## Extra graphs 2023 week 01 regular vs Middle Tennessee [Updated]

I had intended to post this Monday night, but the accented e in San Josè State broke my code this season. So if you look for their data in the penalties data they won't be there and I know how many of you will be upset about this...

If you would like to see and play with the interactive version of these graphs you can find them at
https://github.com/MCurve7/mcurve7_cfb/tree/main/RBR/2023
You just need to download the .html file and open it in a web browser.

Let's start with a request for balloons from RaulTyde. This isn't exactly the chart asked for, but I think it contains the data asked for:

I would think it’d be helpful if it’d be possible to do a success chart by distance but ONLY for third downs?
Down Successful Unsuccessful Total TD/1st
1 15 14 29 5
2 11 11 22 8
3 10 3 13 10
4 0 0 0 0

In table form:

Distance Yards to goal Successful
1 1 Successful
1 27 Successful
1 38 Successful
1 71 Successful
1 81 Successful
4 49 Successful
5 17 Successful
5 70 Unsuccessful
6 59 Unsuccessful
7 60 Successful
8 48 Successful
10 75 Successful
15 84 Unsuccessful

While responding to RaulTyde's comment below it reminded me of how I was interpreting my Yards to Successful vs Yards gained by Down graph. So I decided to generate a table that represents what I look at. I think the Down column is self explanatory. The Count column is the number of that down played. The column Δ_plays is the change in the number of plays played in consecutive downs. I think the mean, standard deviation (std), and median of the distance and gained are self explanatory. (I can add a column for median gained if anyone wants it... which I might add whether it's asked for or not :-P).

What I look for is for Δ_plays to have a nice decrease from 1st to 2nd to 3rd downs (and hope there were no turnovers making the numbers look good). I also look to see if the mean/median distance is decreasing by down. Obviously a large mean gained is desired.

Down Count Δ_plays Mean distance Std distance Median distance Mean gained Std gained
1 29 0 9.7931 0.818505 10.0 6.34483 9.66317
2 22 7 6.40909 4.23881 6.0 6.5 7.50079
3 13 9 5.0 4.28174 5.0 8.76923 14.196
4 0 13 NaN NaN NaN NaN NaN

So we were only unsuccessful on 3rd down 3 out of 13 times from distances of 5, 6, and 15 yards. With a little bit of time (I think) I should be able to convert this to a graph if there is interest in having it. I was able to generate the SR by distance to 1st down/TD by down. These can be seen below.

For the SR by Drive graph I added a game average line (dotdash) and a season average line (dashed). I find Success Rate of most interest in terms of how well it determines if a drive ends in a TD or not. We had 13 drives in this game, 8 of which resulted in a TD. Drive number 7 is a throwaway drive since it was the last drive before the half, we got the ball with 53 seconds left in the half, at the 12 yard line, and were winning 28-0. With that said, every drive with a SR at .5 or higher scored a TD. One of the three drives with a SR = 1/3 resulted in a TD.

In terms of number of plays per drive, we ranged from 1 up to 11. We had five drives of 6 plays (3 TDs, 3/5), three of 2 plays (3 TDs, 2/3), two of 3 plays (0 TDs, 0/2), one of 1 play (1 TD, 1/1), one of 10 plays (1 TD, 1/1), and one of 11 plays (1 TD, 1/1). I've never really paid attention to this part of the data, but since they say we are going back to more Joyless Murderball it might be interesting to keep track of.

Drive number Total Successful Unsuccessful Success rate Scoring drive
1 6 5 1 0.833333 true
2 11 9 2 0.818182 true
3 6 2 4 0.333333 false
4 6 2 4 0.333333 false
5 2 1 1 0.5 true
6 1 1 0 1.0 true
7 3 2 1 0.666667 false
8 6 2 4 0.333333 true
9 2 2 0 1.0 true
10 3 0 3 0.0 false
11 10 6 4 0.6 true
12 6 4 2 0.666667 true
13 2 0 2 0.0 false

If you are interested, I usually pair looking at the SR by Drive with the Offensive drives by drive graph.

Now for one of the most important graphs... the penalty graphs! Just look at those lovely little bars over our name! I know everyone keeps claiming we only had 2 penalties, but that was the number enforced. We had one off-setting penalty. Almost as important as the number of penalties is that there are no pre- nor post-snap penalties. Middle Tennessee ended up with 8 enforced penalties. Let us hope that that "era" of Bama football is over.

Penalty_team Penalty_type Penalty_status
Alabama Roughing The Passer enforced
Alabama Holding enforced
Alabama Kick Catch Interference off-setting
Middle Tennessee False Start enforced
Middle Tennessee Ineligible Downfield On Pass enforced
Middle Tennessee False Start enforced
Middle Tennessee Chop Block enforced
Middle Tennessee Pass Interference enforced
Middle Tennessee Horse Collar Tackle enforced
Middle Tennessee Illegal Block In Back off-setting
Middle Tennessee Offside enforced
Middle Tennessee False Start enforced

Our defense kept their SR below 0.5 on 9 out of 12 drives and of their three drives that were above 0.5 only one was a scoring drive. Though they did help us on the first three drives by committing some penalties.

Drive number Total Successful Unsuccessful Success rate Scoring drive
1 3 0 3 0.0 false
2 3 0 3 0.0 false
3 7 5 2 0.714286 false
4 9 3 6 0.333333 false
5 6 4 2 0.666667 false
6 3 0 3 0.0 false
7 4 1 3 0.25 false
8 3 0 3 0.0 false
9 3 0 3 0.0 false
10 11 7 4 0.636364 true
11 3 1 2 0.333333 false
12 6 2 4 0.333333 false

Drive number Total Successful Unsuccessful Success rate Scoring drive
1 6 5 1 0.833333 true
2 11 9 2 0.818182 true
3 6 2 4 0.333333 false
4 6 2 4 0.333333 false
5 2 1 1 0.5 true
6 1 1 0 1.0 true
7 3 2 1 0.666667 false
8 6 2 4 0.333333 true
9 2 2 0 1.0 true
10 3 0 3 0.0 false
11 10 6 4 0.6 true
12 6 4 2 0.666667 true
13 2 0 2 0.0 false

Down Successful Unsuccessful Total TD/1st
1 15 14 29 5
2 11 11 22 8
3 10 3 13 10
4 0 0 0 0

Distance Yards to goal Successful
1 1 Successful
1 27 Successful
1 38 Successful
1 71 Successful
1 81 Successful
4 49 Successful
5 17 Successful
5 70 Unsuccessful
6 59 Unsuccessful
7 60 Successful
8 48 Successful
10 75 Successful
15 84 Unsuccessful

Down Count Δ_plays Mean distance Std distance Median distance Mean gained Std gained
1 29 0 9.7931 0.818505 10.0 6.34483 9.66317
2 22 7 6.40909 4.23881 6.0 6.5 7.50079
3 13 9 5.0 4.28174 5.0 8.76923 14.196
4 0 13 NaN NaN NaN NaN NaN

Penalty_team Penalty_type Penalty_status
Alabama Roughing The Passer enforced
Alabama Holding enforced
Alabama Kick Catch Interference off-setting
Middle Tennessee False Start enforced
Middle Tennessee Ineligible Downfield On Pass enforced
Middle Tennessee False Start enforced
Middle Tennessee Chop Block enforced
Middle Tennessee Pass Interference enforced
Middle Tennessee Horse Collar Tackle enforced
Middle Tennessee Illegal Block In Back off-setting
Middle Tennessee Offside enforced
Middle Tennessee False Start enforced

Drive number Total Successful Unsuccessful Success rate Scoring drive
1 3 0 3 0.0 false
2 3 0 3 0.0 false
3 7 5 2 0.714286 false
4 9 3 6 0.333333 false
5 6 4 2 0.666667 false
6 3 0 3 0.0 false
7 4 1 3 0.25 false
8 3 0 3 0.0 false
9 3 0 3 0.0 false
10 11 7 4 0.636364 true
11 3 1 2 0.333333 false
12 6 2 4 0.333333 false

Down Successful Unsuccessful Total TD/1st
1 8 16 24 2
2 8 13 21 5
3 7 9 16 7
4 0 0 0 0

Distance Yards to goal Successful
1 29 Successful
1 60 Successful
1 63 Successful
2 22 Successful
2 74 Successful
3 68 Successful
6 60 Unsuccessful
7 7 Successful
8 73 Unsuccessful
9 74 Unsuccessful
10 54 Unsuccessful
12 94 Unsuccessful
14 14 Unsuccessful
14 75 Unsuccessful
15 80 Unsuccessful
22 87 Unsuccessful

Down Count Δ_plays Mean distance Std distance Median distance Mean gained Std gained
1 24 0 10.2917 1.51741 10.0 3.75 3.87018
2 21 3 8.14286 3.99106 8.0 3.52381 6.39233
3 16 5 7.9375 6.25533 7.5 3.6875 7.83768
4 0 16 NaN NaN NaN NaN NaN

Penalty_team Penalty_type Penalty_status
Alabama Roughing The Passer enforced
Alabama Holding enforced
Alabama Kick Catch Interference off-setting
Middle Tennessee False Start enforced
Middle Tennessee Ineligible Downfield On Pass enforced
Middle Tennessee False Start enforced
Middle Tennessee Chop Block enforced
Middle Tennessee Pass Interference enforced
Middle Tennessee Horse Collar Tackle enforced
Middle Tennessee Illegal Block In Back off-setting
Middle Tennessee Offside enforced
Middle Tennessee False Start enforced

## All SEC teams

All data below includes intra-conference games and OOC games.

#### Summary statistics for FBS conferences

Group Mean Stdev Min Q1 Median Q3 Max
FBS 5.92 2.67 1 4.0 6.0 8.0 14
ACC 5.29 2.86 1 2.5 7.0 7.0 10
American Athletic 5.57 2.61 2 3.25 5.0 6.75 11
Big 12 6.29 2.18 3 5.0 6.5 7.75 10
Big Ten 5.14 2.65 1 3.0 5.0 7.0 10
Conference USA 7.22 2.28 4 6.0 7.0 9.0 10
FBS Independents 5.17 2.89 1 3.25 5.0 7.5 9
Mid-American 5.67 2.19 3 4.0 5.5 7.0 10
Mountain West 6.73 3.88 2 3.5 6.0 10.0 14
Pac-12 7.00 2.73 2 5.0 8.0 9.0 11
SEC 5.21 2.61 1 3.25 5.5 7.0 9
Sun Belt 5.29 3.05 2 4.0 5.0 5.0 14

#### ACC

week Boston College Clemson Duke Florida State Georgia Tech Louisville Miami NC State North Carolina Pittsburgh Syracuse Virginia Virginia Tech Wake Forest
0 missing missing missing missing missing missing missing missing missing missing missing missing missing missing
1 10 1 7 7 2 7 8 1 7 7 7 2 4 4

school sum mean z
Miami 8 8.00 0.95
Duke 7 7.00 0.60
Florida State 7 7.00 0.60
Louisville 7 7.00 0.60
North Carolina 7 7.00 0.60
Pittsburgh 7 7.00 0.60
Syracuse 7 7.00 0.60
Virginia Tech 4 4.00 -0.45
Wake Forest 4 4.00 -0.45
Georgia Tech 2 2.00 -1.15
Virginia 2 2.00 -1.15
Boston College 10 10.00 1.65
Clemson 1 1.00 -1.50
NC State 1 1.00 -1.50

#### American Athletic

week Charlotte East Carolina Florida Atlantic Memphis Navy North Texas Rice SMU South Florida Temple Tulane Tulsa UAB UT San Antonio
0 missing missing missing missing missing missing missing missing missing missing missing missing missing missing
1 6 10 3 5 3 2 5 6 11 3 7 4 5 8

school sum mean z
UT San Antonio 8 8.00 0.93
Tulane 7 7.00 0.55
Charlotte 6 6.00 0.16
SMU 6 6.00 0.16
Memphis 5 5.00 -0.22
Rice 5 5.00 -0.22
UAB 5 5.00 -0.22
Tulsa 4 4.00 -0.60
Florida Atlantic 3 3.00 -0.99
Navy 3 3.00 -0.99
Temple 3 3.00 -0.99
North Texas 2 2.00 -1.37
South Florida 11 11.00 2.08
East Carolina 10 10.00 1.70

#### Big 12

week Baylor BYU Cincinnati Houston Iowa State Kansas Kansas State Oklahoma Oklahoma State TCU Texas Texas Tech UCF West Virginia
0 missing missing missing missing missing missing missing missing missing missing missing missing missing missing
1 9 8 7 3 9 3 4 6 5 10 5 7 7 5

school sum mean z
Baylor 9 9.00 1.24
Iowa State 9 9.00 1.24
BYU 8 8.00 0.79
Cincinnati 7 7.00 0.33
Texas Tech 7 7.00 0.33
UCF 7 7.00 0.33
Oklahoma 6 6.00 -0.13
Oklahoma State 5 5.00 -0.59
Texas 5 5.00 -0.59
West Virginia 5 5.00 -0.59
Kansas State 4 4.00 -1.05
Houston 3 3.00 -1.51
Kansas 3 3.00 -1.51
TCU 10 10.00 1.70

#### Big Ten

week Illinois Indiana Iowa Maryland Michigan Michigan State Minnesota Nebraska Northwestern Ohio State Penn State Purdue Rutgers Wisconsin
0 missing missing missing missing missing missing missing missing missing missing missing missing missing missing
1 10 8 7 6 5 8 3 7 3 5 1 4 2 3

school sum mean z
Indiana 8 8.00 1.08
Michigan State 8 8.00 1.08
Iowa 7 7.00 0.70
Maryland 6 6.00 0.32
Michigan 5 5.00 -0.05
Ohio State 5 5.00 -0.05
Purdue 4 4.00 -0.43
Minnesota 3 3.00 -0.81
Northwestern 3 3.00 -0.81
Wisconsin 3 3.00 -0.81
Rutgers 2 2.00 -1.19
Illinois 10 10.00 1.83
Penn State 1 1.00 -1.56

#### Conference USA

week Florida International Jacksonville State Liberty Louisiana Tech Middle Tennessee New Mexico State Sam Houston State UTEP Western Kentucky
0 8 7 missing 5 missing 6 missing 10 missing
1 missing missing 4 missing 9 missing 7 missing 9

school sum mean z
Middle Tennessee 9 9.00 0.78
Western Kentucky 9 9.00 0.78
Florida International 8 8.00 0.34
Jacksonville State 7 7.00 -0.10
Sam Houston State 7 7.00 -0.10
New Mexico State 6 6.00 -0.54
Louisiana Tech 5 5.00 -0.98
Liberty 4 4.00 -1.41
UTEP 10 10.00 1.22

#### FBS Independents

week Army Connecticut Notre Dame UMass
0 missing missing 4 8
1 3 6 1 9

school sum mean z
UMass 17 8.50 1.63
Connecticut 6 6.00 0.29
Army 3 3.00 -0.75
Notre Dame 5 2.50 -1.30

#### Mid-American

week Akron Ball State Bowling Green Buffalo Central Michigan Eastern Michigan Kent State Miami (OH) Northern Illinois Ohio Toledo Western Michigan
0 missing missing missing missing missing missing missing missing missing 3 missing missing
1 10 4 9 6 7 6 4 5 4 missing 7 3

school sum mean z
Bowling Green 9 9.00 1.52
Central Michigan 7 7.00 0.61
Toledo 7 7.00 0.61
Buffalo 6 6.00 0.15
Eastern Michigan 6 6.00 0.15
Miami (OH) 5 5.00 -0.30
Ball State 4 4.00 -0.76
Kent State 4 4.00 -0.76
Northern Illinois 4 4.00 -0.76
Ohio 3 3.00 -1.22
Western Michigan 3 3.00 -1.22
Akron 10 10.00 1.98

#### Mountain West

week Air Force Boise State Colorado State Fresno State Hawai'i Nevada New Mexico San Diego State UNLV Utah State Wyoming
0 missing missing missing missing 11 missing missing 14 missing missing missing
1 2 3 4 7 missing 4 10 missing 6 10 3

school sum mean z
Fresno State 7 7.00 0.07
UNLV 6 6.00 -0.19
Boise State 3 3.00 -0.96
Wyoming 3 3.00 -0.96
Air Force 2 2.00 -1.22
San Diego State 14 14.00 1.88
Hawai'i 11 11.00 1.10
New Mexico 10 10.00 0.84
Utah State 10 10.00 0.84

#### Pac-12

week Arizona Arizona State California Colorado Oregon Oregon State Stanford UCLA USC Utah Washington Washington State
0 missing missing missing missing missing missing missing missing 8 missing missing missing
1 11 9 8 6 2 9 9 8 8 5 5 3

school sum mean z
Arizona State 9 9.00 0.73
Oregon State 9 9.00 0.73
Stanford 9 9.00 0.73
California 8 8.00 0.37
UCLA 8 8.00 0.37
USC 16 8.00 0.52
Utah 5 5.00 -0.73
Washington 5 5.00 -0.73
Washington State 3 3.00 -1.46
Oregon 2 2.00 -1.83
Arizona 11 11.00 1.46

#### SEC

week Alabama Arkansas Auburn Florida Georgia Kentucky LSU Mississippi State Missouri Ole Miss South Carolina Tennessee Texas A&M Vanderbilt
0 missing missing missing missing missing missing missing missing missing missing missing missing missing 3
1 2 7 4 9 5 7 2 1 7 7 6 4 9 missing

school sum mean z
Florida 9 9.00 1.45
Texas A&M 9 9.00 1.45
Arkansas 7 7.00 0.68
Kentucky 7 7.00 0.68
Missouri 7 7.00 0.68
Ole Miss 7 7.00 0.68
South Carolina 6 6.00 0.30
Georgia 5 5.00 -0.08
Auburn 4 4.00 -0.47
Tennessee 4 4.00 -0.47
Vanderbilt 3 3.00 -0.85
Alabama 2 2.00 -1.23
LSU 2 2.00 -1.23
Mississippi State 1 1.00 -1.61

#### Sun Belt

week Appalachian State Arkansas State Coastal Carolina Georgia Southern Georgia State James Madison Louisiana Louisiana Monroe Marshall Old Dominion South Alabama Southern Mississippi Texas State Troy
0 missing missing missing missing missing missing missing missing missing missing missing missing missing missing
1 2 14 3 9 5 4 2 5 5 4 7 5 4 5

school sum mean z
Georgia Southern 9 9.00 1.22
South Alabama 7 7.00 0.56
Georgia State 5 5.00 -0.09
Louisiana Monroe 5 5.00 -0.09
Marshall 5 5.00 -0.09
Southern Mississippi 5 5.00 -0.09
Troy 5 5.00 -0.09
Old Dominion 4 4.00 -0.42
Texas State 4 4.00 -0.42
Coastal Carolina 3 3.00 -0.75
Appalachian State 2 2.00 -1.08
Louisiana 2 2.00 -1.08
Arkansas State 14 14.00 2.85

#### All FBS sorted by z-scores

school sum mean z
Arizona State 9 9.00 1.15
Baylor 9 9.00 1.15
Bowling Green 9 9.00 1.15
Florida 9 9.00 1.15
Georgia Southern 9 9.00 1.15
Iowa State 9 9.00 1.15
Middle Tennessee 9 9.00 1.15
Oregon State 9 9.00 1.15
Stanford 9 9.00 1.15
Texas A&M 9 9.00 1.15
Western Kentucky 9 9.00 1.15
UMass 17 8.50 1.36
BYU 8 8.00 0.78
California 8 8.00 0.78
Florida International 8 8.00 0.78
Indiana 8 8.00 0.78
Miami 8 8.00 0.78
Michigan State 8 8.00 0.78
UCLA 8 8.00 0.78
USC 16 8.00 1.10
UT San Antonio 8 8.00 0.78
Arkansas 7 7.00 0.40
Central Michigan 7 7.00 0.40
Cincinnati 7 7.00 0.40
Duke 7 7.00 0.40
Florida State 7 7.00 0.40
Fresno State 7 7.00 0.40
Iowa 7 7.00 0.40
Jacksonville State 7 7.00 0.40
Kentucky 7 7.00 0.40
Louisville 7 7.00 0.40
Missouri 7 7.00 0.40
North Carolina 7 7.00 0.40
Ole Miss 7 7.00 0.40
Pittsburgh 7 7.00 0.40
Sam Houston State 7 7.00 0.40
South Alabama 7 7.00 0.40
Syracuse 7 7.00 0.40
Texas Tech 7 7.00 0.40
Toledo 7 7.00 0.40
Tulane 7 7.00 0.40
UCF 7 7.00 0.40
Buffalo 6 6.00 0.03
Charlotte 6 6.00 0.03
Connecticut 6 6.00 0.03
Eastern Michigan 6 6.00 0.03
Maryland 6 6.00 0.03
New Mexico State 6 6.00 0.03
Oklahoma 6 6.00 0.03
SMU 6 6.00 0.03
South Carolina 6 6.00 0.03
UNLV 6 6.00 0.03
Georgia 5 5.00 -0.35
Georgia State 5 5.00 -0.35
Louisiana Monroe 5 5.00 -0.35
Louisiana Tech 5 5.00 -0.35
Marshall 5 5.00 -0.35
Memphis 5 5.00 -0.35
Miami (OH) 5 5.00 -0.35
Michigan 5 5.00 -0.35
Ohio State 5 5.00 -0.35
Oklahoma State 5 5.00 -0.35
Rice 5 5.00 -0.35
Southern Mississippi 5 5.00 -0.35
Texas 5 5.00 -0.35
Troy 5 5.00 -0.35
UAB 5 5.00 -0.35
Utah 5 5.00 -0.35
Washington 5 5.00 -0.35
West Virginia 5 5.00 -0.35
Auburn 4 4.00 -0.72
Ball State 4 4.00 -0.72
Kansas State 4 4.00 -0.72
Kent State 4 4.00 -0.72
Liberty 4 4.00 -0.72
Northern Illinois 4 4.00 -0.72
Old Dominion 4 4.00 -0.72
Purdue 4 4.00 -0.72
Tennessee 4 4.00 -0.72
Texas State 4 4.00 -0.72
Tulsa 4 4.00 -0.72
Virginia Tech 4 4.00 -0.72
Wake Forest 4 4.00 -0.72
Army 3 3.00 -1.09
Boise State 3 3.00 -1.09
Coastal Carolina 3 3.00 -1.09
Florida Atlantic 3 3.00 -1.09
Houston 3 3.00 -1.09
Kansas 3 3.00 -1.09
Minnesota 3 3.00 -1.09
Navy 3 3.00 -1.09
Northwestern 3 3.00 -1.09
Ohio 3 3.00 -1.09
Temple 3 3.00 -1.09
Vanderbilt 3 3.00 -1.09
Washington State 3 3.00 -1.09
Western Michigan 3 3.00 -1.09
Wisconsin 3 3.00 -1.09
Wyoming 3 3.00 -1.09
Notre Dame 5 2.50 -1.81
Air Force 2 2.00 -1.47
Alabama 2 2.00 -1.47
Appalachian State 2 2.00 -1.47
Georgia Tech 2 2.00 -1.47
LSU 2 2.00 -1.47
Louisiana 2 2.00 -1.47
North Texas 2 2.00 -1.47
Oregon 2 2.00 -1.47
Rutgers 2 2.00 -1.47
Virginia 2 2.00 -1.47
Arkansas State 14 14.00 3.02
San Diego State 14 14.00 3.02
Arizona 11 11.00 1.90
Hawai'i 11 11.00 1.90
South Florida 11 11.00 1.90
Akron 10 10.00 1.53
Boston College 10 10.00 1.53
East Carolina 10 10.00 1.53
Illinois 10 10.00 1.53
New Mexico 10 10.00 1.53
TCU 10 10.00 1.53
UTEP 10 10.00 1.53
Utah State 10 10.00 1.53
Clemson 1 1.00 -1.84
Mississippi State 1 1.00 -1.84
NC State 1 1.00 -1.84
Penn State 1 1.00 -1.84

Data: @CFB_Data or collegefootballdata.com

FanPosts are just that; posts created by the fans. They are in no way indicative of the opinions of SBN and the authors of Roll Bama Roll.