 2011 10:13 PM CST up reply actions  

that's an extra bid for a bubble team

can’t stress enough how big it is to prevent bid stealers. Literally gives more spots for bubble teams like Bama.

by Matt Dover on Mar 8, 2011 10:51 PM CST up reply actions  

Ima...

…put together a bubble team, and we’ll go around the neighborhood challenging other bubble teams to see who can make the biggest bubbles, who can pop the most bubbles, etc. It’ll be magical….

"High standards come from passion within...." --Coach Nick Saban

by NiceLittleSaturday on Mar 9, 2011 2:04 PM CST up reply actions  

Games to Watch: Wednesday

Oklahoma State OVER Nebraska (11:30 ESPN3)
Iowa State OVER Colorado (2:00 ESPN3)
West Virginia OVER Marquette (8:00 ESPN)

I’ll be updating the post later this afternoon to reflect yesterday’s action.

by rugman11 on Mar 9, 2011 9:19 AM CST reply actions  

Roll Tide.

"High standards come from passion within...." --Coach Nick Saban

by NiceLittleSaturday on Mar 9, 2011 2:05 PM CST up reply actions  

that's good

Nebraska was already behind us, but now we don’t have to worry about them at all.

The bigger game is at half right now: Iowa State-Colorado. We are neck-and-neck with the Buffaloes in the projections, so a loss here by them would be massive for us. Even if we lose to UGA, that wouldn’t be a bad loss for us, while a second loss to Iowa State for them would be devastating.

by Matt Dover on Mar 9, 2011 3:10 PM CST up reply actions  

Big news in Kansas City

Iowa State lead Colorado 28-26 at the half. Obviously, there’s a lot of basketball still to be played, but if the Buffaloes were to lose to the Cyclones twice in the span of a week, I would think they would be out for good. The Bracket Project currently has Colorado as the last team in and Joe Lunardi has them as the second-to-last team in. Both also have us as the first team out. This would be a huge get for the Tide.

by rugman11 on Mar 9, 2011 3:09 PM CST up reply actions  

At the last media timeout

Iowa State leads 69-64, 3:02 to play

by rugman11 on Mar 9, 2011 3:54 PM CST reply actions  

Colorado with a pair of big shots to tie it up

man, we really need the Cyclones to step it up…

by Matt Dover on Mar 9, 2011 4:05 PM CST up reply actions  

Colorado up 2 with the ball and 35 seconds left.

Even if they pull this out, do they still stay ahead of us after this game and losing to Iowa State last week?

by rugman11 on Mar 9, 2011 4:08 PM CST up reply actions  

looks like the Buffs are gonna pull it out

ugh. Iowa State had them. 5 point lead with only about 2 minutes left. Definitely need CU to lose their next one now.

by Matt Dover on Mar 9, 2011 4:10 PM CST up reply actions  

TWSS

'There are two pains in life. There is the pain of discipline and the pain of disappointment. If you can handle the pain of discipline, then you'll never have to deal with the pain of disappointment,'- Nick Saban

by J Tadpole on Mar 9, 2011 10:13 PM CST up reply actions  

Wow, Rutgers got jobbed.

No bubble implications, but the video is a must-see.

by rugman11 on Mar 9, 2011 4:56 PM CST reply actions  

Great run by WVU to end the half.

36-29 over Marquette at the half.

How much longer till kickoff?

by CarrotTop4 on Mar 9, 2011 9:14 PM CST reply actions  

goddammitsomuch

Marquette’s going to beat WVU. That will seal their bid.

by rugman11 on Mar 9, 2011 10:25 PM CST reply actions  

Sumsabitches.

How much longer till kickoff?

by CarrotTop4 on Mar 9, 2011 10:27 PM CST up reply actions  

Games to watch: Thursday

51 games on tap today. Here are a few to care about.

Georgia OVER Auburn (12:00 ESPN3)
UAB OVER East Carolina (12:00)
Wake Forest OVER Boston College (1:30 ESPN3)
Kansas State OVER Colorado (2:00 ESPN3)
Southern Miss OVER Memphis (2:30)
Iowa OVER Michigan State (3:30 ESPN2)
New Mexico OVER Colorado State (4:30)
Marshall OVER UTEP (6:30)
Louisville OVER Marquette (8:00 ESPN)
Georgia Tech OVER Virginia Tech (8:30 ESPN3)

by rugman11 on Mar 10, 2011 10:35 AM CST reply actions  

Forgot to add

Cal OVER USC (2:00)
Washington OVER Wazzou (9:30)

by rugman11 on Mar 10, 2011 10:58 AM CST up reply actions  

Auburn

Are we sure we don’t want them to win today? I mean I never root for those fucks but if they beat Georgia, then Georgia is out. We have a better shot at Auburn than we do against Georgia in Atlanta and I think with Georgia out a win is a win for us and helps us out. Plus I’d rather play UK a day after playing Auburn than Georgia.

by rtrblake on Mar 10, 2011 10:39 AM CST reply actions  

It's really tough to say.

Georgia would probably be out, but there’s no guarantee that we would move in to replace them. When it comes to the tournament, there’s more to it than who beat whom and when. It’s all about the resume and ours is still a little thin. Beating Auburn gives us nothing, so if we were to lose to UK after beating Auburn, we would still be short on quality wins, especially depending on how USC, Wazzou, Memphis, or the other bubble teams do. One more good win would be really good right now.

by rugman11 on Mar 10, 2011 10:57 AM CST up reply actions  

I don't know...

Not that I want to cheer for AU, but you guys have said that UGa is probably in as long as they win today, right? So I don’t see how knocking them out of that (more or less guaranteed) spot wouldn’t be a benefit to us. Yeah it might knock our resume down some (beating AU instead of UGa), but it would also lower the bar.

Look at it like this, when it comes down to that last open spot and it’s us vs UGa (just for argument’s sake, say we’re the last two), if the only way they’re not in that spot is for them to lose today, then that’s what we need to have happen. Right?

How much longer till kickoff?

by CarrotTop4 on Mar 10, 2011 11:19 AM CST up reply actions  

I have...

…been thinking about this a lot, too. The biggest argument for UGA making the dance has been their lack of ‘bad losses’ this year. AU would be one heckuva bad loss for them. I know the committee looks at the entire package, but they also look at how teams begin and end the season. They might leave us both out if we were to beat AU and lose to UK, but it would have to be tough to include the Dawgs and omit the Tide if that’s how the season ended.

Of course, I’d rather see AU get destroyed, then see us beat UGA on our way to a tourney title.

"High standards come from passion within...." --Coach Nick Saban

by NiceLittleSaturday on Mar 10, 2011 11:53 AM CST up reply actions  

Oklahoma St is up by 6 at the half on Kansas.

That would help our SOS, right?

How much longer till kickoff?

by CarrotTop4 on Mar 10, 2011 12:31 PM CST reply actions  

Games to Watch: Friday

40 games on tap today. These are the ones that matter most to Bama. The theme for today is: “Take out the bid thieves”

Xavier OVER Dayton (11:00)
Alabama OVER Georgia (12:00, ESPN3)
Illinois OVER Michigan (1:00, ESPN)
Boston College OR Clemson (1:00, ESPN2)
Memphis OVER East Carolina (4:30)
Temple OVER LaSalle (5:30)
Purdue OVER Michigan State (5:30)
Kansas OVER Colorado (6:00, ESPN3)
Florida State OVER Virginia Tech (8:00, ESPN2)
Rhode Island OVER Richmond (8:00)
BYU OVER New Mexico (8:00)
Arizona OVER USC (8:00)
Utah State OVER San Jose State (8:00)
Weber State OVER Saint Mary’s (9:00)
Washington OVER Oregon (10:30)

by rugman11 on Mar 11, 2011 8:09 AM CST reply actions   1 recs

Question:

Wouldn’t it be good for Memphis to lose to ECU if ECU were to lose to UTEP?

"High standards come from passion within...." --Coach Nick Saban

by NiceLittleSaturday on Mar 11, 2011 8:29 AM CST up reply actions  

That would be okay.

It’s tough to say, now that UAB has lost. Either Memphis or UTEP winning is the best case scenario and, frankly, I’d rather see them play each other in the final, since beating ECU and Tulsa isn’t going to give either much of a boost. In a perfect world, Memphis would lose to ECU and UTEP would win the tournament, and C-USA would only get one bid. But, since Memphis is the top team in the conference left in the tournament, I think it’s better to root for them.

by rugman11 on Mar 11, 2011 8:52 AM CST up reply actions  

All of these I agree with...

Plus, I’ve gotta say I’m rooting for UK over Ole Miss. Ole Miss has more depth and killer shooters. I honestly feel like we match up better with UK [even though they’re a significantly better team and they have that whole home court feel in the GA Dome].

I fell in love with Rolando McClain the first time I saw him. Unfortunately, he still doesn't know my name ;)

by SoGladILeftTheACC on Mar 11, 2011 9:25 AM CST up reply actions  

Xavier is getting killed right now by Dayton

"The first person I would like to thank is the good Lord, for giving me the ability to play the game of football. Because without the ability to play the game I would have been at Auburn." - Marty Lyons

by crimsonpride19 on Mar 11, 2011 11:24 AM CST reply actions  

Stupid Illinois, Stupid Purdue, Stupid Xavier

Michigan and Michigan State are that much closer after upsetting the Illini and Boilermakers, respectively. Losses by Virginia Tech and USC tonight would be massively helpful.

by rugman11 on Mar 11, 2011 7:23 PM CST reply actions  

Also,

Utah State MUST win tonight.

by rugman11 on Mar 11, 2011 7:26 PM CST reply actions  

Roll Tide.

Arizona just beat USC, so Roll Tide again.

"High standards come from passion within...." --Coach Nick Saban

by NiceLittleSaturday on Mar 11, 2011 10:09 PM CST up reply actions  

Worst. Game. Ever.

I shit you not.

Final Score: Penn State 36, Wisconsin 33

Wisconsin scored 2 points in the first 10 minutes, shot 15-51 on the game, with 2-21 from 3-point range.

by rugman11 on Mar 11, 2011 9:58 PM CST reply actions  

In other words,

Kemba Walker scored as many points tonight as the entire Badger team.

by rugman11 on Mar 11, 2011 10:01 PM CST up reply actions  

Tonight's scoring leaders:

Morris Twins (Kansas) – 40
Penn State – 36
Donald Qualls (Grambling) – 35
Kemba Walker (UCONN) – 33
Wisconsin – 33
Grant Maxey (Jackson St.) – 32
Kalin Lucas (Michigan St.) – 30

I should also point out that Qualls and Maxey played each other and combined for 2 fewer points than Penn State and Wisconsin.

by rugman11 on Mar 11, 2011 10:09 PM CST reply actions  

23 of the 51 teams who have played so far,

scored more than the 69 combined points PSU and Wisconsin put up.

by rugman11 on Mar 11, 2011 10:11 PM CST up reply actions  

Screw Wisconsin...

…that program represents some of the worst in college basketball. They turn a beautiful sport into a muthaflippin’ boxing match. If you’re ever playing a game with Big Ten refs, you may as well punch your opponent in the nards, ‘cause they won’t call it, and they’ll let you get accosted all night unless you fight back.

"High standards come from passion within...." --Coach Nick Saban

by NiceLittleSaturday on Mar 11, 2011 10:12 PM CST up reply actions  

Holy Crap! You're right!

Only 13 teams have been to the line less than Wisconsin this year. Only 51 teams have sent teams to the line more. No fouls are called in their games, and only 11 FTs were attempted in that game.

by rugman11 on Mar 11, 2011 10:15 PM CST up reply actions  

Only one player in this game shot better than 50 percent from the field,

David Jackson, who went 3-5. No Penn State player hit double-digits.

26 of Wisconsin’s 33 points were scored by 2 players. They went 12-37. Everybody else combined to go 3-14.

by rugman11 on Mar 11, 2011 10:30 PM CST up reply actions  

Forgot:

Jimmer Fredette scored 52 fucking points!

by rugman11 on Mar 11, 2011 11:11 PM CST up reply actions  

That's big.

And hopefully FSU can hold on to beat Virginia Tech. They currently lead 40-35.

In other news, State leads Vandy by 2 at the half.

by rugman11 on Mar 11, 2011 10:12 PM CST up reply actions  

Go State!

How much longer till kickoff?

by CarrotTop4 on Mar 11, 2011 10:12 PM CST up reply actions  

^This...

"High standards come from passion within...." --Coach Nick Saban

by NiceLittleSaturday on Mar 11, 2011 10:14 PM CST up reply actions  

Can't understate how big that Utah State win was.

We’re projected as the last team in right now and we need every bubble spot we can get.

by rugman11 on Mar 11, 2011 10:16 PM CST reply actions  

Okay, FUCK JOE LUNARDI

Apparently, scoring 36 point against Wisconsin was enough to put Penn State into the tournament. What. The. Fuck?

by rugman11 on Mar 11, 2011 10:30 PM CST reply actions  

For Penn State.

Who just barely beat Wisconsin in the worst game ever played. Those two teams should be banned from the tournament on principle alone.

by rugman11 on Mar 11, 2011 10:33 PM CST up reply actions  

Fuck him....

Maine Black Bears

It's not what you've done but what you are doing that matters.

And the roses in this grand ol' stadium are once again Crimson. - Eli Gold, CTSN Broadcast of the BCS Championship Game at the Rose Bowl, 1-7-2010

by AlabamaJammer on Mar 11, 2011 10:52 PM CST up reply actions  

No, really fuck him

Maine Black Bears (15-15); RPI 212 beating PSU AT HOME!

It's not what you've done but what you are doing that matters.

And the roses in this grand ol' stadium are once again Crimson. - Eli Gold, CTSN Broadcast of the BCS Championship Game at the Rose Bowl, 1-7-2010

by AlabamaJammer on Mar 11, 2011 11:00 PM CST up reply actions  

Actually FSU's loss to #253 Auburn....

…but that was in Auburn’s new cow palace.

It's not what you've done but what you are doing that matters.

And the roses in this grand ol' stadium are once again Crimson. - Eli Gold, CTSN Broadcast of the BCS Championship Game at the Rose Bowl, 1-7-2010

by AlabamaJammer on Mar 11, 2011 11:06 PM CST up reply actions  

Seriously

People give us shit about St. Peter’s. Losing to Maine is way worse than that.

by rugman11 on Mar 11, 2011 11:00 PM CST up reply actions  

don't forget the "at home" part too.

At least ours was on a neutral court.

It's not what you've done but what you are doing that matters.

And the roses in this grand ol' stadium are once again Crimson. - Eli Gold, CTSN Broadcast of the BCS Championship Game at the Rose Bowl, 1-7-2010

by AlabamaJammer on Mar 11, 2011 11:02 PM CST up reply actions  

Timeout FSU

25.1 to play, 51-50 Seminole lead. 19 on the shot clock

by rugman11 on Mar 11, 2011 10:39 PM CST reply actions  

ugghhh... FSU turnover.

VT going for the win…

How much longer till kickoff?

by CarrotTop4 on Mar 11, 2011 10:42 PM CST up reply actions  

FSU gets

mugged stolen. 17.0 left. VT ball.

by rugman11 on Mar 11, 2011 10:41 PM CST reply actions  

FSU hits!!!!

I don’t know if he got if off, though. Review under way.

by rugman11 on Mar 11, 2011 10:45 PM CST reply actions  

FSU BEATS THE BUZZER!!

WIN!!

How much longer till kickoff?

by CarrotTop4 on Mar 11, 2011 10:45 PM CST reply actions  

No good. EFF.

How much longer till kickoff?

by CarrotTop4 on Mar 11, 2011 10:48 PM CST reply actions  

The clock on the side looked good,

but the clock over the basket looked bad. No basket.

This sucks. VT was barely ahead of us.

by rugman11 on Mar 11, 2011 10:48 PM CST reply actions  

What sucks the most

is that they’ll probably get an unreasonable amount of credit for beating a mediocre FSU team, whereas we apparently get no credit whatsoever for beating a pretty good Georgia team twice.

by dyrnych on Mar 11, 2011 10:55 PM CST up reply actions  

I rescind the mediocre part after having looked at Florida State's record.

I guess I haven’t really paid attention to them since they lost to Auburn.

by dyrnych on Mar 11, 2011 11:01 PM CST up reply actions  

Alright, Bama. This is it...

…you have to beat Kentucky tomorrow, and even then the tin foil hats might be needed. Just win the fucking tourney so these Big East/Big 10/everyone-else-but-the-SEC jock sniffing assholes can shove it where it counts.

It's not what you've done but what you are doing that matters.

And the roses in this grand ol' stadium are once again Crimson. - Eli Gold, CTSN Broadcast of the BCS Championship Game at the Rose Bowl, 1-7-2010

by AlabamaJammer on Mar 11, 2011 10:55 PM CST reply actions  

AAAAAAAAAHHHHHHHHHHHHH!!!!!!!!!!

Penn State in the game: 36 points
Wisconsin in the game: 33 points
Jimmer Fredette in the FIRST FUCKING HALF: 31 points

by rugman11 on Mar 11, 2011 11:18 PM CST reply actions  

HaHa!

ESPN is reporting that the officials who blew the end of the Rutgers-St. John’s game and resigned from the Big East tournament officiated the Michigan State-Purdue game tonight.

by rugman11 on Mar 11, 2011 11:27 PM CST reply actions  

Let me rephrase.

Earl Walton, one of the three officials during the Rutgers-St. John’s game, was officiating the Spartans-Boilermakers game. Tim Higgins and Jim Burr were nowhere to be found.

Additionally, succeeding reports have indicated that they did not withdraw from the tournament, but were instead fired.

by rugman11 on Mar 11, 2011 11:44 PM CST up reply actions  

Games to Watch: Saturday

23 games today. Fewer of them matter, but we’re still rooting for bubble teams to lose and chalk everywhere else.

Memphis OVER UTEP (11:00 CBS)
Alabama OVER Kentucky (12:00 ABC)
North Carolina OVER Clemson (12:00 ESPN)
Ohio State OVER Michigan (12:40 CBS)
Duke OVER Virginia Tech (2:00 ESPN)
Temple OVER Richmond (2:30 CBS CS)
Michigan State OVER Penn State (3:05 CBS) (That’s right, we’re rooting FOR Sparty now)
Utah State OVER Boise State (9:00 ESPN2)

by rugman11 on Mar 12, 2011 11:27 AM CST reply actions  

Memphis, UK, UNC, OSU winners today so far.

It's not what you've done but what you are doing that matters.

Maybe next year the Ice Surface at Jobing.com should be frozen with the tears of Winnipeg. - TimmyHate of FiveForHowling to a troll after it was alleged Coyote fans do not know how to ice skate.

by AlabamaJammer on Mar 12, 2011 2:41 PM CST reply actions  

Richmond, PSU, Duke, OSU winners…

It's not what you've done but what you are doing that matters.

Maybe next year the Ice Surface at Jobing.com should be frozen with the tears of Winnipeg. - TimmyHate of FiveForHowling to a troll after it was alleged Coyote fans do not know how to ice skate.

by AlabamaJammer on Mar 12, 2011 5:16 PM CST reply actions  

I'm calling it. Collusion

You heard it here first. The Big Ten teams colluded with each other to send as many teams as possible to the NCAA tournament. Think of all of the things that have had to happen in the last week for Michigan State to go from bubble to luck and from Michigan and Penn State going from off the map to in the bracket.

Michigan beat Michigan State (Upset)
Penn State beat Indiana
Michigan State beat Iowa
Michigan beat Illinois
Michigan State beat Purdue (Upset)
Penn State beat Wisconsin (Upset)
Penn State beat Michigan State (Upset)

That’s seven games (including four upsets), any one of which could have knocked a team out of the tournament had it gone the other way. Yet all seven games fell absolutely perfectly and the Big Ten is probably going to get seven teams into the tournament instead of four or five like they would have just one week ago. Ridiculous.

by rugman11 on Mar 12, 2011 5:36 PM CST reply actions  

I HATE PENN STATE

FUCK that cocksucker Lunardi. Everyone else at ESPN has us in but him.

I said it in another thread, but I’m hanging my hat on the selection committee pulling surprises out it’s ass. It’s done it MANY times before. MAYBE they’ll see the 12 conference regular season wins and the 2 time beating of Georgia. I’m hoping for the best, expecting the worst.. And for ONCE in my life, I hope Digger Phelps is right and I like him. Until selection Sunday is over. But keep preachin the Tide Digger!!!

BTW FUCK Mark Gottfried. At the half of todays game he was all for Georgia getting in and down on us.

Anyways, Roll Tide

"I do whatever they want me to do," he said. "I’ll punt it if that’s what they want." Julio Jones after rushing for a 56 yd TD vs Miss. St.

by coachrob on Mar 12, 2011 5:46 PM CST reply actions  

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