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Week 11 CFB Point Spreads, Props and Odds: ‘Bama a two-score favorite in Starkville

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Vegas sees no hangover for the Tide

Las Vegas

College Football Playoffs Odds and Props

First, here are some interesting props for the CFP: Vegas, like most informed viewers, simply see no route for a Big 10 team to make the playoff. In fact, the odds favor a one-loss SEC runner-up taking a spot over that scenario. The bookmakers also throw cold water on absolute chaos that would increase the prospects of red-hot UCF crashing the party:

Will a Big Ten team qualify for the CFP?

Yes +130 No -160

Will the SEC qualify two teams for the CFP?

Yes -260 No +200

Will a two-loss team qualify for the CFP?

Yes +300 No -400

Will a team outside of the Power 5 conferences qualify for the CFP? (not including Notre Dame)

Yes +2000 No -15000

As for the CFP champ, some teams have seen their odds grow better, though Alabama remains more than a scratch favorite at 5-to-7. I did not list all possible teams, just the Top 10.

10/30/17 Current Odds (11/6/17)

Alabama 5/7 5/7

Georgia 11/1 4/1

Clemson 11/1 7/1

Notre Dame 11/1 7/1

Oklahoma 28/1 14/1

Miami Florida 28/1 16/1

Wisconsin 28/1 16/1

Washington 28/1 22/1

Auburn 75/1 40/1

TCU 100/1 40/1

And, from Bookmaker, here are the lines for Week 11 as they stand today. Note the Miami/ND line: “The last meaningful game played between the Irish and Hurricanes came in 1990. That year, No. 6 Notre Dame knocked off No. 2 Miami, 29-20, at South Bend as a 3-point underdog. The last time Miami defeated Notre Dame was in 1989. The Irish are 4-0 straight up and against the spread in the last four meetings between these programs.”

NCAA Football: CFP National Championship-Clemson vs Alabama Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

Week 11 College Football Point Spreads:

I don’t like many games in the SEC this week. You can see Alabama winning on the road by 14; that hook is brutal. Auburn-Georgia is untouchable. One I do like is Tennessee as a 9-point road dog. These teams are going in opposite directions, but I don’t think Mizzou is nine points better than anyone that hasn’t fired their coach.

It’s a good week to find value with underdogs in any event. Take a look at: Iowa State a touchdown ‘dog at home vs. Okie Lite; maybe TCU as an 8-point road underdog vs. Oklahoma; Utah +2 at home vs. a Washington State team that has player terribly away from Pullman; Iowa getting nearly 14-points on the road against rival Wisconsin; Sparty as an unreal 17-point road underdog against the hapless Buckeyes.

One favorite I do like is Washington giving less than a touchdown against the Cardinal in Palo Alto. If the Doogs want to get back in the playoff hunt, a convincing road win against a one-dimension-but-ranked Stanford club is a good start. And I think they get it.

Top 25

Georgia at Auburn (+2)

Alabama at Mississippi State (+14.5)

Notre Dame at Miami (+2.5)

Florida State at Clemson (-17.5)

TCU at Oklahoma (-8)

Iowa at Wisconsin (-13.5)

Washington at Stanford (+6.5)

Michigan State at Ohio State (-17)

Oklahoma State at Iowa State (+7)

Connecticut at UCF (OFF)

USC at Colorado (+13.5)

Rutgers at Penn State (-31)

Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech (OFF)

Washington State at Utah (+2)

Michigan at Maryland (OFF)

Full Schedule

Akron at Miami Ohio (-3.5)

Bowling Green at Buffalo (-11)

Kent State at Western Michigan (-21.5)

Toledo at Ohio (+6)

Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan (+1.5)

Ball State at Northern Illinois (-29)

Georgia Southern at Appalachian State (-17)

North Carolina at Pittsburgh (-10)

Temple at Cincinnati (+2.5)

Washington at Stanford (+6.5)

BYU at UNLV (-4)

Michigan at Maryland (OFF)

Florida at South Carolina (-7.5)

Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech (OFF)

Tulane at East Carolina (+5)

N.C. State at Boston College (+3.5)

Connecticut at UCF (OFF)

Wake Forest at Syracuse (-2)

Rutgers at Penn State (-31)

Duke at Army (+1.5)

Michigan State at Ohio State (-17)

Indiana at Illinois (+9)

Troy at Coastal Carolina (OFF)

Middle Tennessee at Charlotte (+14)

Wyoming at Air Force (-3)

San Jose State at Nevada (-19)

Texas Tech vs. Baylor (+7.5)

West Virginia at Kansas State (OFF)

TCU at Oklahoma (-8)

Oklahoma State at Iowa State (+7)

Virginia at Louisville (-11.5)

Notre Dame at Miami (+2.5)

SMU at Navy (OFF)

Washington State at Utah (+2)

Purdue at Northwestern (-6)

UL Lafayette at Ole Miss (-17.5)

Nebraska at Minnesota (-2.5)

Alabama at Mississippi State (+14.5)

Florida Atlantic at Louisiana Tech (+4.5)

Southern Miss at Rice (+10.5)

USC at Colorado (+13.5)

Iowa at Wisconsin (-13.5)

Georgia at Auburn (+2)

Tennessee at Missouri (-9)

New Mexico at Texas A&M (-18)

Arizona State at UCLA (OFF)

Kentucky at Vanderbilt (-3)

Arkansas State at South Alabama (+11.5)

Georgia State at Texas State (+5.5)

UTEP at North Texas (-21)

Kansas at Texas (-33)

Western Kentucky at Marshall (OFF)

Old Dominion at Florida International (-8.5)

UAB at UTSA (-7)

Florida State at Clemson (-17.5)

Arkansas at LSU (-17)

Oregon State at Arizona (-22)

Boise State at Colorado State (+4.5)

Fresno State at Hawaii (+9)

Notes:

- Alabama and Ohio State have each been favored in 35 straight games.

- Oklahoma has recorded at least 480 yards of offense in 19 straight games. The Sooners are 18-1 in that stretch.

- Georgia is 5-1 SU and ATS versus Auburn in the last six years. If not for the “Prayer at Jordan-Hare” game in 2013, the Bulldogs would be undefeated against Guz Malzahn.

- Florida State is the only team in the country yet to cover a spread this year (0-6-2 ATS).