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Week 11 CFB Point Spreads: Alabama opens as a nearly 30-point favorite against Bully

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Mississippi State’s stunning victory over A&M is not garnering much traction among oddsmakers

Alabama v LSU Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images

Despite Alabama’s scoring deficiency against an LSU team that will not play a better defensive game this season, and despite Mississippi State abusing Texas A&M’s nougaty-soft interior, neither result is getting much play in Vegas this week.

Alabama opens as an unreal 29-point favorite in Tuscaloosa this week. And, you know what, I think they cover that one — pretty handily in fact. A 45-10, 42-7 kind of game seems likely. Another game to watch is the resurgent Trojans on the road in Seattle: It will be a fun game, but at eight points, that’s begging to lose some money.

Outside of Alabama, the only games I really like in the Top 25 are a ghastly Maryland team hosting the Buckeyes, who are looking for style points (Urban is going to do filthy things here); while there’s no line at the moment, give me the Aggies at home, where they will run the ball about 60 times against a bad Ole Miss interior; and, I do think the LSU Tigers rebound in Fayatteville — and, favored by less than a touchdown, this one looks like a good play, for the same reason I think Auburn beats Georgia: better line play and running game (though not, maybe, by the 10 point spread.) Finally, I like Texas Tech as a 12-point dog against the Okie Lite Cowboys: In another shootout, Mahones excels.

Which games do you like? Here are the week 11 lines:

Top 25

Mississippi State at Alabama (-29)

Michigan (-17.5) at Iowa

Pittsburgh at Clemson (-19)

USC at Washington (-8)

Wake Forest at Louisville (-33)

Ohio State (-28) at Maryland

Illinois at Wisconsin (-26.5)

Auburn (-10) at Georgia

Baylor at Oklahoma (-14)

Mississippi at Texas A&M (OFF)

West Virginia at Texas (-1)

Penn State (-7) at Indiana

Utah (-5.5) at Arizona State

Western Michigan (-18) at Kent

North Carolina (-11.5) at Duke

Colorado (-15) at Arizona

Texas Tech at Oklahoma State (-12)

Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech (-14.5)

LSU (-6) at Arkansas

Boston College at Florida State (-22)

Minnesota at Nebraska (OFF)

South Carolina at Florida (-14.5)

California at Washington State (-15)

Boise State (-18) at Hawaii

Week 11 Opening Odds

Eastern Michigan at Ball State (-1.5)

Western Michigan (-18) at Kent

Toledo (-6.5) at Northern Illinois

Bowling Green at Akron (-8)

North Carolina (-11.5) at Duke

UL Lafayette at Georgia Southern (-10.5)

Utah (-5.5) at Arizona State

Boston College at Florida State (-22)

Northwestern (-14) at Purdue

Pittsburgh at Clemson (-19)

Cincinnati at Central Florida (-10)

Ohio State (-28) at Maryland

Penn State (-7) at Indiana

Wake Forest at Louisville (-33)

Iowa State (-10.5) at Kansas

SMU at East Carolina (-8.5)

Tulsa at Navy (-1)

Miami Ohio (-10.5) at Buffalo

NC State at Syracuse (OFF)

Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech (-14.5)

Texas Tech at Oklahoma State (-12)

Mississippi at Texas A&M (OFF)

Rice at Charlotte (-10.5)

New Mexico State at Arkansas State (-19.5)

Wyoming (-8) at UNLV

Colorado State at Air Force (-5)

Mississippi State at Alabama (-29)

North Texas at Western Kentucky (-28)

Appalachian State at Troy (PK)

Auburn (-10) at Georgia

Illinois at Wisconsin (-26.5)

Kentucky at Tennessee (-11)

South Carolina at Florida (-14.5)

LSU (-6) at Arkansas

Stanford (-2.5) at Oregon

Army vs Notre Dame (-13)

Southern Miss at Old Dominion (OFF)

Rutgers at Michigan State (-15.5)

Miami (-10) at Virginia

Texas San Antonio at Louisiana Tech (-20.5)

California at Washington State (-15)

Idaho (-7) at Texas State

USC at Washington (-8)

Oregon State at UCLA (-10.5)

UTEP at Florida Atlantic (-3.5)

Boise State (-18) at Hawaii

Middle Tennessee State at Marshall (OFF)

West Virginia at Texas (-1)

Baylor at Oklahoma (-14)

Minnesota at Nebraska (OFF)

UL Monroe at Georgia State (-12)

Vanderbilt at Missouri (-1)

South Florida (-4) at Memphis

Michigan (-17.5) at Iowa

Tulane at Houston (-24)

Colorado (-15) at Arizona

New Mexico at Utah State (OFF)

San Diego State (-22) at Nevada