Sagarin's new college football rankings are up on the USA Today website, if you're curious:
http://www.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin/fbt12.htm
So, what does Sagarin think about the SEC?
Using his "PURE POINTS" method (which he argues is more accurate for projecting game results), here's the SEC rankings so far:
SEC WEST
Alabama (100.16)
LSU (95.2)
Mississippi State (78.36)
Texas A&M (76.23)
Arkansas (74.80)
Ole Miss (72.08)
East Alabama Male College (69.81)
SEC EAST
South Carolina (87.41)
Georgia (83.39)
Florida (78.96)
Tennessee (73.66)
Missouri (72.79)
Vanderbilt (72.45)
Kentucky (71.45)
Sagarin's method for projecting games is to compare the two teams after adding 3 points to the home team. Obviously, with only 2 weeks of data to work with, we've got some wiiiiiide error bars. But just for funsies, let's see how all this is projected to play out:
SEC WEST
Alabama (8-0, 12-0)*
LSU (7-1, 11-1)
Mississippi State (6-2, 10-2)
Texas A&M (4-4, 8-4)
Arkansas (3-5, 6-6)
Ole Miss (2-6, 5-7)
East Alabama Male College (0-8, 3-9)
SEC EAST
South Carolina (7-1, 11-1)* (tie-breaker: win over Georgia)
Georgia (7-1, 11-1)
Florida (5-3, 8-4)
Tennessee (2-6, 6-6)
Vanderbilt (2-6, 5-7)
Missouri (2-6, 4-8)
Kentucky (1-7, 4-8)
SEC CHAMPIONSHIP
Alabama over South Carolina
SEC BOWL GAMES
BCS National Championship: Alabama
Sugar: LSU
Capital One: South Carolina
Outback: Georgia
Cotton: Mississippi State
Chick-fil-A: Florida
Gator: Texas A&M
Liberty: Arkansas or Tennessee
Music City Bowl: Arkansas or Tennessee (per Wikipedia, "The Liberty Bowl and Music City Bowl work together, along with the SEC office, to determine the seventh and eighth picks.")
BBVA Compass Bowl: lol someone from the Sun Belt
Independence Bowl: not sure, maybe at large?
There you have it, folks. Based on ridiculously small sample sizes and dubious statistical principles, we can project that this season will go exactly the way we want it to. Hope for the best math to add up.