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dIf you are a regular reader here at Roll Bama Roll, you know we are not like other media outlets. We are not going to blow sunshine up your nether regions just for clicks. We call them as we see them, no holds barred (and so many other cliche phrases).
That said...
...Alabama does still have a shot at finding a spot in the 2022-23 College Football Playoff.
Tonight’s CFP announcement will be the next-to-last seeding before the Final Four are cemented. The Top 25 rankings show will be aired this evening at 6pm CT/7pm ET on ESPN and streaming online and on the ESPN app. The final Selection Day will be on Sunday December 4th.
Last week’s rankings:
- Georgia (12-0) - Screwed around with Georgia Tech and finally wore them down.
- Ohio State (11-1) - Lost to Michigan at home by 22. WILL DROP BUT HOW FAR?
- Michigan (12-0) - Beat Ohio State. MOVE UP TO #2
- TCU (12-0) - Routed a weak Iowa State team. UP OR STAY #4?
- LSU (9-3) - Trounced by 7-loss Texas A&M. OUT
- Southern Cal (11-1) - Topped Notre Dame at home. MOVE UP
- Alabama (10-2) - Beat Auburn by 22. MOVE UP
- Clemson (10-2) - Upset at home by South Carolina. OUT
- Oregon (9-3) - Blew a big lead to Oregon State. OUT
- Tennessee (10-2) - Thumped Vandy. MOVE UP (but not enough)
UP TOP
It seems pretty obvious that the three undefeated teams will be in the Top 4. However, UGA has not looked dominant the way Michigan has.
Poll
Might the CFP Committee put Michigan ahead of Georgia?
This poll is closed
-
54%
No way.
-
23%
Yes, Michigan has looked better.
-
21%
I have no idea at this point.
Southern Cal will most likely be the new fourth team but where will they be seeded? There is a good chance that a few teams behind TCU probably could have gone 12-0 had they played the Horned Frogs’ schedule. Most observers predict the top four will look as follows:
- Georgia
- Michigan
- TCU
- Southern Cal
NEXT TWO
After all of Saturday’s final scores were tallied, most people figured Alabama would move up to number 5. However when the AP Poll was released on Monday, Ohio State took that slot with the Crimson Tide right behind them. Yes, the Buckeyes have one defeat but BOY what an embarrassing loss on their home field it was. As you well know by now, Alabama lost two games on the road to ranked teams, both on the final play of the game, by a total of four points. It is hard to tell which is worse: One really bad home loss or two last second road losses.
Why is this so important? Because the Final Four are not set in stone.
CHAOS
This past weekend saw some serious chaos that put us in this situation. It is not out of the realm of possibility that we see more. (Point spreads provided by DraftKings and subject to change.)
GEORGIA (-17.5) - Losing to LSU is not very likely. If they do and it is not a blowout, the Bulldogs probably still get in.
MICHIGAN (-16.5) - It is a longshot that the Wolverines lose to Purdue. Again, unless it is a blowout, they are probably still in the top four.
TCU (-2) - Here is where it gets dicey. Kansas State has been playing pretty well lately and anything could happen in a neutral setting (Arlington, TX). Should the Frogs lose, they very well could topple out of the top four.
SOUTHERN CAL (-3) - The Trojans have one loss this season and that is to the same team they face on Friday in Las Vegas. Utah won the previous match-up 43-42. A second loss for So Cal will definitely drop them.
ODDS
DraftKings has odds for four teams under the TEAM FUTURES section of “Making the Playoff” (All odds are subject to change):
Ohio State: Yes +110, No -140
Alabama: Yes +800, No -1600
TCU: Yes -700, No +475
Southern Cal: Yes -150, No +130
Also according to DraftKings, only six teams have odds of winning the National Championship (All odds are subject to change):
- Georgia -160
- Michigan +290
- Ohio State +1000
- Southern Cal +1200
- TCU to +1200
- Alabama +3000
Poll
Who will be No. 5?
This poll is closed
-
51%
Ohio State
-
47%
Alabama
-
1%
Another team (see my insights in comments)
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