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Week 12 College Football props, odds, and point spreads

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Alabama plays Mercer, but there’s real action to be had elsewhere

Las Vegas

Here are the Week 12 lines. Most of the ACC and SEC with huge traditional rivals play their annual FCS slaughter game, so there are plenty of games with no action. But, there are some that you should think about.

  • Mizzou -7.5 at Vanderbilt. The ‘Dores have cratered and essentially given up. The Tigers seem to have improved on defense and the offense remains lethal.
  • OU -3.5 at Kansas The largest road spread of the season is also the most tempting. Mayfield has moved into command of the Heisman, and the Sooners are now considered a playoff team. Expect Lincoln Riley to do some filthy things to the Jayhawks.
  • UAB +10.5 at Florida. There’s no reason to expect Randy Shannon to hold this team together. The season may see one more decent effort by the Gators, next week’s unwatchable FSU-UF game. The Blazers could win this one outright.
  • Penn State -23 vs. Nebraska. The Huskers defense is an abomination unto the lord. The offense isn’t much better. Riley is a dead man walking, while the Lions got some favorable playoff news. Look for Franklin to run this slap-up both for his team’s CFP fortunes and to make Saquon Barkley relevant again.
  • Michigan at Wisconsin -10. Sure, the Badgers may only win 13-0, but the Wolverines have nothing in the tank on offense, turn the ball over way too much, have been vulnerable on the road, and it’s a chance for UW to earn a win that the CFP deems relevant for whatever reason (hint, it’s the helmet, not the team.) UM is also hampered by tons of injuries at key spots.

Games to avoid:

Auburn - 37 vs. ULM. Auburn should cover this one handily. With the injuries, and being wedged between UGA and Alabama, I wouldn’t count on the starters playing much. A&M at Ole Miss -2.5. If you know what these two teams are going to do, you’re Nostradamus. Literally any result would be unsurprising. NC State at Wake (PK.) This is a pick’em for a reason. USC vs UCLA (+15). The Trojans’ secondary has been blasted from time to time. Mora may have lost his team. but he hasn’t lost his offense. Could be 28-14, could be 41-17: USC should win, but that’s an iffy line.

College Football Week 11 Opening Odds

Top 25

Mercer at Alabama (OFF)

Virginia at Miami (-17)

Oklahoma at Kansas (+35)

The Citadel at Clemson (OFF)

Michigan at Wisconsin (-10)

UL Monroe at Auburn (-37)

Kentucky at Georgia (-22)

Illinois at Ohio State (-38.5)

Navy at Notre Dame (OFF)

Kansas State at Oklahoma State (OFF)

TCU at Texas Tech (+6)

UCLA at USC (-15)

Nebraska at Penn State (-23)

UCF at Temple (+14)

Utah at Washington (-17.5)

Mississippi State at Arkansas (+11.5)

SMU at Memphis (-11.5)

California at Stanford (-17.5)

LSU at Tennessee (+14)

Maryland at Michigan State (OFF)

Tulsa at South Florida (-23)

Texas at West Virginia (-3)

NC State at Wake Forest (PK)

Full Schedule

Ohio at Akron (OFF) Central Michigan at Kent State (+17)

Toledo at Bowling Green (+17) Eastern Michigan at Miami-OH (-2.5)

Western Michigan at Northern Illinois (-10) Buffalo at Ball State (+17.5)

Tulsa at South Florida (-23) Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky (+2)

UNLV at New Mexico (-2) Rutgers at Indiana (-11)

Kentucky at Georgia (-22) Cincinnati at East Carolina (+3)

Georgia Tech at Duke (+5.5) Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech (-17)

UCF at Temple (+14) N.C. State at Wake Forest (PK)

Syracuse at Louisville (OFF) Minnesota at Northwestern (-6.5)

Maryland at Michigan State (OFF) Texas at West Virginia (-3)

Oklahoma at Kansas (+35) Fresno State at Wyoming (OFF)

Air Force at Boise State (-17.5) Hawaii at Utah State (-10)

Rice at Old Dominion (-9) Charlotte at Southern Miss (-17.5)

Massachusetts at BYU (-3.5) Louisiana Tech at UTEP (+15.5)

South Alabama at Georgia Southern (+6) TCU at Texas Tech (+6)

Purdue at Iowa (-8.5) Arizona at Oregon (OFF)

Illinois at Ohio State (-38.5) UAB at Florida (-10.5)

Arizona State at Oregon State (+6.5) SMU at Memphis (-11.5)

Virginia at Miami (-17) Iowa State at Baylor (+10)

Mississippi State at Arkansas (+11.5) Missouri at Vanderbilt (+7.5)

Utah at Washington (-17.5) UL Monroe at Auburn (-37)

Kansas State at Oklahoma State (OFF) San Jose State at Colorado State (-32)

Nebraska at Penn State (-23) LSU at Tennessee (+14)

Navy at Notre Dame (OFF) Houston at Tulane (+9)

New Mexico State at UL Lafayette (+4) Coastal Carolina at Idaho (OFF)

Army at North Texas (-2.5) Texas State at Arkansas State (-24.5)

Florida International at Florida Atlantic (-14) Connecticut at Boston College (OFF)

Marshall at UTSA (+1.5) Texas A&M at Ole Miss (-2.5)

Michigan at Wisconsin (-10) UCLA at USC (-15)

California at Stanford (-17.5) Nevada at San Diego State (-15)

Delaware State at Florida State (OFF) The Citadel at Clemson (OFF)

Western Carolina at North Carolina (OFF) Wofford at South Carolina (OFF)

Notes:

- Alabama, Wisconsin, Ohio State and South Florida have been favored by at least a touchdown in every game this year.

- South Florida has been favored by double digits in 13 consecutive games.

- Alabama is 14-0 in its last 14 November games while Wisconsin is 13-1 in its last 14 November games.

- The last time the Gators were less than 14-point favorites against a Group of Five school was 1989. Florida is favored by just 10.5 points against UAB this week.

- Oklahoma (-35 vs. Kansas) is the largest road favorite this season.

- Colorado State is a 30+ favorite against an FBS foe for the first time since 1998 (vs. UNLV).

Alabama v Mississippi State Photo by Butch Dill/Getty Images

Props and Odds:

Will Wisconsin qualify for the CFP if it finishes 13-0?

Yes -4000 No +1300

Will Alabama, Clemson and Oklahoma all qualify for the CFP?

Yes -170 No +140

Will the ACC qualify two teams for the CFP?

Yes +200 No -260

Will the SEC qualify two teams for the CFP?

Yes +220 No -280

(Last week: Yes -260, No +200)

Will a two-loss team qualify for the CFP?

Yes +140 No -170

(Last week: Yes +300, No -400)

Odds to make the College Football Playoff (Alphabetically)

Will Alabama make the 4 team playoff?

Yes -700 (1/7)

No +400 (4/1)

Will Auburn make the 4 team playoff?

Yes +200 (2/1)

No -300 (1/3)

Will Clemson make the 4 team playoff?

Yes -250 (2/5)

No +170 (17/10)

Will Georgia make the 4 team playoff?

Yes +170 (17/10)

No -250 (2/5)

Will Miami Florida make the 4 team playoff?

Yes -140 (5/7)

No +110 (11/10)

Will Michigan make the 4 team playoff?

Yes +1000 (10/1)

No -2500 (1/25)

Will Notre Dame make the 4 team playoff?

Yes +2000 (20/1)

No -5000 (1/50)

Will Ohio State make the 4 team playoff?

Yes +300 (3/1)

No -500 (1/5)

Will Oklahoma make the 4 team playoff?

Yes -200 (1/2)

No +150 (3/2)

Will Oklahoma State make the 4 team playoff?

Yes +2000 (20/1)

No -5000 (1/50)

Will Penn State make the 4 team playoff?

Yes +1500 (15/1)

No -3000 (1/30)

Will TCU make the 4 team playoff?

Yes +1500 (15/1)

No -3000 (1/30)

Will USC make the 4 team playoff?

Yes +1000 (10/1)

No -2500 (1/25)

Will Washington U make the 4 team playoff?

Yes +2000 (20/1)

No -5000 (1/50)

Will Wisconsin make the 4 team playoff?

Yes +150 (3/2)

No -200 (1/2)