FanPost

Can Alabama Beat Georgia in the 2019 Recruiting Cycle?


I've been looking into the 2019 Recruiting class and Georgia looks to be ahead of Alabama now.. again. Smart and company are essentially able to bring in more 5 star players and that screws with the massive lead Alabama had for the entire off season.

Has ANY kid signed -- No. They can't yet. However, aside from a relatively slight shift on these verbals.. these commitments represent an accurate depiction of how things will ultimately ... "roughly" .. become.

Right now - Georgia has 19 TOTAL, with 5 - Five Star commits | 11 - Four Star | 3 - Three Star.

Alabama has 21 TOTAL, with 1 - Five Star commit | 19 - Four Star | 1 - Three Star.

They are ranked - Georgia #1 @ 292.13 and Alabama #2 @ 287.34

Right now Alabama continues with the most talented team as Bama has (on roster, counting 5 years) -- ALL #1 Classes except the latest class,.. a drop to #5 (We know why)

However, for the best coach to maintain the best "Jimmys and Joes" we have to sign a considerable number of 5 star players.

That's my concern right now. Georgia is able to bring them in , in record breaking numbers. Alabama has ONE (Hard)commit as of today. Georgia, again, has FIVE commits.

Yes - Saban can develop players better - and those 19 four stars are great. The ONLY 3 star is the best Kicker in the country (from Hoover).

Anyhow Georgia's Hard commit Five stars = DE - Nolan Smith, WR - Jadon Haselwood, DT - Travon Walker, RB - John Emery Jr. and OLB - Dominick Blaylock. -- THREE of those are from Georgia and thus locked imo.

I know Alabama is working on FIVE Star(s):

DE - Kayvon Thibodeaux -- (Who has 11% interest in AL according to the surviving service Crystal Ball)

ILB - Dakobe Dean - (Who has 7% Predictor for AL ...)

Safety - Daxton Hill - (Who has 44% Predictor for AL)

DT - Faatui Tuitele - (Who has 50% Predictor for AL)

Then the one or two we have = Center - Clay Webb, and I think... RB - Trey Sanders.

I'd just really like to see Saban and this new , young, elite recruiting staff [With a program that can basically guarantee a NC to these kids] -- Pull in MORE 5 stars than Georgia.

Again, I know Saban is a master Talent Evaluator - so many of those 4 stars are NFL top talent in the end -- but I still feel that.....

Each class needs several 5 stars to really make these rosters proper. We need the Minkah Fitzpatrick's, Julio Jones, Reuben Foster's, Da'Ron Paynes (All 5 stars) sprinkled in these classes imho.

For some perspective from the 5 year span (2013-2017) :

Alabama Signed 27 Five Stars (That's averaging OVER 5 - 5 stars per class)

In this span it went:

Alabama = 101 Four + Five Star Recruits, with 27 - 5 Stars.

Clemson = 58 Four + Five Star Recruits with 7 - 5 Stars.

Georgia = 73 Four + Five Star Recruits with 11 - 5 Stars.

and

Oklahoma = 55 Four + Five Star Recruits with 3 - Five Stars.

Also to put the classes that are still AT our schools .. the 2015 ,2016 ,2017 and 2018 classes (primarily) --

Alabama #1 for 2015, 2016, 2017 (5th in 2018)

Georgia #15 for 2015, #19 for 2016, #8 for 2017 and (#1 for 2018)

Both Teams Freshman Classes Broken Down: Georgia = 7 - 5 Stars, 15 - 4 Stars, and 4 - 3 Stars.

Alabama = 2 - 5 Stars, 13 - 4 Stars, and 7 - 3 Stars.

The Talent gap is quickly closing between these two SEC programs and let's be honest,.. the recruiting has been a nice 'advantage' for Alabama all these years.

What is the likelihood Georgia beats Bama in 2019 recruiting (maintains) ?

What is the likelihood Georgia pulls more 5 Stars than Alabama in 2019 ?

How did Alabama lose the massive lead in recruiting?

I'd be lying if I said it wouldn't bother me if Saban and his effort were unable to beat Kirby Smart and Georgia for 2 years in a row in the "Recruiting Battle".

Combine that with the obvious effort Nick Saban geniusly devised and executed,.. in overhauling the coaching staff (Turning a potentially negative situation into a monumentally positive one) for 2018 on field production but also to massively increase recruiting production and ultimate RESULTS. Saban built a MUCH younger staff where 30's and 40's are a 'norm' at major positions in assistant coaches and thus recruiters.

-- Facilities are constantly being upgraded to appeal to recruits while being functionally better.

-- Saban hosts multiple cookouts at his Lake House for recruits (and players who are ambassadors).

-- The BUILT IN appeal of an existing team and coach coming off a National Championship victory with an exciting new QB and offense.

-- And,.. lastly --- Alabama has the ability, and the luxury to sign at least 10 MORE Recruits for this 2019 class.

A Saban/Alabama "Normal" number of 5 stars ensures 2019 class = #1 and all is right with the world of football.

So..

TLDR: Where are all the 5 Stars for Alabama's 2019 Class? ;)

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