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For those with a little more confidence in position battles than season outlooks, the European books have released the props for starting quarterbacks in 2018: there are several high profile contenders with quarterback battles to be decided over the next month, including Alabama, Ohio State, Oklahoma and Clemson.
As of today, give me Jalen Hurts to get the first few series of snaps to open 2018. I think he and Tagovailoa split reps during the Louisville tussle, on a pre-scheduled basis. Does that mean he keeps the job or is the week two starter? Of course not. But, he will certainly play. And, as the healthy incumbent upperclassman, that’s worth +$165. Note: Saban’s long-standing mantra of “win the team” more often than not happens that first week or two of the season, not in fall camp. A great showing against a bowl-caliber opponent on a neutral field is the perfect way to do that.
Elsewhere, expect to see something similar at Auburn with a Lake: Kelly Bryant is simply too limited of a passer for Dabo’s offense. But, like Tua/Jalen, I suspect Trevor Lawrence will have to win the job on the field in the first week or so. Gimme prohibitive favorites Dwayne Haskins and Kyler Murray at OSU and Oklahoma respectively. I like Shane Buechele as the dark horse in the Texas race — maybe not in Week One, but I suspect he wins the job back as the season goes on. Bigger arm, bigger upside. I also think Feleipe Franks will thrive in Dan Mullen’s offense. Emory Jones is the future, but it’s hard to overlook the trial-by-fire Franks faced as a freshman last season on a mediocre-to-bad team. Finally, don’t be so quick to overlook Brandon Peters at Michigan either. Like Franks, he saw a lot of quality snaps on a team that underperformed. His familiarity with the system, and Shea Patterson’s notorious carelessness with the ball, may be a better fit for Jim Harbaugh’s ball control, paleolithic offense.
Alabama starting quarterback Week 1 of 2018 regular season
Tua Tagovailoa -230
Jalen Hurts +165
Ohio State starting quarterback Week 1 of 2018 regular season
Dwayne Haskins -600
Tate Martell +370
Oklahoma starting quarterback Week 1 of 2018 regular season
Kyler Murray -600
Austin Kendall +370
Clemson starting quarterback Week 1 of 2018 regular season
Kelly Bryant +130
Trevor Lawrence +160
Hunter Johnson +510
Chase Brice +820
Texas starting quarterback Week 1 of 2018 regular season
Sam Ehlinger -250
Shane Buechele +180
Florida starting quarterback Week 1 of 2018 regular season
Feleipe Franks +105
Emory Jones +130
Kyle Trask +820
Jake Allen +1740
USC starting quarterback Week 1 of 2018 regular season
Matt Fink -120
JT Daniels +130
Jack Sears +825
Michigan starting quarterback Week 1 of 2018 regular season
Shea Patterson -190
Brandon Peters +270
Joe Milton +820
Dylan McCaffrey +1740
Florida State starting quarterback Week 1 of 2018 regular season
James Blackman -120
Deondre Francios +130
Bailey Hockman +820
Notre Dame starting quarterback Week 1 of 2018 regular season
Brandon Wimbush -150
Ian Book +130
Phil Jurkovec +1740
LSU starting quarterback Week 1 of 2018 regular season
Joe Burrow +130
Myles Brennan +270
Lowell Narcisse +360
Justin McMillen +510
UCLA starting quarterback Week 1 of 2018 regular season
Devon Modster +200
Austin Burton +265
Wilton Speight +360
Matt Lynch +510
Dorian Thompson-Robinson +815
Texas A&M starting quarterback Week 1 of 2018 regular season
Nick Starkel -300
Kellen Mond +210
Nebraska starting quarterback Week 1 of 2018 regular season
Adrian Martinez -120
Tristan Gebbia +105
Andrew Bunch +1750
Arkansas starting quarterback Week 1 of 2018 regular season
Cole Kelley -180
Ty Storey +135
Tennessee starting quarterback Week 1 of 2018 regular season
Keller Christ -185
Jarrett Guarantano +165
Will McBride +1750
Oklahoma State starting quarterback Week 1 of 2018 regular season
Spencer Sanders +105
Dru Brown +130
Taylor Cornelius +815
Keondre Wudtee +1730
TCU starting quarterback Week 1 of 2018 regular season
Shawn Robinson -320
Justin Rogers +360
Michael Collins +1740
Grayson Muehlstein +1740
BYU starting quarterback Week 1 of 2018 regular season
Joe Critchlow +210
Tanner Mangum +270
Beau Hodge +270
Zach Wilson +360
Maryland starting quarterback Week 1 of 2018 regular season
Kasem Hill -120
Tyrell Pigrome +210
Max Bortenschlager +360