FanPost

Extra graphs week 10 regular vs LSU

Well that was unpleasant. As to the graphs, I'm not sure what to say. The SR by Drive is pretty indicative of how the night went. There were no scoring drives until the 4th quarter and overtime, 4 of the 12 drives were 3 and outs, and our two longest drives (6 with 11 plays and 7 with 14 plays) only resulted in field goals.

Alabama-2022-regular-wk10-LSU-01-success-drive-bar

Drive number Total Successful Unsuccessful Success rate Scoring drive
1 8 5 3 0.625 false
2 3 0 3 0.0 false
3 3 0 3 0.0 false
4 3 0 3 0.0 false
5 6 2 4 0.333333 false
6 11 5 6 0.454545 false
7 14 4 10 0.285714 false
8 3 0 3 0.0 false
9 8 4 4 0.5 true
10 6 4 2 0.666667 true
11 9 3 6 0.333333 false
12 7 3 4 0.428571 true

Looking at the Yards to Success seems to tell the story to some extent. On drive 1 we hovered around 5 yards to success and very well could have ended it with a touchdown. Drives 2, 3, and 4 are strictly increasing and that's not good. On drive 3 we get up to 15 yards to success. Drive 6 started out looking good by hovering around the 5 yards to success or dipping below it until the end of the drive where it again starts to head up in an alarming way and ends in a field goal. After that the graph looks pretty erratic and most don't end in a touchdown. Drive 9 is an exception, but it required a facemask penalty to save the drive and us to score a rushing TD.

Alabama-2022-regular-wk10-LSU-08-drive-yards-to-success


Alabama-2022-regular-wk10-LSU-07-drive-extra-yards-gained

Alabama-2022-regular-wk10-LSU-03-drive

I still think that there is a SPC style chart for drives, but I haven't been able to visualize it yet. Hopefully, that's something I can work on over the part of the year where real football isn't played.


On to penalties... again. Since the data source that I use for most of my graphs doesn't reliably report penalties, I have grabbed the penalty data below from a different dataset. For the table that lists which penalties were committed I am still using my first data source. The table below will include SEC vs SEC and SEC vs Others which I'll call SEC vs Opponents. When I get more time I will make a SEC vs SEC table. The mean and standard deviation for SEC vs Opponents are mean_SEC = 6.67 and stdev_SEC = 2.99.

SEC involved games: mean = 6.67, stdev = 2.99

week Alabama Arkansas Auburn Florida Georgia Kentucky LSU Mississippi State Missouri Ole Miss South Carolina Tennessee Texas A&M Vanderbilt
0 missing missing missing missing missing missing missing missing missing missing missing missing missing 7
1 6 7 3 7 7 4 3 5 10 3 5 6 6 5
2 15 10 9 3 4 2 6 7 8 9 5 7 7 3
3 6 6 7 6 3 10 7 3 9 6 5 11 5 5
4 6 3 4 10 2 2 5 3 7 6 10 6 9 6
5 10 6 8 5 5 4 10 13 7 3 5 missing 3 missing
6 6 10 10 1 4 5 9 4 6 9 4 12 8 5
7 17 7 5 5 3 11 5 13 missing 6 missing 6 missing 5
8 3 missing missing missing missing missing 8 10 2 10 6 13 8 5
9 missing 10 7 7 4 5 missing missing 6 7 5 6 9 missing
10 9 6 14 10 6 12 7 5 7 missing 12 9 5 5

Summing up those penalties, finding their mean, and calculating the z-score give the table below sorted from largest to smallest. This is not the list you want to be at the top of, but there we are at 2 standard deviations above the mean. Tennessee is the next worst at 1.78 standard deviations above the mean and Georgia is way at the bottom at 2.45 standard deviations below the mean!

SEC involved games: mean = 6.67, stdev = 2.99

school sum mean z-score
Alabama 78 8.6 2.00
Tennessee 76 8.4 1.78
Auburn 67 7.4 0.78
Arkansas 65 7.2 0.55
Mississippi State 63 7.0 0.33
Missouri 62 6.8 0.22
LSU 60 6.6 0.0
Texas A&M 60 6.6 0.0
Ole Miss 59 6.5 -0.11
South Carolina 57 6.3 -0.33
Kentucky 55 6.1 -0.55
Florida 54 6.0 -0.66
Vanderbilt 46 5.1 -1.56
Georgia 38 4.2 -2.45

How do we compare to the rest of the FBS? We are tied for most penalized team with Cincinnati and Utah State. The mean and standard deviation for all FBS teams are mean_FBS = 6.22 and stdev_FBS = 2.89.

FBS: mean = 6.22, stdev = 2.89

school sum mean z-score
Alabama 78 8.6 2.53
Cincinnati 78 8.6 2.53
Utah State 78 8.6 2.53
Houston 77 8.5 2.42
Bowling Green 76 8.4 2.30
South Alabama 76 8.4 2.30
Tennessee 76 8.4 2.30
Virginia Tech 76 8.4 2.30
UMass 75 8.3 2.19
Syracuse 74 8.2 2.07
Eastern Michigan 72 8.0 1.84
Maryland 72 8.0 1.84
Colorado State 71 7.8 1.72
Rutgers 70 7.7 1.61
Arizona State 69 7.6 1.49
San Diego State 69 7.6 1.49
Virginia 69 7.6 1.49
NC State 68 7.5 1.38
Old Dominion 68 7.5 1.38
Pittsburgh 68 7.5 1.38
Auburn 67 7.4 1.26
Louisville 67 7.4 1.26
Central Michigan 66 7.3 1.15
UAB 66 7.3 1.15
Arkansas 65 7.2 1.03
Florida State 65 7.2 1.03
Georgia State 65 7.2 1.03
Louisiana 65 7.2 1.03
New Mexico State 58 7.2 1.00
Western Kentucky 71 7.1 0.96
Middle Tennessee 64 7.1 0.92
Mississippi State 63 7.0 0.80
Oregon 63 7.0 0.80
Oregon State 63 7.0 0.80
Southern Mississippi 63 7.0 0.80
UCLA 63 7.0 0.80
Western Michigan 63 7.0 0.80
Wisconsin 63 7.0 0.80
Marshall 62 6.8 0.69
Missouri 62 6.8 0.69
Washington 62 6.8 0.69
Louisiana Tech 61 6.7 0.57
Miami 61 6.7 0.57
North Carolina 61 6.7 0.57
Charlotte 67 6.7 0.52
Kent State 60 6.6 0.46
LSU 60 6.6 0.46
New Mexico 60 6.6 0.46
Texas A&M 60 6.6 0.46
USC 60 6.6 0.46
Illinois 59 6.5 0.34
Ole Miss 59 6.5 0.34
UT San Antonio 59 6.5 0.34
Connecticut 65 6.5 0.30
Texas 58 6.4 0.23
Toledo 58 6.4 0.23
UTEP 64 6.4 0.19
San José State 51 6.3 0.15
Clemson 57 6.3 0.11
Georgia Tech 57 6.3 0.11
Northern Illinois 57 6.3 0.11
South Carolina 57 6.3 0.11
Tulsa 57 6.3 0.11
West Virginia 57 6.3 0.11
Akron 56 6.2 0.00
Arkansas State 56 6.2 0.00
Florida International 56 6.2 0.00
Miami (OH) 56 6.2 0.00
Nevada 56 6.2 0.00
Florida Atlantic 55 6.1 -0.11
Kentucky 55 6.1 -0.11
Oklahoma 55 6.1 -0.11
Texas Tech 55 6.1 -0.11
BYU 54 6.0 -0.22
Duke 54 6.0 -0.22
Florida 54 6.0 -0.22
Liberty 54 6.0 -0.22
Rice 54 6.0 -0.22
Ball State 53 5.8 -0.34
Michigan State 53 5.8 -0.34
Nebraska 53 5.8 -0.34
Boston College 52 5.7 -0.46
Appalachian State 51 5.6 -0.57
Coastal Carolina 51 5.6 -0.57
Kansas State 51 5.6 -0.57
Troy 51 5.6 -0.57
UNLV 51 5.6 -0.57
Washington State 51 5.6 -0.57
Penn State 50 5.5 -0.69
Purdue 50 5.5 -0.69
Army 44 5.5 -0.70
Boise State 44 5.5 -0.70
James Madison 44 5.5 -0.70
North Texas 55 5.5 -0.78
UCF 49 5.4 -0.80
Hawai'i 54 5.4 -0.89
Buffalo 48 5.3 -0.92
Indiana 48 5.3 -0.92
Ohio 48 5.3 -0.92
Temple 48 5.3 -0.92
Texas State 48 5.3 -0.92
Arizona 47 5.2 -1.03
Baylor 47 5.2 -1.03
California 47 5.2 -1.03
Kansas 46 5.1 -1.15
Ohio State 46 5.1 -1.15
Vanderbilt 46 5.1 -1.15
Iowa State 45 5.0 -1.26
Georgia Southern 44 4.8 -1.38
Northwestern 44 4.8 -1.38
Utah 44 4.8 -1.38
Colorado 43 4.7 -1.49
Louisiana Monroe 43 4.7 -1.49
Notre Dame 42 4.6 -1.61
TCU 42 4.6 -1.61
Iowa 41 4.5 -1.72
Wake Forest 41 4.5 -1.72
Michigan 40 4.4 -1.84
SMU 40 4.4 -1.84
Wyoming 40 4.4 -1.84
South Florida 39 4.3 -1.95
Fresno State 38 4.2 -2.07
Georgia 38 4.2 -2.07
Memphis 37 4.1 -2.18
Minnesota 37 4.1 -2.18
Stanford 37 4.1 -2.18
Air Force 35 3.8 -2.41
East Carolina 35 3.8 -2.41
Tulane 35 3.8 -2.41
Oklahoma State 32 3.5 -2.76
Navy 30 3.3 -2.99

I am thinking about classifying penalties according to whether they are judgement calls and if they are effort penalties. For example a 12 Men on the Field penalty is not a judgement call and its not an effort penalty (I'm ignoring that a player could be trying to run off and gets caught on the field). I think a pass interference call is a judgement call and an effort penalty again ignoring the obvious times a defender purposely grabs a receiver. I need to think about how to classify the 68 different penalties I have listed. I think this might be of interest since a False Start is not a judgement call and should be pretty consistently called on all teams, but a PI is a judgement call and so it would be interesting to see if these are called differently across teams. A False Start is not an effort penalty, but Facemask is and maybe this can be used to measure a teams discipline.

That's all I have for today. Roll Tide!

Alabama logo Alabama-2022-regular-wk10-LSU-02-drive-fac-down

Down Successful Unsuccessful Total TD/1st
1 14 22 36 9
2 8 19 27 8
3 6 10 16 6
4 2 missing missing 2


Alabama-2022-regular-wk10-LSU-04-all4-downs-fac

Alabama-2022-regular-wk10-LSU-05-all4-downs-fac-noscale

Alabama-2022-regular-wk10-LSU-06-yards-success-gained

Alabama-2022-regular-wk10-LSU-09-fac-yards-to-success

Alabama-2022-regular-wk10-LSU-e01-drive-success-play

Alabama-2022-regular-wk10-LSU-e02-drive-extra-yards-gained-fac

Alabama-2022-regular-wk10-LSU-p01-penalties-bar

Alabama-2022-regular-wk10-LSU-p02-penalties-bar-all

Penalty_team Penalty_type Penalty_status
Alabama Roughing Passer enforced
Alabama Horse Collar Tackle enforced
Alabama False Start enforced
Alabama Holding enforced
Alabama Offensive Holding enforced
Alabama Pass Interference enforced
Alabama False Start enforced
Alabama Pass Interference enforced
Alabama Pass Interference enforced
LSU Holding enforced
LSU Offensive Holding enforced
LSU False Start enforced
LSU Personal Foul enforced
LSU False Start enforced
LSU Face Mask enforced
LSU Pass Interference enforced


Alabama-2022-regular-wk10-p03-penalties-line-season

Alabama logo LSU-2022-regular-wk10-Alabama-01-success-drive-bar

Drive number Total Successful Unsuccessful Success rate Scoring drive
1 6 1 5 0.166667 false
2 7 4 3 0.571429 false
3 4 1 3 0.25 false
4 6 2 4 0.333333 false
5 4 3 1 0.75 true
6 4 2 2 0.5 false
7 11 7 4 0.636364 true
8 5 1 4 0.2 false
9 10 5 5 0.5 false
10 7 3 4 0.428571 true
11 1 0 1 0.0 false
12 1 1 0 1.0 true


LSU-2022-regular-wk10-Alabama-02-drive-fac-down

LSU-2022-regular-wk10-Alabama-07-drive-extra-yards-gained

LSU-2022-regular-wk10-Alabama-03-drive

LSU-2022-regular-wk10-Alabama-08-drive-yards-to-success

Down Successful Unsuccessful Total TD/1st
1 15 15 30 5
2 10 14 24 9
3 5 7 12 5
4 0 0 0 0


LSU-2022-regular-wk10-Alabama-04-all4-downs-fac

LSU-2022-regular-wk10-Alabama-05-all4-downs-fac-noscale

LSU-2022-regular-wk10-Alabama-06-yards-success-gained

LSU-2022-regular-wk10-Alabama-09-fac-yards-to-success

LSU-2022-regular-wk10-Alabama-e01-drive-success-play

LSU-2022-regular-wk10-Alabama-e02-drive-extra-yards-gained-fac

LSU-2022-regular-wk10-Alabama-p01-penalties-bar

LSU-2022-regular-wk10-Alabama-p02-penalties-bar-all

Penalty_team Penalty_type Penalty_status
Alabama Roughing Passer enforced
Alabama Horse Collar Tackle enforced
Alabama False Start enforced
Alabama Holding enforced
Alabama Offensive Holding enforced
Alabama Pass Interference enforced
Alabama False Start enforced
Alabama Pass Interference enforced
Alabama Pass Interference enforced
LSU Holding enforced
LSU Offensive Holding enforced
LSU False Start enforced
LSU Personal Foul enforced
LSU False Start enforced
LSU Face Mask enforced
LSU Pass Interference enforced


LSU-2022-regular-wk10-p03-penalties-line-season

All SEC teams

2022-regular-wk10-p04-penalties-SECv-FBS-all

2022-regular-wk10-p05-penalties-SECv-SEC-all

2022-regular-wk10-p06-penalties-SECv-FBS-enforced

2022-regular-wk10-p07-penalties-SECv-SEC-enforced

Data: @CFB_Data or collegefootballdata.com

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