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BONUS Graphing the Tide vs. Ole Miss: That’s more like it

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Just the charts in this one. Spoiler: they look good.

NCAA Football: Mississippi at Alabama John David Mercer-USA TODAY Sports

We’ll have CTT for the A&M game later this morning. But first, here’s a bonus to whet your appetite -- Because of real life, we didn’t have a Graphing the Tide article last week, so here are the charts from the Ole Miss game. Better late than never?

It was an easy win, with the Tide defense delivering a zero-opponent-success quarter (a rare feat) for the second week in a row. Ole Miss was surprisingly explosive, but on very limited attempts, and the oddly-high rushing success rates died down after a few early successes. The Tide offense looked solid, with lots of explosiveness... especially from the passing game. Roll Tide!

Metric definitions

A "successful" play, as defined by Football Outsiders, is basically when a play gains enough yardage to keep the offense on track, i.e., 50% of needed yardage on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, or 100% on 3rd/4th. A "big play" (aka an "explosive play") is any play that gains ≥15 yards (run OR pass).

Success rates, big play rates

Big play rate (XR) and Success rate (SR)

* NCAA average SR = 40%

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Running and Passing, Alabama (vs. Ole Miss)

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Running and Passing, Ole Miss

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