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Guest Graphs: Auburn vs. Florida

No flukes this time: Florida just held on and won.

Auburn v Florida Photo by James Gilbert/Getty Images

In celebration of bye week #1, I’m going to post the graphs from select non-Alabama games this week. The commentary will be light, but the stats aplenty.

Auburn (13) vs. Florida (24), Oct 5th

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Team Success Rates (cumulative)

Auburn definitely hung around in this one, but Florida got out to an efficiency advantage early, and held on to it throughout the game. Things did converge towards the end, so maybe if the game were 5 quarters it would’ve been a Tiger-Eagle win.

Overall, both of these lines being so far under league average is laugh-worthy. Hah! And Auburn only got up to a 30% overall success rate on the final play.

Success and Explosiveness by Quarter

That overall climb by quarters is funny: often you’ll get big offensive 1st quarters because OC’s are showing off their best game-planned plays early, but not here.

Play Map: Yards and Result by Play

Success and Explosiveness by Play Type

Success and Explosiveness by Down

Well, at least everyone had fun on second down! Auburn’s 14% 3rd down conversion rate is abysmal; this stat is such a key one in games for good reason. I’m surprised that Auburn stuck around without doing much of anything on 3rd downs, and apparently not even making a 4th down attempt.

Rushing rate (cumulative), Auburn

I’m surprised that this 52% rushing rate wasn’t higher for Auburn: it’s a team with a quarterback in Bo Nix who runs, and, uh, kinda only does that. Or, at least, only does that well.

Rushing and Passing Success (cumulative), Auburn

Rushing rate (cumulative), Florida

Rushing and Passing Success (cumulative), Florida

Top Runners, Auburn

Gus and co. are really riding this JaTarvius Whitlow guy: since the Derrick Henry year, Alabama has had the luxury of spreading the rushes out much more than this.

Top Passers, Auburn


Top Receivers, Auburn

Wow, this flipside view of the passing game almost makes the Bo Nix line make more sense: he just kept on throwing it to Seth Williams and—aside from 2 explosive plays—it kept on not-working for the whole game. Nice adjustments, Gus.

Top Tacklers, Auburn

Top Runners, Florida

Top Passers, Florida

Top Receivers, Florida

Top Tacklers, Florida

Both team’s tacklers charts in these games show more tacklers that Alabama has been seeing in their initial games. It may just be a quirk, but it may honestly be that these teams have more ‘playable depth’ (i.e., reliable veterans) on defense than the Tide does.

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I apologize for all the orange and blue here: both these teams thought that these would be great colors to play football in, and I have limited control over that.

Otherwise, the charts show the same sickly garbage that you may have also seen on your TV screen. If you, however, experienced the joy of not watching this game and did something else, then congratulations and well done!