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The College Football Playoff committee will put out its most recent rankings on Tuesday, and that will give us a good idea of how they view Alabama after yesterday’s loss to LSU. In the past, they have used “four best” as their mantra, and if they stay consistent, it’s going to be tough to keep Alabama out as long as they keep winning.
According to ESPN’s FPI metric, Alabama still rates ahead of LSU, and by a fair margin. Of particular note is the remaining strength of schedule ranking, where Alabama is #50 while the two most likely competitors for the #4 spot, Oregon and Utah, rank 74th and 76th, respectively. The Ducks sit at #7 in FPI and Utah #13.
Also, Bill Connelly released the latest SP+ top ten.
WEEK 12 SP+ TOP 10
— Bill Connelly (@ESPN_BillC) November 10, 2019
1 Ohio St 36.9
2 Bama 31.9
3 LSU 31.1
4 UGA 29.5
5 OU 27.5
6 Clemson 27.5 (ACC and spec tms are anchors)
7 PSU 26.0
8 Utah 22.7
9 Auburn 22.4
10 Florida 22.2
REMINDER: Predictor, not résumé tool. Full ratings to come.
As Bill notes, this is a predictive measure and not based on resumé. Sorry Bill, but I don’t think that will save your mentions.
Finally, Vegas seems to expect two SEC teams to get in.
Ohio State now favorite to win @CFBPlayoff title via @betonline_aghttps://t.co/yfJOw35WnU
— Brett McMurphy (@Brett_McMurphy) November 10, 2019
Ohio St 2/1
LSU 2.5/1
Clemson 3/1
Georgia 9/1
Alabama 10/1
Oklahoma 16/1
Oregon 25/1
Utah 40/1
Minnesota 50/1
Baylor 66/1
Penn St 100/1
Florida 150/1
Cincinnati 500/1
Georgia is slightly ahead of Alabama here because they control their own destiny and would eliminate Alabama with a win over LSU in Atlanta.
Nothing is for certain, but if the committee stays on brand, Alabama should get in as long as they win out and LSU does the same. Hope for the best.
Roll Tide.