FanPost

A Waaaayyyy too early look at the 2013 Football Schedule


The 2013 schedule looks like this:

Aug. 31 - Va. Tech - Chick-fil-A Kickoff game

Sept. 14 - at Texas A&M

Sept. 21 - Colorado St.

Sept. 28 - Ole Miss

Oct. 5 - Georgia St.

Oct. 12 - at Kentucky

Oct. 19 - Arkansas

Oct. 26 - Tennessee

Nov. 9 - LSU

Nov. 16 - at Mississippi St.

Nov. 23 - Chattanooga

Nov. 30 - at Auburn



A few observations about the schedule overall, and then a brief bit about each individual game:

There are two bye weeks this year, the first one being the second weekend of the season, the next between the Tennessee and LSU games. The first one will just be a drag, I'm sure, since we'll get a taste of football against Va. Tech, and then have to wait two weeks before we get the A&M game. Taking a bye week before the LSU game just seems like the new normal.

Only seven home games this year, since we have the neutral site game, just like last year. This year's home slate looks about the same as last year's though, with four good SEC home games and three boring cupcakes. Season ticket holders might be getting restless after the past couple of ho-hum home schedules. Note that there's no game at Bryant-Denny until Colorado St. (!) on September 21, the FOURTH week of the season.
Our rotating eastern division opponent this year is Kentucky. Woohoo. Last year we get Missouri and this year Kentucky? Yecch. Talk about bottom feeding.
There's no murderer's row in any part of this schedule. with the toughest stretch looking to be Tennessee - LSU - Miss. St. Of course, four of the SEC schools we play have new coaches, so I wouldn't be surprised if one or two teams that are questionable at this point don't go on a streak and win a lot of games.
Overall, it seems to be a relatively easy schedule, and if we play close to normal Saban-led Bama expectations, we should cruise to 11+ wins.


Aug. 31 - Va. Tech - Chick-fil-A Kickoff game


Virginia Tech fell last year, and fell hard, stumbling to a 7-6 finish, only managing 4-4 in the toothless ACC, after going 11-3 in 2011. Logan Thomas never really materialized from the preseason hype cloud, and the wheels fell off the Beamer Bus. So ol' Franky B made the logical choice and hired Scott Loeffler as OC. We all know how well that turned out for Aubrun. They are also breaking in a new wide receivers coach and a new O-line coach.
Logan Thomas is back, for whatever that's worth, as well as 10 of 11 starters on defense, but at this point, we can probably consider the Hokies to be in "rebuilding" mode.

Likely Win


Sept. 14 - at Texas A&M



This is hands down, our toughest game of the year, for three reasons: It's only the second game of the year, it's in College Station, and they are the only team that could beat us last year. Or I could have just said Johnny Manziel, Johnny Football, and Johnny Heisman.
Drawing this game so early in the season could pose some problems, but having the extra week to prepare should help balance that out. At this point in the year, we always have some positions where the starter hasn't yet solidified. Sumlin's offense will present plenty of problems for our defense, so the offense might have to bail us out of this one.
Kyle Field is known as a tough place to visit, with the whole "13th man" and the chanting and the buzz cut fellows getting punched in the nads and other nonsense. The Tide has never seemed to mind hostile fields under Saban (with the notable exception of S.Car. in 2010), so hopefully this won't be as much of a factor as the Aggies like to believe it is.
I chalk last year's defeat up to one quarter of rampaging Johnny Heisman action that caught our defense completely by surprise. The last three quarters we largely bottled them up, but we'd fallen into too big of a hole to climb out. Hopefully, this year Saban will Process up a plan for Sumlin's spread and Manziel's scrambling.

Toss-Up

Sept. 21 - Colorado St.



Hey, isn't this where McElwain wound up? Hmm...I wonder how they managed to land a million-dollar payday?

Win


Sept. 28 - Ole Miss


After one year at Ole Miss, Hugh Freeze seems like the kind of coach struggling programs dream about: a dynamic and visionary type of guy that can inspire and coach up even the mediocre players. He's the kind of coach that gets players to play above their level, and that excites the fanbase, which is obvious if you go check out redcuprebellion.com. The Rebs stomped Pitt at the BBVA Compass Bowl, and their final record of 7-6 shows a team on the uptrend despite barely staying above .500. The SEC West is cutthroat.

Likely Win



Oct. 5 - Georgia St.


Seriously, why do we play these kinds of games? They don't sell tickets, they don't sell TV ads, we don't prove anything by playing them. Can't we at least schedule a Kansas, say, or a Arizona, or a Miami? At least some teams that arent' from the FCS?

WIN


Oct. 12 - at Kentucky


Kentucky has a new coach in Mark Stoops, one of an apparently endless parade of Stoopses in college football. He did good things with the FSU defense, so maybe he can help Kentucky out, but I think Kentucky cares way too much about basketball to be bothered with what the football program might be up to. Count on there being way more crimson than blue in the stands.

WIN


Oct. 19 - Arkansas


The Bret Bielema hire was puzzling to me - 9 months to look for a coach and you hire....this guy? Way to throw a bloop ball, Jeff Long. Beilema managed to go 8-5 last year in a very anemic Big Ten. He did have a 68-24 record, but all he had to show for it was two Rose Bowl loses.
Tyler Wilson is gone, Kniles Davis s gone, Kobi Hamilton is gone...the Hogs don't have any returning dominant defensive players...it seems like the cupboard is pretty bare in Fayetteville. Count this as the third "rebuilding" team on the schedule.

WIN

Oct. 26 - Tennessee


Yet another puzzling coaching hire here with Butch Jones taking over out of Cincinatti. SEC AD's just have no imagination. Also Tyler Bray, Cordarrelle Patterson, Justin Hunter, and Darrington Sentimore have all left for the NFL, leaving the Vols without any real standout stars left on the roster, either. A repeat of last year's game seems to be the most likely outcome for the fourth "rebuilding" team we play.

WIN


Nov. 9 - LSU


It's a little surprising that Les Miles has been the most consistent thorn in Saban's side since he arrived at UA. However, losing three games last year with the talent they had, combined with losing ten starters to the NFL, combined with Zach Mettenberger's tepid QB play, leads me to believe that Miles's star might be waning at LSU. The Tigers could come into this game with three losses, and they could wind up with as many as five.
The defense has lost seven starters, including standout ends Barkevious Mingo and Sam Montgomery and all-everything safety Eric Reid. This means their offense, which will return 9 starters as well as young stud RB's Jeremy Hill, Alfred Blue, and Kenny Hilliard and four O-lineman, will have put up some real points if they want to win some games. Given that most Les Miles led LSU squads have struggled to rack up points, I don't see this being a winning formula for the Bayou Bengals.
That said, it's still possible that this is the second toughest game on our schedule. The Tigers will no doubt be pumped for this game, and I'm sure we will get their best effort, as usual.

Likely Win


Nov. 16 - at Mississippi St.


The Bullies finished 8-5 last year after starting out the season on a winning streak before running up against the Bama freight train. They return QB Tyler Russell and their RB's and most of the O-line, but lose all of their top receivers. Their brightest spot last year was their defensive backfield, where they will lose top corners Darius Slay and Jonathan Banks.
Dan Mullen has never finished with more than 9 wins or better than fourth in the SEC West. The program under Mullen has never seriously challenged Bama, and barring big surprises in Starkville, I don't see the Bulldogs competing in 2013.

Likely Win


Nov. 23 - Chattanooga


Seriously, I didn't even know that there was a college in Chattanooga, much less a football program. They have a total win loss record of 466-480. The totality of their Wikipedia entry reads thusly:
The Chattanooga Mocs football program is the intercollegiate American football team for the University of Tennessee at Chattanooga located in the U.S. state of Tennessee. The team competes in the NCAA Division I Football Championship Subdivision (FCS) and are members of the Southern Conference. The school's first football team was fielded in 1909. The team plays its home games at the 20,668 seat Finley Stadium. They are coached by Russ Huesman.

Someone please tell me, why do we play these games?


Nov. 30 - at Auburn


The last game of the year, and the first Iron Bowl for Malzahn as head coach. At this point, I think it's very difficult to predict how Auburn's season will go. They have lots of highly touted talent on hand, with more incoming as freshmen. Malzahn runs an excellent offensive system, but we will have to see what the defense can produce.
A lot will depend on if the Aubz can find a QB. Will Malzahn reform the shattered and fragile mind of Kiehl Frazier? Does JUCO transfer Nick Marshall make a stir? Does incoming freshman Jeremy Johnson take the reins? Is Jonathan Wallace even still an option? With Cam Newton re-enrolled does Malzahn try to stuff him into Clint Mosely's old jersey?
Again, I think that Malzahn has the tools and the system, but it remains to be seen if he can run a whole program and find a QB not named Cam Newton.

Probable Win


In Summation


As long as this year's team plays close to its potential, the schedule stacks up as favorably as a team in the SEC West can hope. With only one game really in doubt, there's a good chance we find ourselves in the SEC championship, knocking on the BCS title door once again.
A three-peat does seem like a ridiculous thing to hope for, but our schedule definitely puts it in the realm of possibility. Roll Tide, let's hope for the best!


FanPosts are just that; posts created by the fans. They are in no way indicative of the opinions of SBN and the authors of Roll Bama Roll.

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