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College Football Around the SEC: 10.07.15

College football news & notes from around the conference.

We are trying something new this season: attempting to put a weight on records by measuring in certain factors. It is the first attempt (plus I barely made Cs in Statistics 101 &102 when I was at the Capstone), so it may need some tweaking in the future.

Some of you had queries about it and I have some clarifications.

1. Week 1, Mississippi State played at Southern Miss. Should they get 0.5 point for winning on the road? No. No credit is awarded for winning at a cupcake's stadium.
2. Also Week 1, Texas A&M played in Houston but only received 0.125 point for neutral location. College Station to Houston is in just under 100 miles. Phoenix to Houston is about 1,100 miles. More fans, more familiarity, easier commute.
3. So, why should they get any points at all? Even with all the advantages listed above, there is nothing like playing in your home stadium on your field with your locker room in front of your fans/students, etc. etc. etc.

A new tweak added is holding off on "Win over a ranked opponent = additional 0.5" until the end of the regular season. The logic (if there is any) is that a team ranked in September, may not be in December. [Hi Auburn!] By that time, perhaps I can come up with a good bonus equation.

Below is the key.

Win-Loss Record key:
• SEC - conference record
• P5 - non-SEC record against Power 5
• MM - record against Mid Majors/Non-Power 5 but projected bowl participant
• CC - record against cupcakes

Trying something new this season, we will attempt to put a weight on records.

• Win over P5 = 1 point
• Win over a ranked opponent = additional 0.5 (See above)
• Neutral site win = 0.25
• Win over a MM = 0.5
• Win over a CC = 0
• Loss to CC = -1
• Loss to MM = -0.5
• Home loss = -0.5
Auburn Tigers (3-2, SEC 0-2, P5 1-2, MM 1-0, CC 1-0) 1.25 Points

Points this week: 0.5 home win over MM San Jose St.

Auburn has an open date and then travel to Lexington, KY for a Thursday game, Oct. 15.

The following is based purely on hearsay, so take it with a grain of salt. There was a lot of chatter on Tuesday that Tigers sophomore running back Roc Thomas was Snapchatting about his frustrations on the Plains. Allegedly, Thomas spoke of transferring out along with "10" - who the interwebz assumes is WR Stanton Truitt. There has also been talk of former five-star freshman defensive end Byron Cowart venting on Twitter (his Tweets are protected).

LSU Tigers (4-0, SEC 2-0, P5 3-0, MM 0-0, CC 1-0) 4 Points

Points this week: 0 home win over CC Eastern Michigan.

LSU at South Carolina 11am/12pm, ESPN

Assuming LSU plays a 12-game schedule, Leonard Fournette would have to average 128.4 yards per game over the remaining eight games to top Herschel Walker’s SEC season record (1,891 rush yards). He’d need 220.5 yards/game to tie Barry Sanders’ FBS record (2,628 in 1988).

SIDEBAR: If the NFL Draft were held today, Fournette would easily be a top ten pick. However, he is just a true sophomore. I have this gut feeling that there will be some issue raised in the very near future in regards to his entrance into the 2016 NFL Draft. Stay tuned.

Tennessee Volunteers (2-3, SEC 0-2, P5 0-3, MM 1-0, CC 1-0) -0.5 Points

Points this week: -0.5 home loss to Arky.

Georgia at Tennessee 2:30pm/3:30pm, CBS

Tennessee QB commitment Jarrett Guarantano suffered a season-ending foot injury during a game this past Saturday. He is ranked the nation's No. 95 overall prospect and No. 1 dual-threat quarterback in the 247Sports Composite for the 2016 class.

South Carolina Gamecocks (2-3, SEC 0-3, P5 1-3, MM 1-0, CC 0-0) 1.25 Points

Points this week: 0 loss at Mizzou.

LSU at South Carolina 11am/12pm, ESPN

Due to the flooding that has caused a state of emergency in South Carolina, the Gamecocks game with LSU could be forced to move the game to another location. One possibility being batted around is moving the game to Baton Rouge - which LSU and their fans would LOVE! Clemson has a home game but UGA is on the road. Charlotte is a possibility since the Panthers have an open date. Classes have been cancelled at South Carolina this week because of the flooding that ravaged the state.

Ole Miss Rebels (4-1, SEC 1-1, P5 1-1, MM 1-0, CC 1-0) 3 Points

Points this week: 0 loss at Fla.

New Mexico State at Ole Miss 11am/12pm, SECN

From the When It Rains, It Pours Department:  The Rebels will be without the services of starting middle linebacker C.J. Johnson who will be out 4-6 weeks with torn meniscus. OUCH!

Texas A&M Aggies (5-0, SEC 2-0, P5 3-0, MM 2-0, CC 0-0) 4.25 Points

Points this week: 1 home win over MSU.

Texas A&M has an open date, followed by a visit from Bama.

Bookend defensive ends Daeshon Hall and Myles Garrett have combined for 12.5 sacks. That is more than all but 19 FBS teams have each. Alabama has 13.0 as a team.

Mississippi State Bulldogs (3-2, SEC 1-2, P5 1-2, MM 0-0, CC 2-0) 1 Point

Points this week: 0 road loss at TAMU.

Troy at Mississippi State 3pm/4pm, SECN

Dak Prescott's (sorry, there is nobody else to write about) streak of games with a passing touchdown was halted at 18 after the Aggies shut him down. However, he did find the end zone with his legs. He has yet to throw an interception this season.

Missouri Tigers (4-1, SEC 1-1, P5 1-1, MM 1-0, CC 2-0) 2 Points

Points this week: 1 home win over SCar.

Florida at Missouri 6:30pm/7:30pm, SECN

How do they do it? Yet another Mizzou defensive lineman is coming out of nowhere to grab the spotlight. Redshirt freshman Walter Brady had two sacks and an interception against South Carolina. He has 5.0 sacks in the last three games. The Florence, Alabama native was a two-star recruit in 2014 but as a partial NCAA qualifier last season, he and was barred from all football-related activities.

Florida Gators (5-0, SEC 3-0, P5 3-0, MM 1-0, CC 1-0) 4 Points

Points this week: 1 home win over Ole Missy.

Florida at Missouri 6:30pm/7:30pm, SECN

The Gators are #13 in the nation in turnover margin and tops in the SEC at +6. They have recovered six fumbles and picked off five passes. Vernon Hargreaves has three interceptions alone that he has returned for 132 yards.

Georgia Bulldogs (4-1, SEC 2-1, P5 2-1, MM 0-0, CC 2-0) 2.0 Points

Points this week: -0.5 home loss to Bama.

Georgia at Tennessee 2:30pm/3:30pm, CBS

I can't believe I or anyone else had not come up with this sooner: Columbus Ledger-Enquirer sports editor Kevin Price pointed out that Mark Richt has been beaten by double digits 15 times since 2006 and at least once per season:

2006 — 18-point loss to Tennessee
2007 — 21-point loss to Tennessee
2008 — 11-point loss to Alabama
2008 — 39-point loss to Florida
2009 — 14-point loss to Oklahoma State
2009 — 26-point loss to Tennessee
2009 — 24-point loss to Florida
2010 — 11-point loss to South Carolina
2010 — 18-point loss to Auburn
2011 — 14-point loss to Boise State
2011 — 32-point loss to LSU
2012 — 28-point loss to South Carolina
2013 — 15-point loss to Missouri
2014 — 18-point loss to Florida
2015 — 28-point loss to Alabama

Arkansas Razorbacks (2-3, SEC 1-2, P5 1-2, MM 0-1, CC 1-0) 0 Points

Points this week: 1.5 = road win (0.5) over Tenn (1).

Arkansas at ALABAMA 6pm/7pm ESPN

After losing their top wide receivers Keon Hatcher (foot injury), Cody Hollister (foot) and Jared Cornelius (arm), most figured the Razorbacks passing game would die on the vine. However, it was just the opportunity that Drew Morgan needed to show his wares. The former supporting player turned heads against Texas A&M two Saturdays ago catching career highs of eight catches for 155 yards and a touchdown. During the upset of Tennessee last weekend, he tallied another five grabs for 110 yards. The mostly overlooked junior had no catches as a freshman and only ten receptions for 181 yards last season.

Vanderbilt Commodores (2-3, SEC 0-2, P5 0-2, MM 1-1, CC 1-0) 01 Points

Points this week: 1.0 = road win (0.5) over MM MTSU (0.5).

Vanderbilt has an open date, followed by a trip to South Carolina.

Running back Ralph Webb finally broke out with 155 yards on 25 carries and a score. It was the third 100+ yard rush game of the sophomore's Vandy career and first this season.

Kentucky Wildcats (4-1, SEC 2-1, P5 2-1, MM 1-0, CC 1-0) 2.5 Points

Points this week: 0 home win over CC EKU.

Kentucky has an open date as they await Auburn's arrival for a Thursday game Oct. 15.

This time a year ago, the Wildcats were 5-1 with wins over South Carolina and Vandy and a close loss to Florida. This year, they are 4-1 with wins over South Carolina and Mizzou and a close loss to Florida. Last season, they finished with six straight defeats. They have an extra week off to think about Auburn.

Alabama Crimson Tide (4-1, SEC 1-1, P5 2-1, MM 2-0, CC 0-0) 3.25 Points

Points this week: 1.5 = road win (0.5) over UGA (1).

Arkansas at ALABAMA 6pm/7pm ESPN

In his tenure at Alabama, Nick Saban is a perfect 8-0 against Arkansas. His teams have outscored Razorbacks teams 305 to 106 for an average of 38-13. Five times, he has beaten them by 24 points or more. In both 2012 and 2013, his Tide squads shutout the Hogs by the score 52-0. Last season was the closest margin of victory 14-13.

TOTALS:

 Team Week 2 Points Week 3 Points Week 4 Points Week 5 Points Texas A&M 1.625 2.125 3.25 4.25 Florida 0.5 2.0 3.0 4.0 LSU 1.5 2.5 4.0 4.0 Alabama 1.75 1.25 1.75 3.25 Ole Miss 0.5 2.0 3.0 3.0 Kentucky 2 1.5 2.5 2.5 Georgia 1.5 2.5 2.5 2.0 Missouri 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 Auburn 1.25 1.25 0.75 1.25 South Carolina 0.75 0.75 1.25 1.25 Mississippi State -0.5 -0.5 1.0 1.0 Arkansas -1.0 -1.5 -1.5 0.0 Vanderbilt -1.0 -1.0 -1.0 0.0 Tennessee 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.5