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Despite Alabama’s scoring deficiency against an LSU team that will not play a better defensive game this season, and despite Mississippi State abusing Texas A&M’s nougaty-soft interior, neither result is getting much play in Vegas this week.
Alabama opens as an unreal 29-point favorite in Tuscaloosa this week. And, you know what, I think they cover that one — pretty handily in fact. A 45-10, 42-7 kind of game seems likely. Another game to watch is the resurgent Trojans on the road in Seattle: It will be a fun game, but at eight points, that’s begging to lose some money.
Outside of Alabama, the only games I really like in the Top 25 are a ghastly Maryland team hosting the Buckeyes, who are looking for style points (Urban is going to do filthy things here); while there’s no line at the moment, give me the Aggies at home, where they will run the ball about 60 times against a bad Ole Miss interior; and, I do think the LSU Tigers rebound in Fayatteville — and, favored by less than a touchdown, this one looks like a good play, for the same reason I think Auburn beats Georgia: better line play and running game (though not, maybe, by the 10 point spread.) Finally, I like Texas Tech as a 12-point dog against the Okie Lite Cowboys: In another shootout, Mahones excels.
Which games do you like? Here are the week 11 lines:
Top 25
Mississippi State at Alabama (-29)
Michigan (-17.5) at Iowa
Pittsburgh at Clemson (-19)
USC at Washington (-8)
Wake Forest at Louisville (-33)
Ohio State (-28) at Maryland
Illinois at Wisconsin (-26.5)
Auburn (-10) at Georgia
Baylor at Oklahoma (-14)
Mississippi at Texas A&M (OFF)
West Virginia at Texas (-1)
Penn State (-7) at Indiana
Utah (-5.5) at Arizona State
Western Michigan (-18) at Kent
North Carolina (-11.5) at Duke
Colorado (-15) at Arizona
Texas Tech at Oklahoma State (-12)
Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech (-14.5)
LSU (-6) at Arkansas
Boston College at Florida State (-22)
Minnesota at Nebraska (OFF)
South Carolina at Florida (-14.5)
California at Washington State (-15)
Boise State (-18) at Hawaii
Week 11 Opening Odds
Eastern Michigan at Ball State (-1.5)
Western Michigan (-18) at Kent
Toledo (-6.5) at Northern Illinois
Bowling Green at Akron (-8)
North Carolina (-11.5) at Duke
UL Lafayette at Georgia Southern (-10.5)
Utah (-5.5) at Arizona State
Boston College at Florida State (-22)
Northwestern (-14) at Purdue
Pittsburgh at Clemson (-19)
Cincinnati at Central Florida (-10)
Ohio State (-28) at Maryland
Penn State (-7) at Indiana
Wake Forest at Louisville (-33)
Iowa State (-10.5) at Kansas
SMU at East Carolina (-8.5)
Tulsa at Navy (-1)
Miami Ohio (-10.5) at Buffalo
NC State at Syracuse (OFF)
Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech (-14.5)
Texas Tech at Oklahoma State (-12)
Mississippi at Texas A&M (OFF)
Rice at Charlotte (-10.5)
New Mexico State at Arkansas State (-19.5)
Wyoming (-8) at UNLV
Colorado State at Air Force (-5)
Mississippi State at Alabama (-29)
North Texas at Western Kentucky (-28)
Appalachian State at Troy (PK)
Auburn (-10) at Georgia
Illinois at Wisconsin (-26.5)
Kentucky at Tennessee (-11)
South Carolina at Florida (-14.5)
LSU (-6) at Arkansas
Stanford (-2.5) at Oregon
Army vs Notre Dame (-13)
Southern Miss at Old Dominion (OFF)
Rutgers at Michigan State (-15.5)
Miami (-10) at Virginia
Texas San Antonio at Louisiana Tech (-20.5)
California at Washington State (-15)
Idaho (-7) at Texas State
USC at Washington (-8)
Oregon State at UCLA (-10.5)
UTEP at Florida Atlantic (-3.5)
Boise State (-18) at Hawaii
Middle Tennessee State at Marshall (OFF)
West Virginia at Texas (-1)
Baylor at Oklahoma (-14)
Minnesota at Nebraska (OFF)
UL Monroe at Georgia State (-12)
Vanderbilt at Missouri (-1)
South Florida (-4) at Memphis
Michigan (-17.5) at Iowa
Tulane at Houston (-24)
Colorado (-15) at Arizona
New Mexico at Utah State (OFF)
San Diego State (-22) at Nevada