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The 2008 Class: Making It Fit

Much has been made recently of the large size of the 2008 recruiting class, and many have openly wondered exactly how we are going to make it all fit. So, I figure it is time to pen a piece that details how we are most likely going to make it fit.

To begin with, it is being erroneously mentioned in several circles that our class contains either 32 or 33 signees, which is entirely false. Demerius Darius technically signed a letter of intent, but everyone knows he is headed to junior college, and the actual signing was nothing more than a token gesture of a firm offer that will await him in two years if he successfully completes the academic requirements at the junior college level. Moreover, two other players -- Chris Jackson and Corey Smith -- enrolled early and actually count as part of the 2007 class. The reports of this class containing 32 or 33 players are simply not true. In terms of the limit to 25 scholarships awarded in a single year, this class contains only 30 players.

And in all actuality, it is probably going to contain only 29. Wesley Neighbors is most likely going to end up on the Bryant Scholarship and therefore will not count against the scholarship limitations, assuming he does not play in his first two years on campus. Considering that he is highly unlikely to do the latter, we will probably go ahead and create space for others by placing him on a Bryant Scholarship. Suddenly, this class falls down to only 29 players.

So, at the end of the day, despite all of this talk of more than 30 signees, we are effectively looking at 29 signees for 25 spots. In reality, we are only four players above the limit.

We're going to bring in 25 players this Fall, and to make it fit that is going to to require us to burn the candle a bit at both ends. First we have to trim the 29 down to 25, and then we have to clear out a bit of room for the 25 incoming players to be able to report this Fall without exceeding the NCAA mandated limit of 85 scholarship players. Fortunately, neither of the two are likely to present us any real problems.

On the former, trimming the 29 to 25, that is largely a situation that will take care of itself. We have a handful of players who are on the fence academically, and a few of those guys won't be able to qualify. Fortunately, the overwhelming majority of this class has no real academic concerns, but a handful won't qualify and those academic casualties will naturally trim this class to where it needs to be. In all likelihood, we will have either three or four academic casualties in this class -- most, if not all, of which will go to Hargrave or some similar prep school -- and that will trim us down to either 25 or 26 prospects. That will either be just the right amount, or if things go extremely well on the academic front, we will bring in 25 signees and then have one or two greyshirts. Long story short, it's just something that will naturally take care of itself.

On the latter, trimming the rest of the roster down to a point to where we can bring in 25 signees without exceeding the limit of 85, we should be able to do that relatively easy, as well. Contrary to some of the absurd drivel as of late, no one will be "run off" or anything of the sort. We will trim the roster with some combination of medical scholarships for those who cannot physically play anymore, voluntary transfers from those who are unlikely to contend for significant amounts of playing time, and perhaps other general screw-ups from players that will likely cause their careers to end at Alabama (see Elder).

On the medical scholarship front, we have several players who will probably end up going in that direction. Cody Davis is one of the leading candidates. His shoulder continues to pop out of place with any physical contact, despite surgeries to fix the condition, and even Saban has openly speculated that he may have to give up football. Chris Lett, too, may very well go in that direction as well, simply because he apparently cannot handle the high heat with his diabetic condition. B.J. Stabler, too, has had a lot of rumors swirling about his future, and he too may very well end up on medical scholarship given his chronic knee condition. And finally, given his latest setbacks, Zeke Knight may end up on medical scholarship as well. At this point, I think the odds are that once players report for Fall camp, it is likely to be released that at least three players have been moved to medical scholarship, and perhaps even four.

You can also safely factor in a couple of transfers as well. Some guys who are currently on scholarship simply will not be contending for any legitimate amount of playing time, and that usually brings up transfers to smaller programs. Zach Schreiber and Alex Stadler did this a year ago for that very same reason, and a couple of more will likely follow in their direction this season. And, of course, you also have to factor in the latest news regarding Jeremy Elder, which will free up another scholarship.

At the end of the day, we probably need to trim five or six scholarships from the current roster to be able to bring in a full allotment of 25 players this Fall without exceeding the limit of 85. That seemingly works out just fine for us. We are probably looking at three or four players going on medical scholarship, a couple of transfers, and then Jeremy Elder's scholarship being opened up as well. All told, we need to trim five or six scholarships, and we are looking at around six or seven scholarships to come open in the next few months.

Despite a lot of assertions to the contrary, this class isn't that big, and we should have no trouble making it fit.

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OTS
That's what I was thinking during all the brew ha ha last week. I never thought that Bama would not be able to work the signee's in. The coaching staff is too experienced at this to not make it work. Either way, thanks for your commentary...it's the best around. RTR!
SDBama78

by SDBama78 on Feb 20, 2008 12:43 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

a word of thanks
this is exactly the information i've been hoping someone would post about this subject. i appreciate you taking the time to do it and i hope you keep tabs on the situation through the off season.

by kleph on Feb 20, 2008 12:54 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

Don't forget...
...that Jimmy Barnes and Jamar Taylor also transferred last year, Barnes presumably because he had a better chance to start at a 1-AA school (forget which one, in Arizona I think) and Taylor to USF to be closer to his family (health issues with his mother, if memory serves).  So that was three kids that left because they didn't fit the new system/saw they weren't going to get any playing time at their position and one that left for personal reasons (and the fact that he was an RB, a position that, at least at the time, had roughly six other guys that were going to be competing for playing time was probably a factor, too).  It would be a safe bet to assume those kind of numbers will happen again this year since they generally happen EVERYWHERE during the offseason.

by Todd on Feb 20, 2008 2:01 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

thanks ots
that's my kind of "final word"

Roll Tide fellas

by crbama on Feb 20, 2008 2:26 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

Nice article
You have to wonder: what is up with Chris Lett?

I was really excited about him last year. I know he has diabetes, but he's had it his whole life. I don't get the heat argument - he's from Florida. Do you think he just poorly managed his condition in High School? I wonder if now that he's in college and has a team of trainers to monitor his blood sugar levels that they're not willing to give him any slack for fear of health problems?

Also: Zeke Knight's situation is really sad. I wonder if he'll have a problem playing football if it turns out he only had a very mild stroke. He was only in the hospital for one night, right? It may not be too serious.

by Cam on Feb 20, 2008 3:33 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

Two things come to mind...
  1. The level of exertion required and the toll exacted on the body at the collegiate level is higher, combine those factors with heat and the difference could be significant.
  2. I'm not sure what part of Florida he's from, but having lived there for several years myself, I'm not sure the heat in Alabama isn't worse.
Roll Tide!

by Nico2.0 on Feb 20, 2008 4:30 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

PHS
Chris Lett went to my alma mater: Pensacola High School. The climate is almost identical to Mobile, AL.

by judge on Feb 20, 2008 6:07 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Chris Lett
I think, for the most part, Nico nailed it.

From all I have read / heard, he didn't have anywhere near these type of troubles in high school because he did not have to exert himself anywhere near as hard in practice, and the weather itself wasn't as hot. Moreover, you have to consider that at the high school level, most of his games were played at night, and that helped greatly.

When he got to Alabama, though, it was a completely different situation. The practices were extremely intense, and we went through a two week stretch last year in the middle of fall camp where temperatures in Tuscaloosa exceeded 100 degrees. Hence the heat problems.

This Spring will tell us a lot about Lett. Temperatures will be relatively cool, ranging somewhere from about 45 to 70 degrees, and the practices will be much, much easier. You don't have those grueling two-a-day practices in 100+ degree heat in the Spring.

If Lett cannot go this Spring, that will probably be it for him.

by outsidethesidelines on Feb 20, 2008 6:46 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Good job
I think anyone who follows football understands this process. I don't think anyone will be run off. I think Saban knows what he is doing. And, I think those saying Bama will run players off, etc. are either ignorant or they are trying to stir up some distrust for next years recruits. What better way than to tell a guy he will not be admitted or run off etc.

As usual OTS makes perfect sense.      

by 5026 on Feb 20, 2008 4:04 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

Great job!
Any guesses as to who will not qualify?

Would neighbors be the first players recruited and signing a LOI to take a Bryant scholarship?

by heffie on Feb 20, 2008 4:11 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

No
Would neighbors be the first players recruited and signing a LOI to take a Bryant scholarship?

No, not quite the first. Jake Wingo did in 2004, and I believe Jake Jones was too. Unfortunately, injuries ended both of their careers before the ever got on the field. Hopefully it will go better for Neighbors.

by outsidethesidelines on Feb 20, 2008 6:35 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Terry Jones Jr
Wasn't Terry Jones Jr on the same scholarship as well, or was he on scholarship because his dad was working for the university?

by kennybk483 on Feb 20, 2008 7:22 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Maybe...
He may have been, but I honestly cannot remember. It's been ten years now since Jones, Jr. came to Alabama, and I just cannot remember for certain.

He would have been eligible for a Bryant scholarship, but I don't know that we actually used one with him. Honestly, as many academic casualties as Dubose had at the time, we probably didn't need to.

by outsidethesidelines on Feb 20, 2008 8:10 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Terry Jones, Jr. joined the team in 1998
I remember during one of our team meetings Coach DuBose said something about going into Spring practice with an abnormally low number of scholarship players.  The scholarship reduction part of our sanctions ended in 1997, but we lost a lot of players to graduation, grades, and discipline in 1997, so TJ might have been able to use an athletic scholarship.

God, it's been so long, I can't hardly remember those kind of details.

by Bamagrad on Feb 22, 2008 11:50 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Academic Casualties
Any guesses as to who will not qualify?

We probably have about five or six guys currently sitting on the fence. Jermaine Preyear probably won't make it, and handful of other guys are currently close but no cigar. That includes Kerry Murphy, Alonzo Lawrence, Terrance Cody, and Devonta Bolton. Most of those guys, if not all, need only a one or two point improvement on the ACT to qualify.

Preyear probably won't qualify, and we'll probably split the board on the remaining four or five questionable prospects. As to who will or won't make it, it's pure speculation one way or the other.

As mentioned earlier though, the smart money is on about three or four academic casualties.

by outsidethesidelines on Feb 20, 2008 6:56 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Nice.
Why couldn't this have been posted the first time and we would have skipped the whole blog war?

I still don't get the whole Bryant Scholarship though.

by formerlyanonymous on Feb 20, 2008 4:49 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

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