Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Pro Quality. Fan Perspective.
Login-facebook
Around SBN: Devils Beat Rangers, Head To Stanley Cup Finals

Story-email Email Printer Print

Comments

Display:

Doesn't make sense to offer girl a job which is a clear

NCAA violation. Instead just give her an athletic scholly…sure she can do something

If Auburn was in New Mexico and we never played them I would still hate them and their dumb coach and their cheating players.

by 5026 on Jan 29, 2012 9:43 PM CST reply actions  

Then grayshirt her.

Sports are a culture's way of getting at 5 or 6 great men... and then assuring that their greatness remains petty.

by zarahoopstra on Jan 29, 2012 10:51 PM CST up reply actions  

How so?

A “girlfriend” is not family. Not sure there would be a violation there.

'There are two pains in life. There is the pain of discipline and the pain of disappointment. If you can handle the pain of discipline, then you'll never have to deal with the pain of disappointment,'- Nick Saban

by J Tadpole on Jan 30, 2012 6:02 AM CST up reply actions  

Well, here's what the article says...
If the allegation is true, it would appear to be in violation of the NCAA’s rule that reads, "during a two-year period before a prospective student-athlete’s anticipated enrollment and a two-year period after the student-athlete’s actual enrollment, an institution shall not employ an individual associated with the prospective student-athlete in any athletics department noncoaching staff position."

God bless our Dark Lord.

by CarrotTop4 on Jan 30, 2012 8:55 AM CST up reply actions  

So...

we could get her a job not in the athletic department, and it would be completely fine?

"Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize half of them are stupider than that." - George Carlin

by Slice of Life on Jan 30, 2012 11:00 AM CST up reply actions  

A lot of students work on campus.

I’ve had two different jobs for the Economics department. So it would be silly to bar all people associated with the athlete from having jobs.

Dave Robertson is growing up to be the new Mariano Rivera. My two universes of fandom can finally unite!

by SoGladILeftTheACC on Jan 31, 2012 8:55 AM CST up reply actions  

And here's the rest of that story...

This is pretty hilarious. Apparently the article linked above conveniently left out the first part of that bylaw, which is quoted here by al.com:

In men’s basketball, during a two-year period before a prospective student-athlete’s anticipated enrollment and a two-year period after the student-athlete’s actual enrollment, an institution shall not employ an individual associated with the prospective student-athlete in any athletics department non-coaching staff position.”

(emphasis added)

God bless our Dark Lord.

by CarrotTop4 on Jan 30, 2012 12:46 PM CST up reply actions   2 recs

So it isn't a violation.

I didn’t think it was. Unfortunately there aren’t enough jobs for everyone’s girl.

'There are two pains in life. There is the pain of discipline and the pain of disappointment. If you can handle the pain of discipline, then you'll never have to deal with the pain of disappointment,'- Nick Saban

by J Tadpole on Jan 30, 2012 10:14 PM CST up reply actions  

Well...

According to Bylaw 13.2.1 (found here), we could not give her a job that was not available to other students. Basically, I think Saban would not be allowed to pull strings to get her a job. But he could certainly point her to the right people to apply, and if she then gets the job, then that’s great.

13.2.1 G eneral Regulation. An institution’s staff member or any representative of its athletics interests shall not be involved, directly or indirectly, in making arrangements for or giving or offering to give any financial aid or other benefits to a prospective student-athlete or his or her relatives or friends, other than expressly permitted by NCAA regulations. Receipt of a benefit by prospective a student-athlete or his or her relatives or friends is not a violation of NCAA legislation if it is determined that the same benefit is generally available to the institution’s prospective students or their relatives or friends or to a particular segment of the student body (e.g., international students, minority students) determined on a basis unrelated to athletics ability. (Revised: 10/28/97, 11/1/00, 3/24/05)

God bless our Dark Lord.

by CarrotTop4 on Jan 31, 2012 8:01 AM CST up reply actions  

When she applies

if she list Nick Saban as a reference that will trump any one else.

By the way, if there is loophole that allows Saban to hire GF of players good for him for using it.

If Auburn was in New Mexico and we never played them I would still hate them and their dumb coach and their cheating players.

by 5026 on Jan 31, 2012 8:52 AM CST up reply actions  

Totally agree.

I don’t get the outrage here. I wouldn’t be surprised in the least if Miles had offered her the same. If not he should’ve.

"Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize half of them are stupider than that." - George Carlin

by Slice of Life on Jan 31, 2012 8:53 AM CST up reply actions  

just a general observation here

but wouldn’t it be better having a person whose employment will clearly be highly scrutinized in a position compliance will vet and oversee than one it won’t?

SB Nation's The Historical: Because all those games way back when matter.

by kleph on Jan 31, 2012 12:56 PM CST up reply actions  

Not if the compliance office is filthy and complicit

/tinfoil’d

"Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize half of them are stupider than that." - George Carlin

by Slice of Life on Jan 31, 2012 1:20 PM CST up reply actions  

all the more reason to keep it in house

SB Nation's The Historical: Because all those games way back when matter.

by kleph on Jan 31, 2012 1:31 PM CST up reply actions  

the unemployment rate in this country

needs for this girl to get a job. #thingsObamasays

Follow on twitter @thelyell
A Hundred Pounds Lost

by bammer on Jan 31, 2012 12:30 PM CST up reply actions  

Ima agree with him on this one....

"High standards come from passion within...." --Coach Nick Saban

by NiceLittleSaturday on Feb 2, 2012 10:36 AM CST up reply actions  

I don't get it

I read a comment from Collins that said something like when he visited Bama he felt the most comfortable there and the most at home. If he truly feels that way why would his mom be offering up such strong resistance? Sure Bama is further away from home than LSU is but it’s still only a few hour car ride away from home.
The only reasonable/logiacal response is that LSU is paying her and/or offered her a job/house/car to sway her son towards LSU.

by sixfoot7 on Jan 29, 2012 10:52 PM CST reply actions  

Or she's just a huge homer for LSU.

"Those are just facts and facts are just opinions and opinions can be wrong"
-Veronica, Better Off Ted

by Zoltar on Jan 30, 2012 12:26 AM CST up reply actions  

Or both.

It's not what you've done but what you are doing that matters.

Make its ass quit -TWEsq, concerning my fight against Multiple Sclerosis

by AlabamaJammer on Jan 30, 2012 5:55 AM CST up reply actions  

I'm not willing...

…to disrespect Collins’ mother, but I will say this: his girlfriend is awfully cute.

"High standards come from passion within...." --Coach Nick Saban

by NiceLittleSaturday on Jan 30, 2012 8:19 AM CST up reply actions   1 recs

I concur.

"Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize half of them are stupider than that." - George Carlin

by Slice of Life on Jan 30, 2012 10:38 AM CST up reply actions  

TWSS

'There are two pains in life. There is the pain of discipline and the pain of disappointment. If you can handle the pain of discipline, then you'll never have to deal with the pain of disappointment,'- Nick Saban

by J Tadpole on Jan 30, 2012 10:14 PM CST up reply actions  

The al.com article

states that Collins’s mother got into an altercation with the girlfriend after announcing the commitment to Alabama; while I hate to speculate on these kinds of things, it sounds to me like a power play (the momma wants the boy in Louisiana where she can keep an eye on him, the girlfriend wants him anywhere else so they can get some privacy).

Rammer Jammer Yellow Hammer Give 'Em HELL Alabama!

by RoscoeOfAlabama on Jan 30, 2012 1:02 PM CST up reply actions  

I'm a "live and let live" kind of guy. However, this woman is getting obnoxious to say the least with her vindictive agenda.

Can anyone imagine an illicit benefit EASIER to disprove than having someone on the university’s payroll? I’m beginning to think Ms. April Justin may have something against the woman his son is dating. I’d say only a couple of fathers of black girls I’ve dated were okay with their daughter dating a cracker muh-fuh likez myself. Like I used to tell them, “Get over it,” Ms. April and when you do, allow me to be the first to welcome you to the 21st Century AD.

In the final analysis, as my Dad is fond of saying, “You need to wake up earlier in the mornin’ than that to fool the REC.”

9th January, 2012: Section 101, Row 1, Seat... I'll let y'all spot that one.

"And a crashin' blow from a huge right hand
Sent a Louisiana fellow to the Promised Land"
-- "Big John" by Jimmy Dean

by TiderUpNorth on Jan 29, 2012 11:19 PM CST reply actions  

I almost wonder

what the mom was being offered by LSU.

If Auburn was in New Mexico and we never played them I would still hate them and their dumb coach and their cheating players.

by 5026 on Jan 30, 2012 8:46 AM CST reply actions  

First off...
Momsteam.com – which bills itself as the trusted source for sports parents

What?? LOL Are they saying that they’re a resource that sports parents can use? Or that that’s where fans can go to keep up with the latest on the parents of athletes? WTF??

God bless our Dark Lord.

by CarrotTop4 on Jan 30, 2012 8:59 AM CST reply actions  

momSTEAM.com

LOL

"I like my Johnnie Walker red and my women bolnde."
- Joe Namath

by 2:22 on Jan 30, 2012 12:54 PM CST up reply actions  

It is the place to get sports parents

You don’t want to risk getting low-quality sports parents from the back of a van or something. Go to the name you can trust, Momsteam.com.

by UAinPHOENIX on Jan 30, 2012 4:57 PM CST up reply actions   2 recs

If she really said this....

then she is trying to sabotage he son’s future. I just don’t get it. I DID NOT wish for my oldest to got to UThug, but told her she had to be happy where she decided to go to. I am so very thankful she did not go there, but I would not have tried to destroy her future nor would I make an ass out of myself if she had gone.

"its that puke, inside of a pumpkin orange....and i dont like pumpkins"!

by etnbama on Jan 30, 2012 9:20 AM CST reply actions  

I'm telling you mom must be getting something if he signs with LSU

If Auburn was in New Mexico and we never played them I would still hate them and their dumb coach and their cheating players.

by 5026 on Jan 31, 2012 8:53 AM CST up reply actions  

The article from Momsteam.com

http://www.momsteam.com/landon-collins/what-landon-collins-mom-understood-that-her-son-did-not-say

The writer claims to have some sort of sixth sense when it comes to figuring out why sports parents do some things. I wonder if she interviewed Cecil Newton. She does not even offer a direct quote from his mom. There is nothing more than she told me and that is all I know. This could be a little as his mom saying she thinks it happend.

"its that puke, inside of a pumpkin orange....and i dont like pumpkins"!

by etnbama on Jan 30, 2012 9:31 AM CST reply actions  

Most worrisome, April said, was that “At ‘Bama they want to red shirt – or grey shirt – him and they want him playing nickleback instead of safety. He is the top safety in the country and he will never play a game his freshman year. Now, at LSU coach Les Miles is offering to play him as safety during his freshman year. His (Nick Saban’s) goals don’t meet the criteria of the family; they meet the criteria of Alabama.”

Translation: Evil ol’ Nick Saban told him he would have to compete for playing time. (But there’s no way he would possibly grayshirt.)

God bless our Dark Lord.

by CarrotTop4 on Jan 30, 2012 10:27 AM CST up reply actions  

How many safeties play nickel?

Also, as you said the idea of Collins being a grey shirt is laughable. It is like she read about Justin Taylor, decided grey shirt=bad, and decided to throw it in for effect.

by UAinPHOENIX on Jan 30, 2012 10:47 AM CST up reply actions  

The more I think about it,

the more I think that significant playing time will be hard to come by (this year at least). You gotta figure Lester and HaHa have the two safety slots locked down. Sunseri has to have a big head start for nickelback. I don’t see how he gets meaningful, non-special teams time unless there’s an injury.

However, he should be set up to be the starter in ’13 after Lester leaves. A HaHa/Collins duo – ees gewd.

"Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize half of them are stupider than that." - George Carlin

by Slice of Life on Jan 30, 2012 10:47 AM CST up reply actions  

It could be worse
and they want him playing nickleback

They could have insisted on Eminem or Lady Gaga.

Attempting to remove humor from posts since August 30, 2011

by JokerBama on Jan 30, 2012 11:48 AM CST up reply actions   4 recs

Good work there.

But I think Nickleback might be worse than the others.

Sports are a culture's way of getting at 5 or 6 great men... and then assuring that their greatness remains petty.

by zarahoopstra on Jan 30, 2012 12:55 PM CST up reply actions  

Nickelback.

'There are two pains in life. There is the pain of discipline and the pain of disappointment. If you can handle the pain of discipline, then you'll never have to deal with the pain of disappointment,'- Nick Saban

by J Tadpole on Jan 30, 2012 10:15 PM CST up reply actions  

Isn't the nickelback usually our #1 corner?

Even if not, according to Saban, we play nickel about 50% of the time. Since so many teams use the spread, not only do we use the nickel a lot, but we often start in it. Problem?

"The same things win today that have always won, and they will win years from now. The only difference is the losers have a whole new bunch of excuses why they don’t win or can’t win."-Bear Bryant

(12-4)+2=12 hoping for a +1

Robot Chicken Star Wars should be canon.

by the thin red line on Jan 31, 2012 1:07 AM CST up reply actions  

My step-brother went to LSU.

Les Miles told him he’d play as a freshman too. Guess how that played out.

Rammer Jammer Yellow Hammer Give 'Em HELL Alabama!

by RoscoeOfAlabama on Jan 30, 2012 1:03 PM CST up reply actions  

He played as a freshman?

"Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize half of them are stupider than that." - George Carlin

by Slice of Life on Jan 30, 2012 1:33 PM CST up reply actions  

In all seriousness,

did he transfer out, or is he still with them?

"Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize half of them are stupider than that." - George Carlin

by Slice of Life on Jan 30, 2012 1:47 PM CST up reply actions  

He did eventually play in 2-TE sets, but as a freshman.

He stayed long enough to get his NC ring and then transferred to Samford. When they told him he couldn’t go to his biology lab (required to pass) because he had to go “voluntary” supplemental practices, he decided LSU wasn’t the place for him.

Rammer Jammer Yellow Hammer Give 'Em HELL Alabama!

by RoscoeOfAlabama on Jan 30, 2012 1:49 PM CST up reply actions  

er, "but NOT as a freshman", rather.

Rammer Jammer Yellow Hammer Give 'Em HELL Alabama!

by RoscoeOfAlabama on Jan 30, 2012 1:50 PM CST up reply actions  

That's kinda crazy.

And really that seems odd, if the lab really was required to pass. LSU has to keep their players eligible (and keep their APR up) just like everyone else.

God bless our Dark Lord.

by CarrotTop4 on Jan 30, 2012 1:54 PM CST up reply actions  

He was pre-med at the time

so this was a serious biology class, not “earth sciences” or whatever LSU’s jock science class is. He was told he was a football player and didn’t need to be taking difficult classes, which gave him the push he needed to transfer.

Rammer Jammer Yellow Hammer Give 'Em HELL Alabama!

by RoscoeOfAlabama on Jan 30, 2012 1:59 PM CST up reply actions  

Were these ″voluntary″ supplementary practices under or over

the 20-hour limit?

"The same things win today that have always won, and they will win years from now. The only difference is the losers have a whole new bunch of excuses why they don’t win or can’t win."-Bear Bryant

(12-4)+2=12 hoping for a +1

Robot Chicken Star Wars should be canon.

by the thin red line on Jan 31, 2012 1:11 AM CST up reply actions  

This was years ago

and I didn’t think to ask.

Rammer Jammer Yellow Hammer Give 'Em HELL Alabama!

by RoscoeOfAlabama on Jan 31, 2012 1:45 AM CST up reply actions  

If I'm reading everything here right, then it was 2007.

Not saying you should know the answer to that necessarily, but just that it’s not ancient history.

God bless our Dark Lord.

by CarrotTop4 on Jan 31, 2012 7:26 AM CST up reply actions  

He's my step-brother

so I didn’t know his weekly practice schedule.

Rammer Jammer Yellow Hammer Give 'Em HELL Alabama!

by RoscoeOfAlabama on Jan 31, 2012 10:56 AM CST up reply actions  

Understood.

I’m just saying that it is still the current coaching staff.

God bless our Dark Lord.

by CarrotTop4 on Jan 31, 2012 10:57 AM CST up reply actions  

Here's my question:

Last I checked, LSU had two All-American safeties, in Eric Reid and Tyron Mathieu. Which of those two All-Americans, exactly, did Les promise that Collins would supplant?

by rugman11 on Jan 30, 2012 7:23 PM CST up reply actions  

Not according to Kevin Norwood...

/14nd

"High standards come from passion within...." --Coach Nick Saban

by NiceLittleSaturday on Jan 31, 2012 7:31 AM CST up reply actions  

23d

"Make no mistake, Florida is the South's trashcan" Peter Griffin

by tc16cav on Jan 31, 2012 7:58 AM CST up reply actions  

That, too....

"High standards come from passion within...." --Coach Nick Saban

by NiceLittleSaturday on Jan 31, 2012 10:22 AM CST up reply actions  

Gah, you're right.

I guess LSU’s other safety was a senior.

by rugman11 on Jan 31, 2012 10:26 AM CST up reply actions  

Even an indirect quote

is a quote. Both kinds have to be accurate.

"The same things win today that have always won, and they will win years from now. The only difference is the losers have a whole new bunch of excuses why they don’t win or can’t win."-Bear Bryant

(12-4)+2=12 hoping for a +1

Robot Chicken Star Wars should be canon.

by the thin red line on Jan 31, 2012 1:24 AM CST up reply actions  

I just read the momsteam article

and things don’t pass the smell test for me. First, Mrs. Justin says she is offended that Ch. Saban tells her that her son will be there 3 years and out, and now she says she is offended that her son will be “redshirted” or “grayshirted” the first year. If Coach told her that her son would be going to the NFL in 3 years, then isn’t he good enough to play as a freshman? Do those two statements not contradict themselves? Also, Ch. Miles is telling her that her son can play as a freshman, but that doesn’t sound like he’s telling her what she wants to hear? And, LSU is saying that they’re interested in Collin’s little brother, which maybe he’s that good too, but could that not be LSU telling Justin what she wants to hear? Oh, and the article says this is not about Justin being an LSU fan, well I wouldn’t know that by watching the Under Armour video. Last thing, I respect that this mom loves her son, and I believe she should have a part in her son’s decision making, but what about the dad’s opinion? He is obviously a big part of Landon’s life, so what he says matters just as much, if not more. I think this just boils down to a family issue that has nothing to do with football, and Mrs. Justice is just using this as an opportunity to stir the pot.

"Auburn people are stinky"- my 3 yr.old daughter

by You can call me Al on Jan 31, 2012 9:26 AM CST up reply actions  

All I can say...

…is Collins better be a freshman All-American to warrant this kind of baggage.

Roll Bama Roll - The Champagne of Bama Blogs.

by Todd on Jan 30, 2012 10:19 AM CST reply actions  

Doesn't April Justin

Remind you of Bobby Boucher’s mom? “I don’t won’t you playin no fooseball fa dat Nick Saban! He is da Debil!” I just hope he can hit like the Waterboy. “You can do it!”

Shake it, Bake it, and he makes it! Touchdown!

by rolltidefromaz on Jan 30, 2012 10:31 AM CST reply actions  

Nah

She is more like Mitch Mustain’s mom.

by TideInTex on Jan 30, 2012 1:46 PM CST up reply actions  

I would like to take this opportunity to thank Ms. April Justin.

Her behavior has set my mind at ease that we will not see a Signing Day flip. At this point, the kid would sign with the taliban to spite her.

"Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize half of them are stupider than that." - George Carlin

by Slice of Life on Jan 30, 2012 10:50 AM CST reply actions  

From ATVS:

At this point, Collins’ recruitment has been so odd, I half expect him to sign with Auburn tomorrow.

Books for Bama students: My E-Cubby - UA

by squinky86 on Jan 30, 2012 12:43 PM CST reply actions  

They must still be seein' stars...

NSD isn’t till Wednesday.

"It's not the size of the cat in the fight, it's size of the fight in the cat"

"Pep talks... only work when they touch that ember of truth learned the hardest possible way on the field.-Kleph

by thecalicocat on Jan 30, 2012 1:28 PM CST up reply actions  

This is just outrageous

I think it’s just a ploy to get her son to dump her GF. LOL

"Winning isn't everything, but it beats anything that comes in second."
--Paul "Bear" Bryant
"The road to Easy Street goes through the sewer."
--John Madden

by PKP1288 on Jan 30, 2012 12:48 PM CST reply actions  

That's kinky.

'There are two pains in life. There is the pain of discipline and the pain of disappointment. If you can handle the pain of discipline, then you'll never have to deal with the pain of disappointment,'- Nick Saban

by J Tadpole on Jan 30, 2012 10:16 PM CST up reply actions  

Let's use Occam's Razor here.

What’s the simpler explanation: Collins is going to UA because Nick Saban used underhanded recruiting techniques to get one of many five-star recruits, or because his mother is crazy and he’ll do anything to get out of Louisiana?

Rammer Jammer Yellow Hammer Give 'Em HELL Alabama!

by RoscoeOfAlabama on Jan 30, 2012 1:06 PM CST reply actions  

So you’re saying Jodie Foster didn’t visit any aliens??

God bless our Dark Lord.

by CarrotTop4 on Jan 30, 2012 1:11 PM CST up reply actions   1 recs

Movie - spoiled.

Thanks a lot. I’ve been waiting years for that one.

"Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize half of them are stupider than that." - George Carlin

by Slice of Life on Jan 30, 2012 1:34 PM CST up reply actions  

I got you a shirt...

Rammer Jammer Yellow Hammer Give 'Em HELL Alabama!

by RoscoeOfAlabama on Jan 30, 2012 1:41 PM CST up reply actions  

Jodie Foster was an alien?

"Make no mistake, Florida is the South's trashcan" Peter Griffin

by tc16cav on Jan 30, 2012 1:37 PM CST up reply actions  

If Jodie Foster were an alien

She would be a better actress than she is.

"Imagination is everything." Albert Einstein
"Touch that thang, Fo' ! " Courtney Upshaw

by CrimsonAlumn98 on Jan 30, 2012 5:17 PM CST up reply actions  

OMG I RAEG so hard in that movie.

Waited, and didn’t even get to see a real damn alien.

I make it a point to change channels when that awful movie is on.

by Durdens Wrath on Jan 31, 2012 1:01 PM CST up reply actions  

Occam's Razor couldn't shave that goofy woman.

Because she got’s no logic. She thought the Under Armour announcement was all about her. Watch her expression.

"Imagination is everything." Albert Einstein
"Touch that thang, Fo' ! " Courtney Upshaw

by CrimsonAlumn98 on Jan 30, 2012 5:20 PM CST up reply actions  

Crap like this

just ruins recruiting for me.

by Apeekrtr on Jan 30, 2012 1:21 PM CST reply actions  

Won't Landon's mom have to sign

his Letter of Intent? That could get ugly.

by SweetHomeAla on Jan 30, 2012 1:26 PM CST reply actions  

Hide the fax!

"It's not the size of the cat in the fight, it's size of the fight in the cat"

"Pep talks... only work when they touch that ember of truth learned the hardest possible way on the field.-Kleph

by thecalicocat on Jan 30, 2012 1:29 PM CST up reply actions  

Why would she have to sign it?

Does a parent have to sign? And if so, can’t his dad sign it?

God bless our Dark Lord.

by CarrotTop4 on Jan 30, 2012 1:32 PM CST up reply actions  

Yes, a parent or legal guardian has to sign.

Didn’t know whether his dad was in the picture, but Slice of Life reports below that he lives with his dad, so that potential roadblock looks to be avioded.

by SweetHomeAla on Jan 30, 2012 1:41 PM CST up reply actions  

Unless he's 18

which most of them are.

'There are two pains in life. There is the pain of discipline and the pain of disappointment. If you can handle the pain of discipline, then you'll never have to deal with the pain of disappointment,'- Nick Saban

by J Tadpole on Jan 30, 2012 10:17 PM CST up reply actions  

No, I believe the rule is under 21.

If you’re under 21, then your parent or legal guardian has to sign.

by SweetHomeAla on Jan 31, 2012 8:31 AM CST up reply actions  

You can sign a Letter of Intent at 18

but your parent or legal guardian also has to sign, so says the NCAA.

by SweetHomeAla on Jan 31, 2012 9:57 AM CST up reply actions  

That right there is a big ol bag of

bull mess.

You can go off and earn the G.I. Bill and destroy your enemy but you can’t join the Saban army and destroy villages on the plains or annihilate QB’s and the will of a team.

by Talabama on Jan 31, 2012 11:31 AM CST up reply actions  

An ″X″ is not legally recognized, is it?

"The same things win today that have always won, and they will win years from now. The only difference is the losers have a whole new bunch of excuses why they don’t win or can’t win."-Bear Bryant

(12-4)+2=12 hoping for a +1

Robot Chicken Star Wars should be canon.

by the thin red line on Jan 31, 2012 1:14 AM CST up reply actions  

No.

He lives with his dad. She doesn’t have to sign jack.

"Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize half of them are stupider than that." - George Carlin

by Slice of Life on Jan 30, 2012 1:34 PM CST up reply actions  

Watch Out for the ole fake letter of intent.....

remember the A&M recruit’s mom that sent the forged LOI to Ole Miss…

by BamaBR549 on Jan 30, 2012 6:28 PM CST reply actions  

Feel sorry for this young man

First having watched Collins play on a few occasions, I’m not sure about all the superstar hype. Time will tell if his sometimes delayed reaction is from not having that natural instinct that the elite safeties have or if it was his simply knowing he had the athletic gifts to still make plays at the HS level. Regardless, he should be a solid player at the very least, and Smart and Saban are elite secondary coaches who will get him to his potential.

I think his mother is just one of those parents who wants to relive her life through that of her children. It is a sad insecurity complex. That said for some kids playing close to home is the best thing for them, while for others leaving the comfort of home is the best. Athlete or not, some need to be out on their own at that age because they get too distracted or have too much pressure as the "local" kid. Others need that extra attention. If he desires, Collins should play 4 years at Alabama but more importantly gets his degree. I hope he has an interest in psychology or something similar for a major and plans for graduate school because his Mom needs help, and unfortunately this young man will still be dealing with that issue long after his football playing days are over.

As for LSU athletics and academics, I have no recent knowledge of current athletes, but past athletes in all major sports have gone on to receive advanced degrees. Examples are Eddy Furniss, All American baseball player for Skip and now an MD; Joe "Nacho" Albergamo, All American Offensive line, also an MD; Garrett Temple, All SEC Basketball, and multiple graduate degrees (at least 1 while still playing on scholarship). Any of you could probably make similar lists for Alabama graduates. Most, if not all, SEC schools uphold academic standards for athletes. I just think higher education is sinking overall as respect for education in general is eroding.

by PamfromLouisiana on Jan 30, 2012 7:30 PM CST reply actions  

He is an elite

Prospect and if you watched him play you would see that. Watch the pick in the under armor game. That was all I needed to see. He is a playmaker and will be all American.

Roll Tide!

by mobilematt12 on Jan 30, 2012 9:36 PM CST up reply actions  

It's easy to make anyone look great or bad based on a single play.

All star games are a little different from games with your own teammates. Dutchtown was undefeated going into the state playoffs, had the number 4 seed, and got manhandled at home by 29 seed Ponchatoula. Collins never made any impact against the Green Wave option as Ponchy had over 300 yards rushing against the Griffins. During the regular season, he was burned numerous times in the 4th quarter on 80 and 90 yard drives against a poor offensive passing team in Woodlawn. Granted he did make an athletic stop on an attempted fake punt. These were from his senior season, and I can relate more from underclassman seasons with his improvement in some areas but not all.

The young man is a very good football player and can stand out in highlight reels. To label or anoint him as an elite, NCAA All American, and such is premature and a disservice to the young man. Hopefully all of this recruiting junk will not result in his becoming a cult hero in Tuscaloosa where he feels compelled to always make the big play instead of just playing solid. Dutchtown is a strong football program, and Benny is an experienced coach so the basics are there.

Some years back in the same region of LA, a player with similar skills to Collins received even more hype about how he would become an immediate superstar. Does the name Travis Minor ring any bells? Likewise, Dutchtown High has another graduate currently on the Alabama team who many labeled an immediate starter and Heisman winner. That young man is also a solid player who may have a breakout year next year. Previously though, he has been on the bench as a backup behind two others who won the starting jobs. If either had stayed 4 years, that young man from Geismar, LA, would have seen the ball far less than he has to this stage.

by PamfromLouisiana on Jan 31, 2012 9:12 AM CST up reply actions  

I assume you are referring to Eddie Lacy

I would hardly call his contribution as “on the bench”

Roll Tide!

by mobilematt12 on Jan 31, 2012 9:24 AM CST up reply actions  

So Lacy coming out of high school

was better than both Ingram and Richardson. The recruiting reports had Lacy pegged as an immediate starter. Point is that few true freshman are able to be the most dominant player on the field in Division I football.

by PamfromLouisiana on Jan 31, 2012 9:37 AM CST up reply actions  

Not true.

Richardson was easily the most highly regarded of the three as a high school senior. Followed by Lacy and then Ingram.

Richardson had about as dominant a freshman year as you could possibly have while backing up a heisman winning running back.

Regardless, no one is saying this kid is going to dominate his freshman year.

"Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize half of them are stupider than that." - George Carlin

by Slice of Life on Jan 31, 2012 9:40 AM CST up reply actions  

Exactly.

NO ONE expected Lacy to come in and start his freshman year.

God bless our Dark Lord.

by CarrotTop4 on Jan 31, 2012 10:20 AM CST up reply actions  

Not anybody familiar

with our depth chart anyway.

Roll Tide!

by mobilematt12 on Jan 31, 2012 10:25 AM CST up reply actions  

Part of the recruiting visit spiel

Fortunately, Lacy had enough sense and a support group which did not allow him to get a swelled head and think he was the “greatest RB prospect ever recruited by the University of Alabama” to quote from the press conference after he officially signed.

by PamfromLouisiana on Jan 31, 2012 12:46 PM CST up reply actions  

Who are you quoting??

Link?

Again, I maintain that no one expected Lacy to start his freshman year. We had the reigning Heisman winner coming back that fall for goodness sake!

God bless our Dark Lord.

by CarrotTop4 on Jan 31, 2012 2:09 PM CST up reply actions  

Correction: I had 2010 in my mind.

He signed in 2009, but Trent was a higher rated prospect than Lacy was anyway.

God bless our Dark Lord.

by CarrotTop4 on Jan 31, 2012 2:20 PM CST up reply actions  

The Crimson White

Would have been shortly after the official signing. I’ll try to find a link to the story and the video of one of the local reporters here holding up the paper and reading from it on the air. Again, this is just the type of things that get “promised” during recruiting visits. Some kids and their parents are that naive, but others are realistic. I give Lacy credit here for not just hearing what he wanted to hear if indeed The Crimson White had verified the quote.

by PamfromLouisiana on Jan 31, 2012 2:52 PM CST up reply actions  

My reply to mobile was being sarcastic

As for Collins being dominate his freshman year, that was my point in my initial post on this thread. Somehow mobile took offense and began touting all this “elite” prospect “can’t miss” talk. Having seen athletes go from “heroes” to “who cares about you,” I feel for any player who gets hyped to a point that he or she cannot possibly obtain. I’d rather tone down the talk of potential and let the player stand on his or her improvement during the course of a career.

by PamfromLouisiana on Jan 31, 2012 12:41 PM CST up reply actions  

Who has said he will dominate his freshman year, besides, I guess Les Miles

Heck, according to his mom we might not even let him have a scholarship right away and grey shirt him./sarcasmfont
The only reason his recruitment is getting THIS much attention is the drama with his mom. He would be a top commit and prospect, for sure, but we have a lot of those and none of them are getting this much coverage because none of their parents have acted like this.

by UAinPHOENIX on Jan 31, 2012 1:06 PM CST up reply actions  

Agreed he should not be subject to all this attention.

My original post to this thread was the same as yours: he is a top committment and prospect, but only time will tell if becomes one of the elite players or not. I worded it as does he lack the natural instinct or is he just so confident in his ability to succeed at the high school level that often plays showed his great athleticism, but other DBs make the play look routine by simply reacting sooner. Saban and Smart will get him to whatever his real potential is; right now it is not clear cut for him or any other 18 year old kid. The potential and tools are there, but like with any player there are other variables. Somehow my typing that position became a discrediting of Collins and 5 star recruits with mobile’s statements.

He is an elite


Prospect and if you watched him play you would see that. Watch the pick in the under armor game. That was all I needed to see. He is a playmaker and will be all American.


Roll Tide!

by mobilematt12 on Jan 30, 2012 7:36 PM PST upreplyactions

by PamfromLouisiana on Jan 31, 2012 1:25 PM CST up reply actions  

Maybe Lacy was being hyped like that in your neck of the woods

but Richardson was by far the better of the 2 prospects coming out of high school.

Roll Tide!

by mobilematt12 on Jan 31, 2012 9:43 AM CST up reply actions  

The Crimson White

is not a local LA newspaper but a student publication from the University of Alabama.

by PamfromLouisiana on Feb 1, 2012 8:14 AM CST up reply actions  

Sorry, but I still won't believe that the CW said he was

the "greatest RB prospect ever recruited by the University of Alabama" until I see it.

God bless our Dark Lord.

by CarrotTop4 on Feb 1, 2012 8:21 AM CST up reply actions  

Defending the option is all about coaching and players being disciplined.

So I’ll refrain from assigning all the blame to the safety when an option team runs for 300 yards against his defense.

God bless our Dark Lord.

by CarrotTop4 on Jan 31, 2012 9:25 AM CST up reply actions  

Agreed.

I seem to remember a certain option team being fairly successful against our D this year… I wouldn’t discount Barron because of it.

"Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize half of them are stupider than that." - George Carlin

by Slice of Life on Jan 31, 2012 9:27 AM CST up reply actions  

Not discounting him

Made big hits, but did not complete the tackle at times. Against Woodlawn tried to intercept instead of keeping the receiver in front and making the tackle even though the clock was running out.

Just saying that this young man will not immediately win the Jim Thorpe Award even though many are building him up so much. He might, but give the kid a chance before giving him the superman title.

by PamfromLouisiana on Jan 31, 2012 9:34 AM CST up reply actions  

Nobody is building him up like that

We signed the #1 safety in the country last year. Very rare for a first year DB to get on the field in a Saban defense.

Roll Tide!

by mobilematt12 on Jan 31, 2012 9:36 AM CST up reply actions  

That kind of stuff is just immaturity and too much reliance on his ability.

That can (and will) be coached out of him. He’s not going to win the Thorpe award his freshman year (nobody does). He will be a stud though. He’s about as close to can’t miss as it gets.

"Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize half of them are stupider than that." - George Carlin

by Slice of Life on Jan 31, 2012 9:37 AM CST up reply actions  

My point from above

Judging him solely from the all star games is a disservice to the young man. He should be a solid player and with work and luck possibly great. Unfortunately, his Mom and all this stuff has put him in the spotlight so much that expectations might be falsely high.

by PamfromLouisiana on Jan 31, 2012 9:40 AM CST up reply actions  

You look at his athletic ability

to evaluate a player. I am not just pointing to the interception just as a stat. Look at the athleticism on the play that he made. He showed why he was an elite prospect on that play alone.

Roll Tide!

by mobilematt12 on Jan 31, 2012 9:45 AM CST up reply actions  

Athletic ability is

just one part of an equation. Character, drive, desire, coachabiility, and luck are just as important.

Many great athletes never make it, while far lesser athletes become the great players.

by PamfromLouisiana on Jan 31, 2012 9:53 AM CST up reply actions  

I encourage to look at

the 5* athletes we have signed recently…yes a couple have been busts, but most have done extremely well….don’t rely on anecdotal stories instead of looking at the raw data which suggests that most do make it…

Roll Tide!

by mobilematt12 on Jan 31, 2012 10:09 AM CST up reply actions  

Display the data

not just from Alabama but from all Division I schools.

by PamfromLouisiana on Jan 31, 2012 10:10 AM CST up reply actions  

Alabama is the only relevant data

because others are not in the same enviroment….so theirs would be irrelevant….

Roll Tide!

by mobilematt12 on Jan 31, 2012 10:11 AM CST up reply actions  

since 2008

Julio Jones, Tyler Love, Bruton Scott, Trent Richardson, DJ Fluker, Nico Johnson, Dre Kirkpatrick, Dee Milliner, Cyrus Koujando, Dee Hart, Hasean Clinton Dix, and Trey Depriest are 5* recruits. Out of those, there will be only 2 that could be considered “busts” and the rest look like they will eventually be headed to the NFL as first or second round draft choices. Of course, we will have to wait and see with Hart and Clinton Dix. The rest are playing at a very high level.

Roll Tide!

by mobilematt12 on Jan 31, 2012 10:23 AM CST up reply actions  

I hope he has an interest in psychology or something similar for a major and plans for graduate school because his Mom needs help

LOL

God bless our Dark Lord.

by CarrotTop4 on Jan 31, 2012 7:34 AM CST up reply actions  

Collins' Mom

I do not have anything against his mom, but man she really hates his girlfriend! First, there was the drama at the signing day where she did not want her to sit with the family, and now she comes out in public and makes an accusation against her. She really does not like her, and has no concept of keeping things in-house as it were.

by Kenny483 on Jan 30, 2012 8:07 PM CST reply actions  

Never a dull moment.

If her story is true, and Collins breaks up with his girlfriend after enrollment, then wh
at? I wonder if Saban is so short term.

Let’s say the job were in the athletics department, then Saban is stupid for not seeing the loophole of getting a job for her outside the athletics department. Saban’s not stupid.

Furthermore, let’s say Saban did break a recruiting rule. So now his mom implicates her son. I think I like Cecil Newton better.

Finally, no way we greyshirt the top safety in the country. Redshirt, perhaps.

"The same things win today that have always won, and they will win years from now. The only difference is the losers have a whole new bunch of excuses why they don’t win or can’t win."-Bear Bryant

(12-4)+2=12 hoping for a +1

Robot Chicken Star Wars should be canon.

by the thin red line on Jan 31, 2012 12:32 AM CST reply actions  

Whoa, my bad. Can work in the athletics department, and even

no problem if she does work for Saban. Still, I wonder if Saban is so short term. And it doesn’t seem like much of an incentive to get Collins to sign.

"The same things win today that have always won, and they will win years from now. The only difference is the losers have a whole new bunch of excuses why they don’t win or can’t win."-Bear Bryant

(12-4)+2=12 hoping for a +1

Robot Chicken Star Wars should be canon.

by the thin red line on Jan 31, 2012 12:44 AM CST up reply actions  

Again, I'm still not buying it.

Alabama has 12 ESPN Top 150 recruits; the rest of the SEC West has 9 combined. I’m sure this kid is good, but Coach Saban sees the big picture.

(More likely: the girl got a work-study position. If she’s enrolled at Alabama, those are quite easy to get.)

Rammer Jammer Yellow Hammer Give 'Em HELL Alabama!

by RoscoeOfAlabama on Jan 31, 2012 1:48 AM CST up reply actions  

I can’t see Saban spoiling a player like this.

We lost one 5* a few years back to Cal because we wouldn’t give his brother, a QB, a scholarship to transfer here.

"The same things win today that have always won, and they will win years from now. The only difference is the losers have a whole new bunch of excuses why they don’t win or can’t win."-Bear Bryant

(12-4)+2=12 hoping for a +1

Robot Chicken Star Wars should be canon.

by the thin red line on Jan 31, 2012 2:41 AM CST up reply actions   2 recs

This.

"Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize half of them are stupider than that." - George Carlin

by Slice of Life on Jan 31, 2012 8:39 AM CST up reply actions  

Damn good point, Thin Red.

Coach Saban also wasn’t willing to beg that receiver (who ended up going to Cal) to come to Bama because the recruit — in his arrogance — said that a football-playing friend is part of the package.

9th January, 2012: Section 101, Row 1, Seat... I'll let y'all spot that one.

"And a crashin' blow from a huge right hand
Sent a Louisiana fellow to the Promised Land"
-- "Big John" by Jimmy Dean

by TiderUpNorth on Jan 31, 2012 2:08 PM CST up reply actions  

That's the same guy (Keenan Allen)

it was his brother, not his friend.

"Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize half of them are stupider than that." - George Carlin

by Slice of Life on Jan 31, 2012 2:22 PM CST up reply actions  

...or the scholly room.

We probably would’ve done it if we could’ve. Dude was/is legit.

"Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize half of them are stupider than that." - George Carlin

by Slice of Life on Jan 31, 2012 3:17 PM CST up reply actions  

Legit talent...

…questionable in other areas….

"High standards come from passion within...." --Coach Nick Saban

by NiceLittleSaturday on Feb 2, 2012 10:39 AM CST up reply actions  

I wonder if Saban is so short term.

I don’t understand what you mean by this.

God bless our Dark Lord.

by CarrotTop4 on Jan 31, 2012 7:36 AM CST up reply actions  

Why get involved in Landon’s personal affairs just to sign him?

He could be a bust, or break up with his girlfriend who is still part of the program and with a new boyfriend, or this causes too many personal problems with his family. Now how many 4* or 5* guys have had issues lately. Why create potential problems? Short term gain could turn out to be problem in the future.

"The same things win today that have always won, and they will win years from now. The only difference is the losers have a whole new bunch of excuses why they don’t win or can’t win."-Bear Bryant

(12-4)+2=12 hoping for a +1

Robot Chicken Star Wars should be canon.

by the thin red line on Jan 31, 2012 7:56 AM CST up reply actions  

Well, you recruit the decision makers.

You find out who is important to the recruit and then you try to sell them on the school. That’s a pretty basic principle of recruiting.

God bless our Dark Lord.

by CarrotTop4 on Jan 31, 2012 8:03 AM CST up reply actions  

True, but this is too much. Her being an intern/hostess

should not be that big an incentive. According to Justin in her interview with al.com, it’s more complicated.

"The same things win today that have always won, and they will win years from now. The only difference is the losers have a whole new bunch of excuses why they don’t win or can’t win."-Bear Bryant

(12-4)+2=12 hoping for a +1

Robot Chicken Star Wars should be canon.

by the thin red line on Jan 31, 2012 8:17 AM CST up reply actions  

Are you crazy?

Being hours away from home with unlimited access to your girlfriend is a big incentive to an 18 year old.

Also, I don’t see the “short term” argument. Once he’s here, he’s not leaving (especially if he’s a 3 year guy) no matter what happens with the current girlfriend. Bama has plenty of other attractive options when it comes to co eds should that relationship hit the rocks.

"Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize half of them are stupider than that." - George Carlin

by Slice of Life on Jan 31, 2012 8:42 AM CST up reply actions  

Perhaps.

But a lot of these playees are emotionally fragile, especially away from home. Hart and Calloway are in-state and these guys have issues.

"The same things win today that have always won, and they will win years from now. The only difference is the losers have a whole new bunch of excuses why they don’t win or can’t win."-Bear Bryant

(12-4)+2=12 hoping for a +1

Robot Chicken Star Wars should be canon.

by the thin red line on Jan 31, 2012 4:13 PM CST up reply actions  

100 percent agree

Like with any 18 year old, leaving home for college can be good or bad based on individual personality and the atmosphere where they feel comfortable. With an athlete, you have the added pressure of living up to sometimes unreal expectations when staying local or having to change your routines away from home. Other athletes thrive by staying home, but aren’t ready for the amount of change when leaving. Some will succeed or fail regardless. Many on here seem to disagree with me, but I think Collins has enough issues to deal with regarding his family and GF and should not warrant so much attention Bama fans since he obviously wants to go to Tuscaloosa. Remarks about his talent and the recruiting fiasco is 10 times more popular here than on LSU boards. That’s the case even if you combine the comments on LSU boards both pre and post the verbal commitment.

What everyone outside of those familiar with District 5-5A have failed to mention in any of the stories, is that Collins has made remarks about academic interests which played a role in his decision. I don’t know which professors he met during any of his visits at any school, but for many athletes that educational situation and an after sports life can be a deciding factor. I personally know one former Bama player who later went to the NFL who chose UA not so much for the football aspects (he had 3 good schools on his final list), but from sitting in on a class and later talking with the late Professor Gary Mills at UA.

There are just too many factors and variables involved to immediately place labels on any of these kids.

Great comment the thin red line.

by PamfromLouisiana on Jan 31, 2012 4:50 PM CST up reply actions  

Remarks about his talent and the recruiting fiasco is 10 times more popular here than on LSU boards

1. Bama fans are crazy.
2. LSU has no reason to be concerned, as they aren’t getting him.

"Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize half of them are stupider than that." - George Carlin

by Slice of Life on Jan 31, 2012 5:00 PM CST up reply actions  

Nice

Just hate seeing the young man getting so much attention because his Mom probably thirsts for attention, and have him get so fed up that he decides the sport isn’t worth the hassle.

Some Bama fans are crazy, just as crazy as we Bayou Belles, but I’d rather debate athletics, especially FB, BB (always will wonder why Wells did not build a dynasty there), and Softball with gray haired Tide people than with most. Especially if you are old enough to remember the Wishbone, and accept the pre-Saban years with the exception of Stallings. Just like these LSU youngsters don’t get the Stovall Veer fumble years, Curley, Gerry, Archer years. Arnsparger is our exception before Sabin.

by PamfromLouisiana on Jan 31, 2012 5:31 PM CST up reply actions  

In reference to Collins

both before and after the whole mother fiasco, I would say probably more than 10 times after reading back on different threads before I became a participant on here.

In reference to comments about different topics, the boards are equal with different topics getting differing amounts of attention at various times.

LSU constant theme: Trash Miles and not think back to the past under previous coaches, including Saban. Old timers like me arguing with the newbies on that topic.

Here: some everybody is against us or afraid of us types of comments and attempts to justify or rationalize separate incidents with what I guess are old timers saying we are all in this together. Unfortunately, long term fans and those actually having played regardless of school have to also combat the idiot’s every fan base has.

Reality: Just like every other board. I often lack in popularity by not jumping on bandwagons, get some disgusting private messages by lame brains, and then have a large number of recs on many posts. Internet version of drinking beer while catching fish.

by PamfromLouisiana on Feb 1, 2012 8:26 AM CST up reply actions  

Her post reeks of the ole

“he’s not that good anyway”. Maybe he doesn’t pan out, but nobody can argue that the kid is not an elite talent….

Roll Tide!

by mobilematt12 on Jan 31, 2012 9:29 AM CST up reply actions  

This reeks?

I say let the young man go to school where he wants. Some locals do best staying at the “home” school while others are best served going to others. Unfortunately, I have seen “elite talents” as you put it fail more times than succeed. Especially when too much pressure is placed upon them. When you have played college athletics, it is often easier to play on the road. It’s easy to knock out the boos and jeers, but harder to concentrate with the cheers and that feeling of failure when you don’t make the play. Just give the kid a chance without making him feel the need to be a superstar.

by PamfromLouisiana on Jan 31, 2012 9:50 AM CST up reply actions  

False

more 5* athletes succeed at the D1 level then fail…..look at the data and stop relying on anecdotal stories of those who don’t make it.

Roll Tide!

by mobilematt12 on Jan 31, 2012 10:07 AM CST up reply actions  

I don't have to prove it

I already know the answer and am not worried about it. Look at Saban’s 5* players and see their success at Alabama…that is the only relevant data you need.

Roll Tide!

by mobilematt12 on Jan 31, 2012 10:14 AM CST up reply actions  

Yeah I agree

I just get tired of listening to the meme that 5* recruits are likely to be busts when the opposite is true…at least as far as Bama kids under Saban.

Roll Tide!

by mobilematt12 on Jan 31, 2012 10:24 AM CST up reply actions  

This is true...

…the reason our two ‘busts’ stand out is because they go against the norm….

"High standards come from passion within...." --Coach Nick Saban

by NiceLittleSaturday on Jan 31, 2012 10:26 AM CST up reply actions  

I get tired of it too,

but still you are correct that most 5* recruits do very well, and Pam is correct that some 5* recruits do not pan out.

God bless our Dark Lord.

by CarrotTop4 on Jan 31, 2012 10:47 AM CST up reply actions  

True but she is on here

evaluating his game and telling us all about the holes in his game that she noticed while personally scouting him or whatever.

Roll Tide!

by mobilematt12 on Jan 31, 2012 11:03 AM CST up reply actions  

Take my statements in the context

as to what many are saying on here about Collins. He is being touted as an “elite” talent who will become an All American. Possibly.

Percentage wise 5 star recruits do well over time, but the pool of 5 star recruits is very shallow. Consider the immediate impact during the freshman year which is what mobile is trying to prove. Looking at those listed below by Slice of Life, off the top of my head I see this:

Nico Johnson: Great player today, but limited starts as Frosh and Soph. I think coaching and a good attitude enabled his advancement.

Kirkpatrick: Any time as a Frosh? Starter Soph and Junior years.

Richardson: One of the best in college football, but I would say that he and Ingram (a 3 or 4 star recruit depending on source) were equal in college.

Dee Milner: Started as a Frosh but played more as the 3rd CB and in Nickel and Dime during the games I saw this year.

Hart, Kouandgio, and a few others I remember may or may not overcome injuries. Tyler Love is listed as a “bust” but didn’t he have a medical redshirt that frosh year and simply never recovered?

Now think about some of Bama’s 3 and 4 star recruits: Ingram, McClain, Barett Jones, Barron, Upshaw, Hightower, Cody, Maze, and so on. Were their careers any better or worse than the named 5 stars?

High school athlete rankings are about as accurate as pre season football polls. Too many variables to annoint anyone as “the chosen one” or “a bust” at that stage.

As for mobilematt12, here is my statement which he took the initial excfeption to:

First having watched Collins play on a few occasions, I’m not sure about all the superstar hype. Time will tell if his sometimes delayed reaction is from not having that natural instinct that the elite safeties have or if it was his simply knowing he had the athletic gifts to still make plays at the HS level. Regardless, he should be a solid player at the very least, and Smart and Saban are elite secondary coaches who will get him to his potential.



If anyone finds that as disrespecting the young man and his ability, so be it. I say watch the player for at least an entire game before judging whether he is “elite” or “bust.”

And no I do not personally scout football players as I do not have those credentials. I have probably been to more football practices and games than many men since my Dad coached 40+ years HS to scouting and Coach Joe (Pendry) was a regular visitor with our family while I was growing up. I’ll stand to my positions against the Tadpoles and Mobiles. As for the scouting or “whatever” I’ll leave that to my husband and brothers given the players they have helped move to the next level. Any scouting or coaching I do is limited to softball or throwing the shot.

by PamfromLouisiana on Jan 31, 2012 12:34 PM CST up reply actions  

I don't care how you look at it

if you have 5 stars odds are pretty good you will play a significant part in a team game.

I’d take all the 5 stars I could get. Some of 4 stars bust too.

If Auburn was in New Mexico and we never played them I would still hate them and their dumb coach and their cheating players.

by 5026 on Jan 31, 2012 1:00 PM CST up reply actions  

Agreed

Anyone can bust and anyone can succeed. I think these ranking are over blown because not every player receives the same attention. Same with preseason team rankings. A non ranked player with ability, attitude, and work ethic would be far more valuable than a 5 star prima donna. In the NFL, we often use the Saints roster to show how late round and undrafted players are some of the best players. In college, I think success depends more on how the student performs there than how he did in high school. That’s my point, try not to judge prematurely whether positive or negative.

by PamfromLouisiana on Jan 31, 2012 1:33 PM CST up reply actions  

Your points aren't wrong.

But they are causing you to overreach. The data is simple and clear: if a prospect is a 5*, they are less likely to bust and more likely to succeed (on average) than an athlete ranked lower. There are exceptions and outliers with any set of data. Those outliers do not negate the clear corrolation that the data seems to present.

Read the Doc’s article.

"Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize half of them are stupider than that." - George Carlin

by Slice of Life on Jan 31, 2012 1:40 PM CST up reply actions  

^^ this

On average, 5* athletes are more likely to succeed than lower rated athletes. But no, not all of them succeed. And there are some lower rated athletes that do just as well as 5* athletes.

God bless our Dark Lord.

by CarrotTop4 on Jan 31, 2012 2:04 PM CST up reply actions  

^^^ Nice strawman argument.

Not really, I just wanted to say that. ;]]

9th January, 2012: Section 101, Row 1, Seat... I'll let y'all spot that one.

"And a crashin' blow from a huge right hand
Sent a Louisiana fellow to the Promised Land"
-- "Big John" by Jimmy Dean

by TiderUpNorth on Jan 31, 2012 2:10 PM CST up reply actions  

Nice article and well rounded argument,

but a statistics person can use the same data to skew the results. For example: Four and five-star players are roughly seven times as likely as two and three-star players to land on an All-America team. Notice how he stated earlier on a per capita, which means by or for each individual, basis, well the pool of 4 and 5 star players is smaller than the pool of 2 and 3 star players. To give a simple number example: If you have 10 players and 5 reach the goal, you have a 50 percent success rate. On the other hand in a larger pool with 100 players, you need 50 to reach the goal to have the same success rate. In a controlled environment (if one exists) the standard deviation of the smaller pool will fluctuate more sharply than the standard deviation of the larger pool when analyzed over time.

Likewise, we also have a variable that needs consideration and weighting for a true quantitative argument. The stronger recruitment classes as per rankings will probably go to the better programs. Therefore, one would need to consider and factor in the winning percentages of the same teams before an individual recruiting class arrives and correlate those aggregates. Even at that stage, the numbers still can be skewed because of those variables which cannot be quantified. He mentions some in the article: The designations are based strictly on the combined scores of the rankings alone, with no attempt to account for injuries, transfers, academic casualties, arrests or any other routine form of attrition.

It really comes down to two different philosophies, neither of which is 100 percent right or wrong. Practical example: Imagine being out on a field as a kid and picking teams for any sport. One kid is a ball hog with a bad attitude who sometimes doesn’t try all the time, but the fastest player out there. The other kid is a step slower but never gives up. Depending on the need of your team, the fastest player may be the best choice as that potential is there. On another, that type of player could be a cancer, but the slower kid with that never gives up mentality brings the level of everyone else on the team up a notch.

If you prefer real world examples consider an earlier purely statistical argument versus one taking into account other variables: Going solely by statistics and rankings, if Oklahoma State had kicked a field goal or Stanford had gone unbeaten, Alabama would have been in the Sugar Bowl. On the field, however, Bama would have defeated OSU in convincing fashion and utterly destroyed Stanford.

In theory, I definitely agree with the point you are making, but there are just too many variable which cannot be quantified in a real environment. Sorry, one of my graduate degrees is in statistical analysis which believe it or not is relevant in the bayou. I don’t have the link available, but one of those videos I posted weeks back has Bear Bryant using numbers to demonstrate to freshmen how he expects a player of lesser ability to defeat players of greater ability through discipline. Simple, yet very accurate in giving his example, whether in a text or in the real world. Of course, the Bear was brilliant.

by PamfromLouisiana on Jan 31, 2012 2:41 PM CST up reply actions  

where did I say this

“Consider the immediate impact during the freshman year which is what mobile is trying to prove”

where did I say LC was going to an AA his freshman season?

Roll Tide!

by mobilematt12 on Jan 31, 2012 2:52 PM CST up reply actions  

Saban's classes (all rankings from Rivals)

’07 – no 5 s
’08 – 3 5
s
(1) Julio Jones – Self explanatory
(2) Tyler Love – Bust
(3) BJ Scott – Bust
’09 – 4 5*s
(1) DJ Fluker – Starter on Ntnl Champ team
(2) Nico Johnson – significant contributor for 2 ntnl champ teams
(3) Dre Kirkpatrick – significant contributor for 2 ntnl champ teams
(4)Trent Richardson – significant contributor for 2 ntnl champ teams
’10 – 1 5 *
(1) Dee Milliner – significant contributor on ntnl champ team
’11 – 3 5*s – too soon to call.

Looks like 8 5*s that we can evaluate. Two busts. Pretty definitive.

"Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize half of them are stupider than that." - George Carlin

by Slice of Life on Jan 31, 2012 10:25 AM CST up reply actions  

And last years class

has at least 2 budding superstars as well…..Koujando and Depriest(he was a scout 5*)

Roll Tide!

by mobilematt12 on Jan 31, 2012 10:27 AM CST up reply actions  

Our definitions of definitive like

Our definitions of "elite prospects" and "elite talents" must differ. My understanding is that these * rankings are based on the individuals and not the teams for which they are playing. No arguments against any comments on your list, although I do not agree with the term "Bust." If I’m correct as to Tyler Love, he was a medical redshirt and still on the team. I know nothing of BJ Scott.

As for the other individual players you listed only Julio Jones and Trent Richardson ever made the AP 1st All SEC Team. Richardson only in his junior year was on any teams. Kirkpatrick made 2nd team in 2011. None of the others even made Honorable Mention. On the other hand, Barrett Jones has been 1st Team for the past 2 years as has Mark Barron. Donta Hightower has been 2nd team the past 2 years. William Valachos, Honorable Mention in 2010 and 1st team in 2011. Courtney Upshaw 1st team in 2011.

Not to diminish the accomplishments of anyone on your 5 star list, but at the collegiate level in terms of recognition as the best at their respective positions the lesser star recruits have been more successful.

My point throughout is that what matters most is how the player develops and adapts to the college game, not how the player performed in high school. I responded to the statistic argument, and yes those with higher rankings on average will perform better than those ranked lower. However, with difference in pool sizes and discreet and indiscreet methods of samplings, the same statistical methodology would also prove the following. Students who have successfully completed Honors English I will, on average, have a higher passage rate in Honors English II than the overall number of students who successfully completed regular English I and are now taking regular English II.

As for the significant contributor designation, how is any member of the team not a significant contributor? Yes, some are on the field more than others and have statistics to back up their contributions. On the other hand, that person on the scout team who portrays a certain element of an opponent in practice, the reserve who pushes the regular to improve, the walk on who becomes a special teams ace, the deep snapper, etc., are all part of the formula for team success. Years ago Bear Bryant made the point of how he makes decisions based on factors other than game time performance, and the public does not have the same access to practices and what takes place on and off campus. That followed an episode when he blasted a sideline reporter, former NOLA sportscaster who went network, Ann Simon, about her halftime questions. The same point from Bryant is also in a few of his biographies.

On another thread, I defended Fluker, Jones, and Valachos when it appeared at first that the other respondent was diminishing their contributions to Richardson’s success. After some back and forth, we both discovered that neither of us were diminishing or elevating the status of the O-line at Bama or LSU, we were both comparing apples to oranges in philosophical systems. I’m biased from the family connection, but Joe Pendry is a genius. Statistically, Bama did not pound the ball his final year, but you also had the conflict of fully commit to the running game or design some special plays to get the ball into an exceptional receiver and playmaker like Jones. Great problem to have, but for many O-lineman it is easier to get into a drive blocking mentality. As per Collins, I’ve read some of the earlier threads on this board before I became a participant. Some of the same screen names disagreeing with my statements on this thread have posts such as if we get LC it will be the greatest chip in our recruitment, I expect Collins to make an immediate impact, and later comments such as Collins better be an All American to be worth this much drama.

My opinion too much attention and pressure placed on this young man because of his mother, girlfriend, and people caring more about numbers than the actual person. I compared the athletic hype to that of Travis Minor, is old high school is in the same district as Collins. Response: Yeah and Minor was a hell of a football player what’s your point? Minor had some great stats at FSU, was a 3rd round NFL draft pick, lasted about 8 seasons with about 2000 yards combined rushing and receiving and about 2000 more as a returner, and maybe 6 or 7 tackles a season in coverage. Not a bad career and definitely better than most, but not nearly equivalent to the hype out of high school. More importantly, almost 12 years after graduating from high school, look at Travis Minor today. It’s sad to see yet another great athlete in the prime of their lives struggling because even though they were successful, they felt as failures for not living up to everyone’s expectations. His situation is not as sad as that of Marcus Dupree coming out of MS with the OU, USM, USFL, NFL, injury, saga and his daily life today, but it still is sad to see what is left after the spotlight. I am old school and believe in the concept of student/athlete and not simply regarding amateur players as athletes like professionals.

by PamfromLouisiana on Feb 1, 2012 8:12 AM CST up reply actions  

Flattered

Been referred to as everything in the book, but the 1st time as a nerd. Centers in football, point guards in basketball, and catchers like me in softball or baseball are always long winded. The positions requires taking in all aspects to call a good game. The QBs, Centers, and Pitchers can have the glory, we become the coaches, managers, or do the frequency distribution analyses for husband and brothers’ teams. Nerd, you have made my day. Take care CarrotTop!

by PamfromLouisiana on Feb 1, 2012 8:42 AM CST up reply actions  

Got ya

so only first team AAs are elite…the NFL differs in their opinion but whatever.

Roll Tide!

by mobilematt12 on Feb 1, 2012 8:26 PM CST up reply actions  

Got ya? whatever...you are comical!

Dear Mr. MobileMatt22,

Elite as a noun: "A group or class of persons enjoying superior intellectual or social or economic status"

Elite as an adjective: "Selected as the best"

According to your gauging potential as more important than performance at both college and professional levels you have to maintain that Ryan Leaf is better than Tom Brady, the former KY QB (can’t remember his name but played with the Browns) is better than Drew Brees. Nico Johnson is better than Hightower or Upchurch or for a cross team comparison Julio Jones is equal to Russell Shepherd at LSU. I do not see the equalities or gauging of success as your reasoning maintains as the correct reasoning.

What’s comical is that in an attempt, guessing from insecurity, to discredit my Mom, what you are actually doing is discrediting the Alabama performance on the field by both players and coaches by asserting that "selected as the best" is more important than what happens on the field. By your logic, Alabama would not be rated as the number 1 team. (Read the comments by CarrotTop4 and Mom, and your data understanding and ratings are sad compared to either of theirs)

Even funnier are your remarks about ratings: Do you have any clue as to how most of us get rated today? Highlight tapes are sent from your school or state athletic association to the various agencies such as Rivals. Possibly, someone may actually attend 1 entire game. While fictional on many accounts, The Blind Side movie is realistic on that aspect.

Even more funny on coach’s visits: "All Saban said was…" Sorry not what really happens. Coaches say what they think the prospect and the decision makers want to hear (someone got that right correct earlier in this thread). My brother was an LSU recruit while Coach Saban was here. Coach Saban visited our house, and harped on the NFL and his connections to Coach Belichick. My brother would get playing time as a true Frosh on the line, and Coach could see him making it to the NFL. Coach Saban said nothing really different from Coach Brown, Coach Stoups, and others. It’s just part of the game which is like a Mardi Gras parade. Fortunately, FB and BB are not as corrupt as Hoops with the one and done philosophies. Again, the Blind Side is realistic as to the nature, but not the overall length, of the home visits by coaches or coaches contacting prospects.

Now not funny is doing a search and seeing all of your interest in Landon. It looks like you are sexually attracted to him with how often you have brought his name up in various threads. Also, your fascination with criticisms of UA regulars over starters before the NC game makes a solid argument on your "I Love Tide," but only when that’s the popular thing to do.

My Mom in her comments is making Alabama look much stronger and more competent than those of you bragging about Alabama and using selective methodologies in an attempt to make her look bad, but in reality only makes the current Alabama players and coaches look less successful than they are.

Many posts on this board are great (almost as good as on the Saints board in terms of actual knowledge and history of the game), but you sir are one of those who needs to actually experience what it’s like in the athletic world. It’s a far bigger world, and you appear to only see the trees and not be aware of the forest in totality. I seriously doubt that you are as incompetent and insecure as your posts and comments on these various threads would leave most to believe. I apologize for any offense, but your posts and attempts at sarcasm and justifications warrants that observation, and I am only 16.

Michael (Lil Mortar Head) from Louisiana

by PamfromLouisiana on Feb 1, 2012 9:22 PM CST up reply actions  

The distance between how you sound

and how you must think you sound

is vast.

by Bubdylan on Feb 1, 2012 10:15 PM CST up reply actions  

I was a division one athlete

Competed for a top twenty program and qualified for the NCAA tournament as an individual competitor. Why don’t you and your mommy stop bloating about your expertise and write your manifesto somewhere else.

Roll Tide!

by mobilematt12 on Feb 2, 2012 7:23 AM CST up reply actions  

Curious as to how you interpret data

Of the listings of Alabama players given by you and others (8 total), only 2 of those players have received 1st Team AP All SEC recognition. That’s 25 percent from a small sampling. On the other hand, during the same period lesser rated recruits from Alabama have more 1st Team AP All SEC, All American, and various trophy awards including the Heisman.

If success is gauged by reaching potential, then the data does not back up your assertion.

“He is an elite” “He is that good folks” on this thread regarding Collins. Well by referencing the different pools based on high school rankings and college performance, a greater number of lesser ranked Bama recruits dhave performed better than the 5 * during the Saban tenure. The raw percentage is lower, but not if correlated to the same ratio from the larger source pool of lesser ranked HS recruits. The Standard deviation when common denominators are obtained is actually 0.97 in favor of the lesser ranked recruits.

If “significant contributor to a winning team” is the definition of success you mean, with Bama percentage wise the number of non 5 * recruits exceed the 75 percent “success” of the 5 * recruits.

Two 100 percent statistical arguments depending on how you individually define success. No anecdotal input used. Simply individual assessments based on HS rankings and NCAA recognitions from the small Bama pool that as you stated “is the only relevant data you need.”

As per Dr. Saturday’s article, he himself points out the variables not used in his calculations. There is also no formula derived to account for change in team performance by year based on the adding or attrition of any class.

by PamfromLouisiana on Feb 1, 2012 10:25 AM CST up reply actions  

The raw percentage is lower, but not if correlated to the same ratio from the larger source pool of lesser ranked HS recruits.

I don’t understand what you’re trying to say in the second part of this sentence. But the first part is what we are getting at. A higher percentage of 5*’s are successful than 4*’s. I think that’s been found true whether you look at All Conference teams, starting positions on teams, or NFL draft positions. The fact that the sheer number of 4*’s is much larger does not mean that the percentages are invalid.

God bless our Dark Lord.

by CarrotTop4 on Feb 1, 2012 10:59 AM CST up reply actions  

Here's a little research I did. All of the following is using Rivals rankings.

Looking at the depth chart for this past season (here), Alabama’s offensive and defensive starters were rated as follows (% out of 22 in parentheses):
5 stars: 4 (18%)
4 stars: 11 (50%)
3 stars: 7 (32%)
<3 stars: 0

From 2007-2011 here is what we’ve signed (some players may be counted twice):
5 stars: 11 (8%)
4 stars: 72 (55%)
3 stars: 43 (33%)
<3 stars: 6 (4.5%)

So 5*’s were only 8% of what we signed, but they were 18% of our starters.
But 4 stars were 55% of what we signed and only 50% of our starters.

(And this does not even account for the fact that the 5*’s were also disproportionately likely to not be around for 4 years, and so there were not actually 11 of them available this year.)

God bless our Dark Lord.

by CarrotTop4 on Feb 1, 2012 11:53 AM CST up reply actions  

Or to look at it the other way,

4 out of the 11 five stars were starting (36%)
11 out of the 72 four stars were starting (15%)
7 out of the 43 three stars were starting (16%)
0 out of the 6 one and two stars were starting (0%)

So 5 star signees were over twice as likely to be starters.

God bless our Dark Lord.

by CarrotTop4 on Feb 1, 2012 12:59 PM CST up reply actions  

I've been focusing on recognitions not starting

but I have no doubt that your numbers are not correct. Based on your numbers though you have to factor in that 5 star players potentially acount for 50 percent of starting positions on O and D. While on the other hand, you have 3.28 4 stars for every starting position. So while 36 percent of 5 stars are starting to compare on an equal basis with the 15 percent 4 *, you would need to factor some LCD to create a pool equivalency. By random make it 6, so in effect the equality would be 24 of 66. An easier way to factor the difference is think back to school days. Assignment 1 worth 50 percent of course grade.
Assignments 2 worth 10 percent of course grade.
In calculating the final average an 80 percent on Assignment one carries 5 times the weight of an 80 percent on assignment 2.

For your original question, let me have a try at that one:

To make general assumptions using the numbers from the Dr. Saturday article and the 5* Bama recruits listed in this thread for the Saban tenure.

Bama had 8 recruits out of 160 in the nation. Of those during the time period given 2 individuals made 1st Team All SEC.
For simplicity let’s make every Bama class as 32 recruits, 2 at 5* and average the remainder of other recruits at 3 over the course of the time period.

Roughly Bama had 120 recruits out of 5471 in the nation at that level. About 2% Of those 120, there were 9 All SEC awards given (1st, 2nd, HM). 7.5 percent
So whereas Bama had 5% of 5* recruits, only 25% (2) of the Bama 5* recruits received the recognition.
Whereas Bama had 2% of 3* recruits, (9) 7.5 percent received the recognition.

To compare apples to apples and oranges to oranges instead of apples to oranges, you would need 6 of the 8 or 75% at the 5* level to come within an SD of the 9 at the 3* level given the variance in sample sizes. (I’m calculating in my head as I’m currently reading and typing from a stationary bike so my math is overly rounded).

In common language, what you have with the positions taken by some on this board is regarding the recruiting numbers as an investment similar to trying to time the highs and lows in stock market purchases. Sometimes you hit big, sometimes you might lose everything. On the other hand, if you are seeking growth and stability you would diversify and probably invest in a dollar cost averaging fashion. In viewing, it is a difference of my looking at actual returns on the investments versus the potential of the investment which seems to be the preferred view here.
Saturday acknowledges several holes in his computations. Too many other variables not mentioned cannot be gauged quantitatively. For example, how does a 5 * receiver do on a team with no reliable QB? How does a 5 * pro style QB perform on a team that switches to a spread option? How do DBs who normally play cover 2 do when required to play bump and run man? In SEC football, how many players are so dominant their very presence can win the game?

That’s not to dismiss getting good recruits, but recruits by themselves do not win championships as a team. Ron Zook, good defensive coach, outstanding recruiter, but not the greatest success in his head coaching stints. On many teams, look at the star recruits who get supplanted by less talented but harder working players.

Sure hype the 5 * and be thankful to sign them, but over time a lesser recruit may be better. With Jones and Richardson, Alabama is above the national average in success with 5 * recruits as well as numbers brought to campus. It is with the lesser ranked recruits, such as the Barrett Jones’s, Barrons, Hightowers, Upshaws, etc., where their performances throw the static databases into disarray.

No disrespect intended toward another commenter, but the UA 5 * "busts" (hate that term but it’s his not mine) do not stand out because they are busts. Just those successes are simply more in line with other 5 * recruits at other schools, while the achievements of the lesser ranked recruits at UA is significantly greater. Not everyone tries to disrespect Alabama or other schools. BTW: Never mentioned that I do have 6 graduate credits from UA in history aside from undergrad at USL, one grad degree LSU, another Tulane. I took courses with Dr. Mills and Dr. McDonald at UA, not with any intention to get another degree but simply from the quality of their writings.

Who was a better college RB, Ingram or Richardson? Probably most would go either way.

OLine, who would you want on your team, Barrett Jones or Andre Smith? I would argue one definitely but others would pick the potential.

My sole point is that statistics can be skewed to prove or disprove anything using the same data. It’s easier for a coach to take a less talented player with good attitude, technique, and work ethic and make them a superstar than it is to take that super talented player who lacks attitude, fundamentals or ethics a star. To gauge solely on athletic ability as someone on this thread maintains neglects an important caveat in all of sports. The greatest players make that fantastic play look routine because nobody else has the same combination of natural instinct, athletic ability, and the fundamental technique. Other "star" players sometimes have highlight clips, but only because their athletic ability covers for flaws. Some players might lack the athleticism to get noticed in highlight reels, and you never realize how good they were until they are gone. You never notice them because they somehow put themselves in the position to succeed in spite of their athletic limitations.

Another long nerd comment, but with the rain I had to do a second 15 mile cardio/cooldown on this airbike after lifting. Now I get to go to my brother’s high school to work with this young man on his shot put technique. It’s just repetition and gaining some consistency with his tools. After that checking the trout lines, kids and their homework, one unfinished work assignment, and the dance at my husband’s HS, so another lazy day in the swamp and end of computer time.

by PamfromLouisiana on Feb 1, 2012 1:32 PM CST up reply actions  

Again, I have no idea what you're trying to say here:
Based on your numbers though you have to factor in that 5 star players potentially acount for 50 percent of starting positions on O and D. While on the other hand, you have 3.28 4 stars for every starting position. So while 36 percent of 5 stars are starting to compare on an equal basis with the 15 percent 4 *, you would need to factor some LCD to create a pool equivalency. By random make it 6, so in effect the equality would be 24 of 66. An easier way to factor the difference is think back to school days. Assignment 1 worth 50 percent of course grade.
Assignments 2 worth 10 percent of course grade.
In calculating the final average an 80 percent on Assignment one carries 5 times the weight of an 80 percent on assignment 2.

36% of the 5 stars signed over the past 5 years were starters last season.
15% of the 4 stars signed over the past 5 years were starters last season.

This comparison is on an equal basis. That’s what the % means.

God bless our Dark Lord.

by CarrotTop4 on Feb 1, 2012 2:43 PM CST up reply actions  

Dear Sir (replying for my mother)
<In viewing, it is a difference of my looking at actual returns on the investments versus the potential of the investment which seems to be the preferred view here./blockquote>

Mom’s quote above: My explanation follows:

Percentage does not also mean equal. To give a real life example which would you prefer: 1) 100 percent of the grand prize? 2) 50 percent of the grand prize?

See what’s missing? If you assume that all of the grand prizes are equal, the choice would be 1. But consider the grand prize is based on the number of participants, as I interpret your mathematical calculations. With my example let’s say 100 people bought tickets in option 1) 1 ticket = 1 percent, prize = $100: Total receipt (100-1) $99. Option 2 let’s say 500 people bought tickets: to purchase the same percentage chance of winning as Option 1 you need to purchase 5 tickets. Half the prize total $250: Total receipt (250-5) $245.

You have total equality in price of tickets $1 and complete equality in chance of winning, 1 percent. Since the base pool, however, is not equal 100 percent in option 1 results in $99 while 50 percent in option 2 results in $245. Well one might argue make both base pools equal and then the percentages are equal. How would one do that? Option 1 prize = $500 and for the 1 percent you purchase 5 tickets. See the new problem? The prizes and percentages cannot be equalized so simply. 100 percent clearly mean 1 winner, or in this case $495. Option 2 can mean 1 of 2 possibilities: 1 winner at 50 percent or $245 or 2 winners at 50 percent, for simplicity 2, 1 percent possibilities to win $245, but you also can consider the possibility of with 5 tickets you win both or also $495 as in option 1.

A smaller pool always increases the percentage value of an individual item while a larger pool dilutes that individual value. There’s another intangible which I do not see in any of Mom’s writings or any of the disagreements. The Rivals article and the examples you presented are assuming that regardless of any difference in pool size, all other factors are comparable. Being a FB board, use the same math with that same assumption. One (1) win would equal 1 win since every team is competing for the same prize. In that scenario Alabama would not be the national champs regardless of playing or outcome of the BCS game in that other teams have an equal amount of losses but more victories. Mathematically using the calculations and assumptions you present that would be the case as "percentage means equal."

I’m hoping that both you and I agree that scenario using the same mathematical reasoning as you listed above is not correct.

by PamfromLouisiana on Feb 1, 2012 6:04 PM CST up reply actions  

What the what??
Bama had 8 recruits out of 160 in the nation. Of those during the time period given 2 individuals made 1st Team All SEC.
For simplicity let’s make every Bama class as 32 recruits, 2 at 5* and average the remainder of other recruits at 3 over the course of the time period.

Roughly Bama had 120 recruits out of 5471 in the nation at that level. About 2% Of those 120, there were 9 All SEC awards given (1st, 2nd, HM). 7.5 percent
So whereas Bama had 5% of 5* recruits, only 25% (2) of the Bama 5* recruits received the recognition.
Whereas Bama had 2% of 3* recruits, (9) 7.5 percent received the recognition.

To compare apples to apples and oranges to oranges instead of apples to oranges, you would need 6 of the 8 or 75% at the 5* level to come within an SD of the 9 at the 3* level given the variance in sample sizes.

25% of the five star recruits received recognition.
7.5% of the rest of the recruits received received recognition.

If that doesn’t tell you that five star recruits are more likely to receive recognition, I don’t know what does. I don’t care what you variance arguments you want to make, you’re not going to convince me that you need 75% of five stars getting recognition for it to be measurably different than the 7.5% for the others.

God bless our Dark Lord.

by CarrotTop4 on Feb 1, 2012 2:54 PM CST up reply actions  

Dear Sir, I have to include this as well because it is so funny.

Sorry for saying this, but it is hilarious that Mom in her statements and usage of the statistics is actually giving Alabama more credit than those of you who are the Alabama fans. When you use the arguments presented here on this thread in an attempt to prove her wrong, using the same arguments in terms of ranking the University of Alabama and the players who are not 5 star recruits is really your giving justification to arguments that the University of Alabama was not the best college football team this year (percentage mean equal), and that the potential of elite prospects is more important than the actual performance of a player regardless of their star ranking.

My Mom defending Alabama’s credibility on an Alabama board. LOL. I’m in the same boat, however, in that I might weigh 215 at age 16 and had 22 reps on a 225 bench press and then watch my mother pump out 18 reps with 225 pounds and knowing she could have probably done more, but she only needed to double the reps of one of the male coaches to get the matching funds from a local firm in our lifting weights to fight cancer event.

No discredit to Landon as he is a great athlete but even a better guy, but this Cajun boy made him miss on a slip screen and went 60 to the house and later beat him on a deep post from the slot in man coverage for a 40 yd TD. He had 2 tackles and no pass defenses that game. As RB, though, he ate me faster than a starving gator. I’m definitely not a Division I football recruit, but like anyone else Landon can be beaten. What will make him great at anything is that he will work his tail off, and if he doesn’t get hurt like Uncle Bob did before I was born, he will be good on the field if he can learn the schemes well enough to react after being in the right place to start and not think about where he should be. I do feel sorry for him in that he wants away from this area so that he can be just a face in the crowd, but with all his Mama’s attention he won’t even be able to escape in Alabama given all the talk.

Michael (Lil Mortar Head) from Louisiana, the youngest son and hopefully one day Division I 3rd baseman.

by PamfromLouisiana on Feb 1, 2012 6:06 PM CST up reply actions  

First off, if you're going to reply, please make your own account. Things will be much less confusing that way.

I still have no idea what your Mom’s point is. Are we asking different questions?? I’m basically saying “What are the chances that a given 5* athlete will be a starter?” Based on the data from last season, that’s about 36%.

And then I’m saying, “Is a given 5* more likely to be a starter than a given 4*?” Only 15% of 4* athletes were starters. So the answer is yes, someone ranked as a 5* is more likely to be a starter than someone ranked as a 4*.

Yes, if you want to talk about the total number of starters, there are more 4 stars starting than there are 5 stars. But so what?

Asking the same questions about All-SEC honors yields the answer that a given 5* is more likely to be All-SEC than a given 4*. 25% to 7.5%

And yes, of course this doesn’t guarantee anything.

God bless our Dark Lord.

by CarrotTop4 on Feb 1, 2012 10:56 PM CST up reply actions  

Maybe this is a Norman Bates situation...

DUN DUN DUNNNNNNNN

"Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize half of them are stupider than that." - George Carlin

by Slice of Life on Feb 2, 2012 8:45 AM CST up reply actions   1 recs

No one else will REC you because EVERYONE has stopped reading this thread... except me.

9th January, 2012: Section 101, Row 1, Seat... I'll let y'all spot that one.

"And a crashin' blow from a huge right hand
Sent a Louisiana fellow to the Promised Land"
-- "Big John" by Jimmy Dean

by TiderUpNorth on Feb 2, 2012 12:43 PM CST up reply actions  

I came back,

Only to find that there was no way I was going to read it all.

At any rate, I thank you, sirrah.

"Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize half of them are stupider than that." - George Carlin

by Slice of Life on Feb 2, 2012 12:55 PM CST up reply actions  

O rly?

God bless our Dark Lord.

by CarrotTop4 on Feb 2, 2012 1:22 PM CST up reply actions  

Ya rly

"Auburn people are stinky"- my 3 yr.old daughter

by You can call me Al on Feb 2, 2012 4:28 PM CST up reply actions  

Curious interpretation of data in your assertion.

Of the listings of Alabama players given by you and others (8 total), only 2 of those players have received 1st Team AP All SEC recognition. That’s 25 percent from a small sampling. On the other hand, during the same period lesser rated recruits from Alabama have more 1st Team AP All SEC, All American, and various trophy awards including the Heisman.

If success is gauged by reaching potential, then the data does not back up your assertion.

"He is an elite" "He is that good folks" on this thread regarding Collins. Well by referencing the different pools based on high school rankings and college performance, a greater number of lesser ranked Bama recruits dhave performed better than the 5 * during the Saban tenure. The raw percentage is lower, but not if correlated to the same ratio from the larger source pool of lesser ranked HS recruits. The Standard deviation when common denominators are obtained is actually 0.97 in favor of the lesser ranked recruits.

If "significant contributor to a winning team" is the definition of success you mean, with Bama percentage wise the number of non 5 * recruits exceed the 75 percent "success" of the 5 * recruits.

Two 100 percent statistical arguments depending on how you individually define success. No anecdotal input used. Simply individual assessments based on HS rankings and NCAA recognitions from the small Bama pool that as you stated "is the only relevant data you need."

As per Dr. Saturday’s article, he himself points out the variables not used in his calculations. There is also no formula derived to account for change in team performance by year based on the adding or attrition of any class.

by PamfromLouisiana on Feb 1, 2012 10:28 AM CST up reply actions  

Pam

You’ve posted here before and have always been sincere, intelligent, reasonable, and rationale. And in your defense, you aren’t lazy if you ask someone to support a claim with evidence—that is a requirement.

When I was in graduate school, I was so used to typing much longer papers than as an undergraduate that my emails became way too long.

Please write more concise arguments. You can do so without dumbing down to the ADD generation.

"The same things win today that have always won, and they will win years from now. The only difference is the losers have a whole new bunch of excuses why they don’t win or can’t win."-Bear Bryant

(12-4)+2=12 hoping for a +1

Robot Chicken Star Wars should be canon.

by the thin red line on Feb 2, 2012 6:51 AM CST up reply actions  

al.com talked with his mom yesterday.

Landon Collins’ mother offers rare details into Alabama’s recruiting effort

“There’s accusations saying (Annette’s) going to hand feed Landon to Saban and that basically my son is following her daughter, which is a lie,” Justin said. “Since his junior year, when we first visited, we fell in love with the (Alabama) campus.”

If you fell in love with the place, then why don’t you act like it?

God bless our Dark Lord.

by CarrotTop4 on Jan 31, 2012 8:13 AM CST reply actions  

And yet,

she says Saban used his Palpatinian scheming.

"The same things win today that have always won, and they will win years from now. The only difference is the losers have a whole new bunch of excuses why they don’t win or can’t win."-Bear Bryant

(12-4)+2=12 hoping for a +1

Robot Chicken Star Wars should be canon.

by the thin red line on Jan 31, 2012 8:38 AM CST up reply actions  

-1 REC for referencing the shitty Star Wars flix.

9th January, 2012: Section 101, Row 1, Seat... I'll let y'all spot that one.

"And a crashin' blow from a huge right hand
Sent a Louisiana fellow to the Promised Land"
-- "Big John" by Jimmy Dean

by TiderUpNorth on Jan 31, 2012 2:12 PM CST up reply actions  

Because he stereotyped her by telling her that her kid would be rich.

Duh.

"Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize half of them are stupider than that." - George Carlin

by Slice of Life on Jan 31, 2012 8:43 AM CST up reply actions  

The only thing bright about her is her hair.

Saban probably tells every recruit they can play on Sundays. He want recruit you if you are not good enough to become a pro.

"The same things win today that have always won, and they will win years from now. The only difference is the losers have a whole new bunch of excuses why they don’t win or can’t win."-Bear Bryant

(12-4)+2=12 hoping for a +1

Robot Chicken Star Wars should be canon.

by the thin red line on Jan 31, 2012 8:57 AM CST up reply actions  

*won’t

"The same things win today that have always won, and they will win years from now. The only difference is the losers have a whole new bunch of excuses why they don’t win or can’t win."-Bear Bryant

(12-4)+2=12 hoping for a +1

Robot Chicken Star Wars should be canon.

by the thin red line on Jan 31, 2012 3:35 PM CST up reply actions  

Bottle blondes aren't materialistic.

"The same things win today that have always won, and they will win years from now. The only difference is the losers have a whole new bunch of excuses why they don’t win or can’t win."-Bear Bryant

(12-4)+2=12 hoping for a +1

Robot Chicken Star Wars should be canon.

by the thin red line on Jan 31, 2012 4:06 PM CST up reply actions  

But some of them are

living in a material world.

God bless our Dark Lord.

by CarrotTop4 on Feb 1, 2012 8:20 AM CST up reply actions  

Surprised nobody has brought up this point

There is a possibilty that Collins might be switched from DB to RB in college. He did not play offense until his senior year, but was one of the best RBs in the state making the All State team as a RB. His stats are somewhat skewed because he had many long runs called back because of penalties. Some argue that his greatest potential is at RB and that he prefers offense to defense.

Still, Saban, Miles, or any coach who can at least walk and chew gum at the same time isn’t going to risk NCAA sanctions or being banned over this young man. We aren’t Ohio State and Lane Kiffen left very quickly. (With respect to Lane’s Dad who I think is a great defensive coach, but the son doesn’t have half the mind or sense of Monte Kiffen).

by PamfromLouisiana on Jan 31, 2012 9:22 AM CST reply actions  

This.

If the mom thinks the defensive backfield is crowded, she look at the offensive backfield.

"Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize half of them are stupider than that." - George Carlin

by Slice of Life on Jan 31, 2012 9:29 AM CST up reply actions  

All Saban told them

was he would have to compete for playing time and probably told them how much “nickel” we play.

Roll Tide!

by mobilematt12 on Jan 31, 2012 9:34 AM CST up reply actions  

I think

the Mom has no clue as to reality and is simply trying to put herself into the spotlight that she desired when she was that age.

by PamfromLouisiana on Jan 31, 2012 10:07 AM CST up reply actions  

You are right

we have more room in the Defensive Backfield. We play 4, 5, and 6 DB’s at a time and we just play 1 RB at a time.

If Auburn was in New Mexico and we never played them I would still hate them and their dumb coach and their cheating players.

by 5026 on Jan 31, 2012 1:02 PM CST up reply actions  

Congratulations on being added to Saban's staff

If the job offers were made, there would be infractions. I doubt there is any validity to the story of job offers to the girlfriend. Nice to hear that his position is set in stone and of the actual recruitment conversation, although releasing that info is a violation of FERPA which may result in both academic and NCAA sanctions. Fortunately, I doubt that will happen in this case.

Having sat in on several recruiting vists: football with my husband’s and brother’s players, back when my oldest brother played football, my youngest for baseball, and me with track to a degree and especially softball, many coaches say some of the most idiotic things at that time. Basically, they are trying to guess what the player and those of influence to the player want to hear.

What matters most is how easy you find it to communicate with one of the assistants, do you feel comfortable on the campus and in the area, talks with current players, and looking at how people of comparable skills as you have done within the system. Stability of the program and coaching staff is another huge factor, but I do not believe that is the case here.

by PamfromLouisiana on Jan 31, 2012 10:06 AM CST reply actions  

What I heard

Was saban had a pre-existing relationship with the girlfriend’s mother. So there wouldn’t be a violation unless it was a quid pro quo.

"Those are just facts and facts are just opinions and opinions can be wrong"
-Veronica, Better Off Ted

by Zoltar on Jan 31, 2012 11:56 AM CST up reply actions  

HEY-OH

Sex joke.

"Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize half of them are stupider than that." - George Carlin

by Slice of Life on Jan 31, 2012 1:29 PM CST up reply actions  

I'm not sure offering the girl a job is a violation unless he is a BBall player.

If Auburn was in New Mexico and we never played them I would still hate them and their dumb coach and their cheating players.

by 5026 on Jan 31, 2012 1:03 PM CST up reply actions  

...or unless you're already married...

…wait, what job were you talking about?

"High standards come from passion within...." --Coach Nick Saban

by NiceLittleSaturday on Feb 2, 2012 10:44 AM CST up reply actions  

Just watched the Under Armor announcement again on EDBS.

The girlfriend was wearing crimson. Hilarious.

"Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize half of them are stupider than that." - George Carlin

by Slice of Life on Jan 31, 2012 1:59 PM CST reply actions  

Enjoyed being here and best to all

I and my youngest, Michael, offer our combined apologies for remarks made last night. He had permission to correspond or reply to CarrotTop regarding the different ways statistical data can be used to either endorse or oppose a specific conclusion. As I mentioned, the interpretation here depends on whether or not you feel potential or improvement and actual performance are a better gauges of success. Personally, I am in the latter school, and with data set UA was actually far more successful with the lower rated recruits than with the 5 star recruits when comparing to other schools. Their success rate with 5 star recruits in achieving honors, starting, or practically any of measure you create is relatively the same as other institutions with multiple 5 star recruits.

Recruiting is an aspect, but I’ll maintain that Alabama’s current success results more from the players and coaches than from the recruit rankings. In the mode of that Bear Bryant talk, I’d rather have a player rated as a 6 or through work and effort plays as an 8 than a 10 who often plays as an 8. The intangible there which cannot be quantified is the effect on teammates in a team game. You see someone give it their all and get recognition, and you will want to give it your all. Set different rules for the perceived "elite" players, and you create divas and put an "I" into the word "Team." I’m proud of the examples Michael used to simplify a relatively complex statistical methodology.

His other comments, however, went too far. I appreciate and understand his reasoning in that what he considers to be wronging another HS athlete is also wronging him as a fellow athlete. He feels ashamed in that his comments do not represent what he believes the idea and image of a student-athlete should be. Since these are small communities, the boys know each other regardless of school. They work out and hang out together during the off season. Having played against on the field and knowing the young man originally mentioned in this thread off the field made the remarks personal for him. He has learned another lesson in how emotion clouds rationale thinking. I’m very biased since he is my son, but Michael is such a leader at his age that he truly feels out of line by posting comments in defense of me to anonymous figures. Face to face is the method of communication of which he is most familiar and comfortable, and like most boys in this area they are more likely challenge anyone in person regarding any matter than through some distant or concealed manner. Fortunately, he and his friends and acquaintances have progressed to settling their disputes via competitions instead of the drawing a line in the mud, one on one brawls they had when younger.

by PamfromLouisiana on Feb 2, 2012 7:48 AM CST reply actions  

With appreciation..

To clarify a remark Michael made: yes his oldest brother was a Saban recruit and offensive line prospect on the radar of many schools. Michael described the home visits accurately in how all the recruiters and coaches conducted the visits. My son was an undersized Guard/Center, but had great technique thanks to his Uncle, Dad, Grandfather, and Coach Pendry. He would have gained a portion of the necessary bulk with proper weight training, but his only professional chance would have been as a deep snapper. He did not have the natural size and also has very short arms which prevented the possibility of much greater improvement. After a physical revealed a spot on his vertebra, he decided to not play football after high school. The degree to which his Uncle’s injury played a role in the decision I cannot say. Mark, however, also had full academic scholarship offers. He still attended LSU, graduated in chemical engineering, and has never mentioned or shown any signs of regret regarding the decision he made. Again, I’m biased, but I could not be any prouder of my son.

Two very good young men, both with a ton of more class than their mother. I have enjoyed my brief participation on this board. Thanks for letting a Louisiana girl make some comments. I hope that you can accept my apology for the comments. On the Saints board, if you do not provide extended evidence, you will face the music even if someone agrees with your opinion, so I take that approach. I’ll punish myself by removing myself from your discussions; I believe Michael has punished himself more than enough based on his feelings of regret and sorrow this morning over what he typed last night.

Good luck…don’t ever let a tornado take away your spirit…you’ve already kicked a bad set to curb…and if you have never, please take the time to watch some of the women’s athletics. You might be pleasantly surprised by the athletic ability, speed and power needed in volleyball, and by the grit, hustle, skill (try to slap hit or even swing at something coming at your face at 70 mph from about 17 feet closer than a baseball mound). Roll Tide, Geaux LSU, Ragin Cajun !!, and the rest of the universities. Sincerely and with appreciation, Swamp Girl.

by PamfromLouisiana on Feb 2, 2012 7:52 AM CST reply actions  

I can't do this

There are many places that verbosity can be ok and even appreciated. Threads like this are not such a place. I tried to stay engaged in this discussion, but… SO. MANY. WORDS.

Your ok in my book, Pam, but you gotta reel it in a bit if you’re not creating a fanpost.

"Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize half of them are stupider than that." - George Carlin

by Slice of Life on Feb 2, 2012 8:51 AM CST up reply actions  

Pam,

I for one don’t think there’s any reason for you and Lil Mortar Head to go away. You’ve made some great posts on here before. Just hit us with your best, “Choot’em” one time, and lets er’body get along. Roll Tide, Swamp Girl!

"Auburn people are stinky"- my 3 yr.old daughter

by You can call me Al on Feb 2, 2012 5:09 PM CST up reply actions  

Wow Pam

You now hold the record for most words in the comment section of a post on any site!!

I have book coming out in May that has 55,000 words and I think your comments on this thread alone have topped me.

Way to go!!!

If Auburn was in New Mexico and we never played them I would still hate them and their dumb coach and their cheating players.

by 5026 on Feb 2, 2012 9:05 PM CST up reply actions  

Actually for those interested Pam wrote 8400 words...not too shabby

If Auburn was in New Mexico and we never played them I would still hate them and their dumb coach and their cheating players.

by 5026 on Feb 2, 2012 9:17 PM CST up reply actions  

What the hell are you doing with your life, fitty?

"Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize half of them are stupider than that." - George Carlin

by Slice of Life on Feb 3, 2012 7:16 AM CST up reply actions  

Please tell me it's a conspiracy book of some kind. ;]

9th January, 2012: Section 101, Row 1, Seat... I'll let y'all spot that one.

"And a crashin' blow from a huge right hand
Sent a Louisiana fellow to the Promised Land"
-- "Big John" by Jimmy Dean

by TiderUpNorth on Feb 3, 2012 12:44 PM CST up reply actions  

Well, I heard it's an autobiography

So, yeah, it’s definitely a conspiracy book.

/justkidding50

Attempting to remove humor from posts since August 30, 2011

by JokerBama on Feb 3, 2012 1:00 PM CST up reply actions  

There is some truth to what you have posted

If Auburn was in New Mexico and we never played them I would still hate them and their dumb coach and their cheating players.

by 5026 on Feb 3, 2012 2:01 PM CST up reply actions  

Counting her words took 7 minutes.

I just copied and pasted what she wrote to my word processor and it calculated the total.

If Auburn was in New Mexico and we never played them I would still hate them and their dumb coach and their cheating players.

by 5026 on Feb 3, 2012 2:00 PM CST up reply actions  

Two million copies it sold last year. Two million, man. But not next year—my idea’s gonna blow them outta the water. Get this: (dramatic pause) Seven-Minute Abs.

'There are two pains in life. There is the pain of discipline and the pain of disappointment. If you can handle the pain of discipline, then you'll never have to deal with the pain of disappointment,'- Nick Saban

by J Tadpole on Feb 3, 2012 2:14 PM CST up reply actions  

Hey, If you ain't happy we'll send you the extra minute.

If Auburn was in New Mexico and we never played them I would still hate them and their dumb coach and their cheating players.

by 5026 on Feb 3, 2012 3:28 PM CST up reply actions  

7’s the key number here. Think about it. 7-Elevens. 7 doors. 7, man, that’s the number. 7 chipmunks twirlin’ on a branch, eatin’ lots of sunflowers on my uncle’s ranch. You know that old children’s tale from the sea. It’s like you’re dreamin’ about Gorgonzola cheese when it’s clearly Brie time, baby. Step into my office.

'There are two pains in life. There is the pain of discipline and the pain of disappointment. If you can handle the pain of discipline, then you'll never have to deal with the pain of disappointment,'- Nick Saban

by J Tadpole on Feb 3, 2012 9:09 PM CST up reply actions  

No one can get abs in 6 minutes.

If Auburn was in New Mexico and we never played them I would still hate them and their dumb coach and their cheating players.

by 5026 on Feb 4, 2012 2:29 PM CST up reply actions  

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

Welcome to the SB Nation blog covering the Alabama Crimson Tide.

FanPosts

Roll Bama Roll on Twitter


Managers

Disreputable_small Todd

Miltonf-788904_small outsidethesidelines

Kyp2_small Nico2.0

Editors

Kleph_logo_copy_small kleph

Green_small Matt Dover