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Two weeks ago, Alabama was a two-touchdown favorite in Auburn over the Tigers. After Auburn worked over Georgia, that point spread narrowed by a full touchdown. Last night, the line opened, and it was well-under a touchdown: just a meager -4.5. And, within hours that spread narrowed further to just -4.
This is the smallest point spread in this game since 2010 (Alabama -3.5). In the last five years Alabama has covered the spread in every game that it has won. When the Tide has not covered, it has simply lost straight-up.
Below are this week’s spreads from bookmaker.eu. I’m not touching the Iron Bowl, but:
- The Egg Bowl has the potential for a rout, and Mississippi State at home (opened -17, now -15) can cover a big number.
- If Florida State shows up, they’ll get the -4.5 against the Gators.
- I like UVA at home as a 7.5 ‘dog against VT. A straight-up win isn’t out of the question either.
- OSU can get the 10 against a Michigan team with uncertainty at QB and injuries on defense.
- Texas A&M may very well lose to LSU. I don’t think they lose by 10.5
- Memphis has a huge number (-27,) but the Tigers may legitimately hang 80 on ECU
- Notre Dame edges Stanford in a battle of excellent running backs and they get the -1.5
- Tennessee has no coach, but they’re at home and this Vandy team has been historically bad in league play; Vols get this one comfortably (-1.)
College Football Week 13 Opening Odds
Top 25
Alabama at Auburn (+4.5)
Miami at Pittsburgh (+13.5)
West Virginia at Oklahoma (OFF)
Clemson at South Carolina (+14)
Wisconsin at Minnesota (+16)
Georgia at Georgia Tech (+10)
Ohio State at Michigan (+10)
Notre Dame at Stanford (+1.5)
Baylor at TCU (-23.5)
Penn State at Maryland (+21)
South Florida at UCF (-9.5)
Washington State at Washington (-11)
Ole Miss at Mississippi State (-17)
East Carolina at Memphis (-27)
Kansas at Oklahoma State (-40.5)
Texas A&M at LSU (-10.5)
Michigan State at Rutgers (+11)
Northwestern at Illinois (+15)
Virginia Tech at Virginia (+7.5)
Boise State at Fresno State (+7)
Full Schedule
Kent State at Akron (-15)
Bowling Green at Eastern Michigan (-15)
Miami Ohio at Ball State (+18.5)
Ole Miss at Mississippi State (-17)
Baylor at TCU (-23.5)
Virginia Tech at Virginia (+7.5)
Missouri at Arkansas (+11)
New Mexico at San Diego State (-18.5)
Navy at Houston (-6.5)
Miami at Pittsburgh (+13.5)
Iowa at Nebraska (+2.5)
Texas State at Troy (-24.5)
South Florida at UCF (-9.5)
Western Kentucky at Florida International (+1.5)
Texas Tech at Texas (-10.5)
California at UCLA (-8)
Connecticut at Cincinnati (-4.5)
Boston College at Syracuse (OFF)
Michigan State at Rutgers (+11)
Indiana at Purdue (-3)
Ohio State at Michigan (+10)
North Carolina at N.C. State (-17.5)
Duke at Wake Forest (-10.5)
Appalachian State at Georgia State (+7)
Vanderbilt at Tennessee (-1)
Iowa State at Kansas State (-2.5)
Louisville at Kentucky (+9)
Georgia at Georgia Tech (+10)
Penn State at Maryland (+21)
Northwestern at Illinois (+15)
North Texas at Rice (+13)
Florida Atlantic at Charlotte (-22.5)
Utah State at Air Force (OFF)
Southern Miss at Marshall (-5)
UNLV at Nevada (-3)
Washington State at Washington (-11)
Wyoming at San Jose State (OFF)
Colorado at Utah (-11)
Arkansas State at UL Monroe (+8)
Old Dominion at Middle Tennessee (-13)
Wisconsin at Minnesota (+16
)Notre Dame at Stanford (+1.5)
Clemson at South Carolina (+14)
Texas A&M at LSU (-10.5)
Boise State at Fresno State (+7)
Tulane at SMU (-8)
Kansas at Oklahoma State (-40.5)
Arizona at Arizona State (PK)
West Virginia at Oklahoma (OFF
)Oregon State at Oregon (-21.5)
Idaho at New Mexico State (OFF)
Georgia Southern at UL Lafayette (-6)
Temple at Tulsa (OFF)
UTSA at Louisiana Tech (-1.5)
East Carolina at Memphis (-27)
UTEP at UAB (-20)
Alabama at Auburn (+4.5)
Florida State at Florida (+4.5)
BYU at Hawaii (+3.5)
Notes:
- Ohio State is 12-1 against Michigan since 2004.- Washington State hasn’t won the Pac-12 since 2002.
- Oklahoma State hasn’t been a 40+ favorite since prior to 1985.- Third consecutive week Kansas has been the biggest underdog on the FBS board